There were three major finding of this study. First, the X chromosome contained a mutation load for total fitness of less than one-half that on the two large autosomes per unit length of the euchromatic genome, the first such comparative estimate of which I am aware. Second, nearly complete genomic homozygosity is essentially completely lethal in D. melanogaster. Third, recently caught wild populations of D. melanogaster under competitive conditions contained 5.4 haploid lethal equivalents for total fitness.
The lower estimates of lethal equivalents for the X chromosome than for the large autosomes is expected because of the much greater efficiency of selection in removing recessive and partially recessive harmful alleles in the haploid X in males than in diploid autosomal chromosomes. In part, the difference is due to the much lower frequency of sex-linked recessive lethals than autosomal recessive lethals, as expected from theory (Table 1). My conclusion is different from that of Wilton and Sved (1979), but they relied on the fitness of lethal and sterile free chromosomes, while the total fitness effect of all chromosomes is appropriate. My finding is concordant with the finding that haplodiploids exhibit substantially less inbreeding depression than do diploid insect species (Henter 2003). To my knowledge this is the first time that lethal equivalent estimates for total fitness have been reported for individual chromosomes.
My estimate that genomic “homozygotes” of D. melanogaster had near zero total fitness agrees with assertion by Charlesworth and Charlesworth (2010, p.13) that ”a Drosophila individual that is homozygous at all loci effectively has zero fitness.” However, that assertion was made without any computations being reported and no explicit references given, although it was in the context of discussion of the reduced total fitness of chromosomal homozygotes, including the work of Sved and colleagues.
The extremely low fitness of genomic homozygotes is also consistent with the extinction rates in populations inbred by full-sib mating for ~ 18 generations or more in lines from recently caught wild populations of D. melanogaster (F ≥ 0.979). For example, Reed et al. (2003) reported that all 120 full-sib mating lines were extinct by generation 26. Further, Rumball et al. (1994) found that 77% of 120 full-sib lines were extinct by generation 18, despite three pair mating of each line being set up each generation. In these studies there were 26 and 18 generations for purging to occur. Additionally, Brown and Kelly (2020) reported that Mimulus guttatus plants resulting from six generation of self-fertilization (expected F = 0.984) had only 3–5% the total fitness of outbred competitors: in this case, there were six opportunities for natural selection to purge harmful alleles. Their population had a selfing rate of 10% leading to the expectation of a lower mutation load than expected in a random mating species with two sexes and no selfing (such as Drosophila). However, their estimate did not include the effects on progeny of having inbred versus outbred mothers.
My estimate of lethal equivalents for the D. melanogaster species is credible as:
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It is greater than the estimate of 2.67 from Latter and Robertson (1962) as expected from their experiment having been done on an old laboratory strain with low genetic diversity and them using a method that underestimated total fitness effects
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It lies within the range of lethal equivalent estimate of 3.2 to 18.7 for vertebrates (median 7.5), but is higher than the plant median of 3.5, (Frankham et al. 2017), but given the small number of estimates, the differences are not significant. The trend for median lethal equivalents to be lower for plants than vertebrates or D. melanogaster probably reflects the definition of an outbreeding plant species as having between zero and 20% selfing (Jarne and Auld 2006), such that many will experience more purging than random mating species.
What biases are there in my estimate of lethal equivalents for D. melanogaster? While the total life history is encompassed in the fitness estimates, there is a bias due to the effects on progeny of having an inbred mother versus a non-inbred one not being fully accounted for. For example, in a random mating population containing Cy/+ and +/+ individuals, such maternal inbreeding only affects the +/+ progeny from +/+ mothers, but not +/+ progeny from Cy/+ mothers. This maternal inbreeding effect on progeny is not accounted for in about half of the available estimates of lethal equivalents for total fitness (Frankham et al. 2017). There is possibly a minor bias in the opposite direction, as correcting for the lack of fitness estimates for chromosome 4 homozygotes via an inbreeding coefficient of 0.99 assumes that the mutation load on chromosome 4 euchromatin is similar to the average load for X, 2, and 3 per proportion of the euchromatic genome. However, chromosome 4 is known to have low genetic diversity compared to other autosomes (Frankham 2012), and lower gene density (Leung et al. 2015), so it probably has a lower mutation load per percentage of the euchromatic genome than they do. However, chromosome 4 is so small that any such effect is miniscule. Further, the concept of inbreeding coefficient as the probability of identity by descent (Malécot 1969) does not distinguish between regions of the genome and the original formulation dealt with pedigrees. Since these biases are in opposite directions, and there is no relevant information to correct for them, I do not consider them further.
My estimate of lethal equivalents for total fitness for D. melanogaster assumes multiplicative fitness interactions, but this assumption underlies the whole lethal equivalents concept. Further, the typical regression and point estimates typically come from very narrow ranges of inbreeding levels. For example, estimates are often based primarily on total fitness data of individuals with inbreeding coefficients of zero to 0.25 in animals, and one is even as low as zero to F = 0.125 (Frankham et al. 2017 Table 3.2), yet the B value is an extrapolation to F = 1. In my case, the individual X, 2 and 3 chromosome loci are all subject to F = 1 and compared with non-inbreds (F = 0), thus involving no extrapolation. It is only in combining the chromosomal fitnesses that the multiplicative assumption is involved. Notably, the potential for purging is essentially eliminated in my estimate.
How far can my results be extrapolated to other invertebrates? I expect that the values of genomic homozygosity for fitness and lethal equivalents will be relatively similar in other Drosophila species, as total fitness of autosomal chromosomal homozygotes in D. pseudoobscura (chromosome 2: 5.0 lethal equivalents; Sved and Ayala 1970), D. willistoni (chromosome 2: 4.4 lethal equivalents; Mourão et al. 1972) are of similar order to those reported for D. melanogaster chromosomes in Table 1. However, there are expected to be differences in genomic lethal equivalents related to different relative sizes of X chromosomes, as in some species the X constitutes ~ 20% of the genome and in others ~ 40% of the genome (due to fusion of an autosomal arm to the X) and an approximately two-fold difference in the euchromatic sizes of the chromosomes (Turelli and Begun 1997; Schaeffer et al. 2008). The species with larger euchromatic X chromosomes are expected to have lower mutation loads, but I am unaware of this issue being raised in conservation and evolutionary genetic considerations.
Extrapolation to other Diptera may also be possible. Extensive karyotype work has shown that Diptera have six conserved (syntenic) regions, often referred to as Muller elements A-F which suggest conservation of gene groupings and linkage (Morelli et al. 2022). As shown for D. melanogaster in Fig. 1, five of these are of similar sizes (A = X, B = 2L, C = 2R, D = 3L and E = 3R), and only the F element (the dot fourth chromosomes) is smaller (Gramates et al. 2022). The A-E elements have similar sizes in mitotic chromosomes (Fig. 1), in euchromatic arms in polytene salivary gland chromosomes, and the euchromatic arms have fairly similar DNA in D. melanogaster (Celniker and Rubin 2003).
These six elements are highly conserved genomically in many Dipteran species (Sved et al. 2016). Overall, no new chromosome arms have been created for perhaps a billion generations over the Drosophila and tephritid fruit fly evolutionary lines. This stability at the chromosome level, which appears to extend to all Diptera including mosquitoes, is in stark contrast to other groups such as mammals, birds, fish, and plants, in which chromosome numbers and organization vary enormously among species that have diverged over many fewer generations (Sved et al. 2016). On this basis, I would as a first approximation extend the expectation of similar mutation loads to Diptera with large population sizes akin to those in D. melanogaster. However, other variables may lead to higher or lower levels in specific species, due to factors including population size bottlenecks, active mobile genetic elements and different sized sex chromosomes.
Several methods have been devised to predict mutation loads from genomic data, including GERP, SIFT, and Provean (Bertorelle et al. 2022; Sandell and Sharp 2022). Unfortunately, estimates of mutation load from these are being used quite widely with limited or inappropriate testing of their validity (reviewed by Kyriazis et al. 2022), yielding suspect conclusion (Ralls et al. 2020; Kardos et al. 2021). Since inbreeding depression is greater for total fitness than for its individual components (Frankham et al. 2017), modelling must use mutation load date for total fitness to accurately predict evolutionary outcomes and guide genetic management. Similarly, calibration of genomic estimates must be based on total fitness effects. Field estimates of haploid lethal equivalents for total fitness in vertebrates have a median of 7.5 (Frankham et al. 2017), while Kyraizis et al. (2022) describe calibrations of 1.55 for mammals (based on data for a single fitness component, juvenile survival in captivity), 2.25 for wild vertebrates (based on data for survival to sexual maturity) and their best models assumed lethal equivalents of 3.15. Given that D. melanogaster and several other members of the genus have reference genomes and have been annotated (Misra et al. 2002; Clark et al. 2007), and there are estimates of lethal equivalents for total fitness for chromosomes X, 2 and 3 and the total genome, D. melanogaster offers excellent opportunities to test genomic estimates of mutation load against direct estimates of mutation load for total fitness.
In conclusion, I estimated that genomic homozygotes in D. melanogaster are essentially lethal, and that the species carries 5.4 haploid lethal equivalents of mutation load. Additional estimates of lethal equivalents for total fitness in invertebrates are sorely needed.