The introduction of PSMA-PET in the management of recurrent PCa generated a patients’ migration to a metastatic disease in earlier stages. Oligorecurrent and oligometastatic patients can be treated with MDT2,18, thus increasing the interest in PSMA-guided therapies. However, there is a lack of evidences regarding the long-term benefit of this approach on oncological outcomes19. In the current multicentric study, we performed a survival analysis in hormone-sensitive PCa patients with PSA recurrence after RP who underwent PSMA-PET and salvage treatments guided by PSMA imaging, evaluating the potential prognostic role of PSMA-PET. In the recurrent setting, PSMA-PET represents a game-changing procedure, identifying those patients at higher-risk who should be treated with a personalized approach in case of oligorecurrent disease or systemic therapy in case of polimetastatic disease 20.
Patients with low PSA level (median of 0.5 ng/ml), suitable for potentially curative salvage treatments were considered and PSMA-PET positivity rate significantly differ in salvage therapy naïve patients (36%) and in patients who received PSMA-PET scan for PSA recurrence after previous salvage therapy (64%). The setting of recurrence reflects the natural history of PCa and may influences both the results of PSMA-PET12, treatments available and oncologic outcomes. In the pre-salvage population (including BPC and patients with first BCR after RP), positive PSMA-PET do not represent a prognostic tool, since patients with positive PSMA-PET had comparable PFS, MFS and CRPC-FS at 3 years compared to men with negative imaging. In this cohort, a positive PSMA-PET identifies men with “macroscopic” recurrent disease (oligorecurrent in most cases) suitable for aggressive curative treatments including conventional salvage RT, different type of MDT and systemic therapies. The condition of proven BCR and negative PSMA-PET might be related by the presence of micro-metastatic disease not detectable by molecular imaging, that may achieve optimal oncologic outcomes with conventional salvage treatments (i.e conventional salvage RT), or less aggressive recurrent disease even suitable for observation in selected cases, due to the lower risk of adverse oncologic outcomes. The sub-optimal PSMA-PET accuracy in early stage of the disease, especially in case of indolent recurrence, might be explained by the limited resolution of current PET scanners, as only lesions greater than 3–4 mm can be adequately detected. In addition, up to 5% of all PCa do not harbors significant PSMA expression12. In post-salvage population (including men who already received previous salvage treatments), positive PSMA-PET was a prognostic parameter as PET positive patients had significantly lower PFS, MFS and CRPC-FS at 3 years compared to men with negative ones (29.1% vs 59.5%, 65.1% vs 92.7% and 88.8% vs. 98.4%, all p ≤ 0.001).
Accordingly, a less aggressive approach (including observation or ADT) could be offered in case of low-risk disease21 (low PSA, long PSA doubling time, low ISUP, and negative PSMA-PET) considering age and previous oncological treatments, since patients with negative PSMA-PET had lower risk of progression. However, prospective data are needed to confirm this hypothesis.
On the contrary, a positive PSMA-PET identifies a population at higher-risk of less favorable prognosis. In this setting, the earlier identification of metastatic patients, compared to conventional imaging, lead to the anticipation of specific treatments in an early stage, despite the clinic management is influenced by previous salvage treatments performed. Patients with positive PSMA-PET are an heterogenous group with different prognosis. Indeed, the early identification of oligometastatic stage, may identify patients suitable for PSMA-guided MDT22. However, despite the adoption of modern approach to positive PSMA-PET lesions including MDT for oligometastatic and novel multidrug approaches for polimetastatic disease, the prognosis of men with positive PSMA-PET is poorer and the risk of metastatic progression and evolution to CRPC status is still high. Further efforts should evaluate different PSMA-PET parameters to identify patients for MDT who may achieve best oncologic benefit.
In patients with positive PSMA-PET no significant differences were found concerning PFS and MFS after stratifying the population considering the number of positive lesions (oligometastatic vs polimetastatic disease) or the site of relapse (local and N1 vs M1 disease) both in pre-salvage and post-salvage settings. The potential candidates for PSMA-guided MDT should be men with oligometastatic disease (≤ 3 lesions) and N1 or M1a-b. However, even in highly selected patients with PSMA-PET for ablative SBRT to nodal or bone metastases, the 25% of cases would be experience immediate PSA progression22.This it could be due to the presence of residual micro-metastases that remain undetectable. However, consolidation of macroscopic metastases may remove or significantly affect signals that promote the development of remaining micro-metastases as suggested by the lower risk of new metastases at 6 months in men treated with MDT of all detectable lesion by PSMA-PET4.
Finally, at multivariate Cox regression, positive PSMA-PET was found to be independent predictor of progression (HR 2.15) and metastases (HR: 2.37). These findings suggest that when PSMA-PET is performed to restage PCa patients, the results of PSMA-PET is a prognostic parameter for oncologic outcomes helping the treating physicians to guide salvage therapies, but also to adopt a more conservative approach in case of negative scan23.
PSMA-PET can be integrated together with further novel biomarkers, including ctDNA, exosomes and genomic panel, to improve the selection of candidate for novel personalized therapy.
Limitation
Despite several strengths, our study is no devoid from limitations. First, the retrospective design of the study may have influenced the selection process of our cohort. However, these data have been derived in each center by prospective studies in consecutive patients. Second, even if a central review was not performed, all PSMA-PET image were evaluated with a local review by PSMA-PET–experienced nuclear medicine physicians according to international reporting procedural guidelines. Third, the short follow-up time after PSMA limited further consideration about long-terms outcomes. Fourth, histologic validation of positive findings was not feasible in all cases due to ethical and practical reasons, and thus the presence of false positive findings cannot be excluded. However, in registry trials24 PSMA-PET demonstrated optimal positive predictive value. Finally, no direct comparison with conventional imaging was performed in terms of treatment change and prognostic effect, since most patients were investigated only with PSMA-PET according to recent EAU recommendations.