Basic information on literature retrieval
First, the title and abstract of the preliminary literature were searched, and qualified literature was screened. Then, the full text was read, and a determination was made as to whether the study met the inclusion criteria. Clinical trials that did not meet the inclusion criteria were excluded. The terms "esophageal or oesophageal," "carcinoma or cancer or neoplasm," "chemoradiotherapy," "concurrent," and "paclitaxel or docetaxel" were used as the search terms. The search retrieved 567 potentially relevant articles, 51 relevant articles were identified by reading the abstracts, and 10 articles were ultimately included after reading the full text. The specific process is shown in Fig. 1.
Basic Characteristics Of The Included Studies
A total of 10 papers [8–17] were included in the systematic evaluation (Table 1), of which nine studies were from China, one from the Netherlands, four were cohort studies, and six were randomized controlled studies (RCTs). A total of 1,098 patients with esophageal cancer were included in the systematic evaluation, the pathological type in nine studies was squamous cell carcinoma and one had both squamous and adenocarcinoma, with a cumulative total of 1,047 cases (95.4%) of squamous carcinoma and 51 cases (4.6%) of adenocarcinoma. There were 560 cases (51.0%) in the PTX group and 538 cases (49.0%) in the PF group. Statistical tests of the baseline data in the PTX and PF groups were reported in all 10 studies, and all were comparable. The radiation dose and the tumor stages differed among the studies, but there was no difference in the comparative results after pooling the 10 studies. All of the studies provided data on chemoradiotherapy-related hematological toxic reactions (myelosuppressive reactions in leukocytes, platelets, and hemoglobin), gastrointestinal reactions (nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea), radiation pneumonia, and radiation esophagitis. Seven studies reported the short-term therapeutic effects on the disease including CR, PR, ORR, and DCR. All 10 studies reported 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates. Six studies reported 1-, 2-, and 3-year PFS rates or survival curves. The basic characteristics of the included studies are shown in Table 1.
Comparison Of Toxicity Between The Ptx And Pf Regimens With Ccrt
All 10 studies reported hematological toxicity. Nine reported gastrointestinal reactions, six reported radiation pneumonia, and eight reported radiation esophagitis, all were analyzed at the cut-off point of ≥ 3 grade toxicities. In hematological toxicity, there was significant heterogeneity among the 10 studies (heterogeneity test: I2 = 68.6%, P = 0.001), which was analyzed by REM. After all the studies were combined, the overall test results showed that the hematological toxicity of the two regimens was similar, and there was no overall difference [RR = 1.22, 95% CI (0.80, 1.86), P = 0.353, Fig. 2A]. Gastrointestinal reaction and radiation pneumonitis were analyzed by the FEM (I2 = 0%, P = 0.812, 0.519). The results showed that there was no significant difference in gastrointestinal reaction or radiation pneumonitis between the two regimens combined with CCRT [RR = 0.94, 95% CI (0.65, 1.35), P = 0.741, Fig. 2B; RR = 0.70, 95% CI (0.35, 1.41), P = 0.321, Fig. 2C]. Eight studies provided data on radiation esophagitis. The FEM (I2 = 44.1%, P = 0.085) was used to analyze the data. The overall test results indicated that the PF regimen resulted in stronger esophageal toxicity [RR = 0.63, 95% CI (0.47, 0.85), P = 0.002, Fig. 2D].
Comparison Of The Short-term Therapeutic Effect Of The Ptx And The Pf Regimens With Ccrt
Six studies provided data on the CR, PR, and DCR of tumors and seven studies provided ORR data; specific efficacy data are shown in Table 2. After combined analysis, the results showed a difference in CR rates between the two regimens, with a range of 17.14–33.33% for the PTX regimen and 7.22–29.27% for the PF regimen; the former was higher than the latter [RR = 1.43, 95% CI (1.04, 1.97), P = 0.029]. There was no significant difference between the two regimens in terms of PR rate, ORR rate, or DCR rate.
Table 2
Results of meta-analysis of the short-term therapeutic effects of the PTX and PF regimens combined with CCRT
Index | Effect model | Test value | Short-term therapeutic effect (%) | RR | 95%CI | P |
PTX | | PF |
Complete Remission (CR) | Fixed effects model | I2 = 0%, P = 0.771 | 17.1–33.3 | | 7.22–29.27 | 1.43 | 1.04–1.97 | 0.029 |
Partial Remission (PR) | Fixed effects model | I2 = 0%, P = 0.830 | 35.2–69.4 | | 28.89–72.22 | 1.05 | 0.88–1.25 | 0.599 |
Objective Response Rate (ORR) | Random effects model | I2 = 50.6%, P = 0.059 | 52.4–91.7 | | 38.14–88.89 | 1.14 | 1.00–1.30 | 0.057 |
Dose Control Rate (DCR) | Fixed effects model | I2 = 16.4%, P = 0.308 | 88.9–97.2 | | 80.0–100 | 1.03 | 0.99–1.08 | 0.164 |
Comparison of overall survival (OS) rate and progression-free survival (PFS) rate between the PTX and PF regimens with CCRT
The reported survival benefits included 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates and 1-, 2-, 3-year PFS rates. Among these, if the year-by-year OS/FPS data were not specifically reported, then the data were extracted from the Kaplan-Meier curve using Engauge-Digitizer software. The specific OS and PFS meta-analysis results from the 10 studies are shown in Table 3, Figs. 3A–D, and Fig. 4A–C. The results of the meta-analysis showed that the 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival rates of the PTX regimen were higher than those of the PF regimen. For long-term survival data, six studies [11–15, 17] reported the 5-year OS rate, and of these, four studies [5, 7, 9, 11] favored a long-term survival benefit of the PTX program, one study [12] tended to benefit from the PF regimen, and one study [14] clearly showed that the 5-year overall survival rate of the PTX regimen was significantly better than that of the PF regimen. The combined meta-analysis results showed that there was no significant statistical difference in 5-year survival rate between the two CCRT regimens. However, the data suggested that the PTX program had a trend toward a benefit [RR = 1.50, 95% CI (0.96, 2.35), P = 0.076, Fig. 3D]. In terms of disease progression-free survival, five studies reported year-on-year PFS data, and one study provided DFS data (in this study, it was regarded as PFS), the combined meta-analysis results showed that the 1-, 2-, and 3-year PFS of the PTX program were significantly higher than the PF program (P = 0.023, < 0.001, 0.014), as shown in Fig. 4A-C.
Table 3
Meta-analysis of survival rates of the PTX and PF regimens combined with CCRT
Index | Effect model | Test value | Survival rate range (%) | RR | 95%CI | P |
PTX | | PF |
1-year survival rate | Fixed effects model | I2 = 0%, P = 0.742 | 59.2–95.0 | | 63.6–93.6 | 1.06 | 1.00–1.13 | 0.048 |
2-year survival rate | Random effects model | I2 = 49.7%, P = 0.037 | 35.0–72.0 | | 27.0–86.2 | 1.19 | 1.02–1.39 | 0.029 |
3-year survival rate | Fixed effects model | I2 = 0.0%, P = 0.473 | 31.9–60.1 | | 22.9–62.6 | 1.28 | 1.10–1.48 | 0.001 |
5-year survival rate | Random effects model | I2 = 54.6%, P = 0.051 | 14.1–39.4 | | 8.2–27.8 | 1.50 | 0.96–2.35 | 0.076 |
1-year PFS rate | Fixed effects model | I2 = 0%, P = 0.448 | 44.9–82.0 | | 48.9–77.4 | 1.13 | 1.02–1.25 | 0.023 |
2-year PFS rate | Fixed effects model | I2 = 0%, P = 0.474 | 27.8–69.4 | | 12.9–55.0 | 1.50 | 1.25–1.79 | < 0.001 |
3-year PFS rate | Fixed effects model | I2 = 9.7%, P = 0.354 | 13.8–49.3 | | 8.3–54.9 | 1.33 | 1.06–1.67 | 0.014 |
Sensitivity And Bias Analysis
Sensitivity analysis was performed due to the high heterogeneity of hematological toxicity, ORR rate, 2-year overall survival rate, and 5-year overall survival rate. The combined effect results after deleting the more divergent articles (Yujia Zhu's study [16]) are shown in Table 4. Results showed that the heterogeneity in ORR rate and 2-year overall survival was reduced, but the heterogeneity of hematological toxicity research remained strong. After deleting Yujia Zhu's study [16], the meta-analysis results showed that the objective remission rate and 2-year overall survival rate of the PTX regimen remained higher than those of the PF regimen [RR = 1.19, 95% CI (1.03, 1.37), P = 0.020; RR = 1.29, 95% CI (1.14, 1.45), P ≤ 0.001]. After deleting the study by Peng Zhang et al. [14], which had the largest variability, the 5-year survival rate results continued to show no significant difference in the long-term survival rate of the two programs [RR = 1.24, 95% CI (0.85, 1.81), P = 0.270].
Table 4
Items | Deleted studies | Heterogeneity analysis I2 | Heterogeneity P value | RR | 95% CI | P |
Hematological toxicity | Yujia Zhu (2017) | 59.30% | 0.012 | 1.084 | 0.727 | 1.617 | 0.693 |
Objective response rate | Yujia Zhu (2017) | 40.20% | 0.137 | 1.186 | 1.028 | 1.368 | 0.020 |
2-year survival rate | Yujia Zhu (2017) | 0.00% | 0.800 | 1.286 | 1.144 | 1.446 | 0.000 |
5-year survival rate | Peng Zhang (2016) | 12.00% | 0.337 | 1.237 | 0.848 | 1.805 | 0.270 |
RR: Relative risk. |
Publication bias was judged based on the results of Begg's test for the included studies. Funnel plots were drawn with SElogRR and logRR as horizontal and vertical coordinates, respectively. The results showed that only the ORR rate indicator was biased, and the funnel plot of Begg's analysis was not symmetrically distributed.
We applied the trim-and-fill analysis method to evaluate the impact of publication bias on the results. If the impact is not large, the results are more robust, and if the impact is large (becomes insignificant), the publication bias must be discussed in the results. In this study, the ORR exhibited publication bias. According to the combination of RR values of the FEM and REM (see Table 5), there was a statistical difference between the PTX and PF groups (P < 0.05) (Fig. 5A). However, there was no significant statistical difference between the two after the cut-and-fill method was applied (P > 0.05) (Fig. 5B). Therefore, this conclusion is not robust enough and requires further research.
Table 5
Results before trim-and-fill analysis
Method | Pooled Est | 95%CI | Asymptotic |
Lower | Upper | Z value | P value |
Fixed | 0.088 | 0.001 | 0.175 | 1.977 | 0.048 |
Random | 0.118 | 0.002 | 0.234 | 1.991 | 0.046 |