The selection of the analyses sample was performed as shown in Figure 1. Out of 2,078,315 adults, blood glucose was measured for 1,812,440 (87.20%) participants. For the rest of the participants some did not give consent, or were interviewed by proxy, or they had some physical limitations barring them from blood glucose measurement. Furthermore, 3,445 (0.2%) individuals did not report all information on diabetes diagnosis, treatment, and sociodemographic characteristics, leaving an analysis sample of 1,808,995 participants with full response which was used to estimate diabetes prevalence. Within this sample, 265,864 (16.1%) were identified as having diabetes and were used to estimate rates of diabetes ATC.
Table 1: Participant Characteristics and adjusted Diabetes Prevalence among adults in India, 2019-21
|
Participants
|
Diabetes Prevalence
|
F-stat (p-value)
|
Characteristic
|
n
|
%
|
%
|
95 % CI
|
|
Overall
|
1808995
|
100.0
|
16.1
|
[15.9,16.1]
|
|
Wealth Quintile
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poorest
|
374555
|
18.4
|
13.1
|
[12.9,13.3]
|
391.14(<0.001)
|
Poorer
|
397856
|
20.0
|
14.3
|
[14.1,14.5]
|
Middle
|
377699
|
20.7
|
15.8
|
[15.6,16.0]
|
Richer
|
348695
|
20.9
|
17.6
|
[17.3,17.8]
|
Richest
|
310190
|
20.0
|
18.8
|
[18.5,19.1]
|
Education
|
|
|
|
|
|
No Education
|
471754
|
25.1
|
13.2
|
[13.0,13.2]
|
718.4 (<0.001)
|
Primary
|
249542
|
14.0
|
16.5
|
[16.2,16.6]
|
Secondary
|
858014
|
46.9
|
17.9
|
[17.7,18.1]
|
Higher
|
229685
|
14.1
|
18.2
|
[17.8,18.5]
|
Age, years
|
|
|
|
|
|
15-29
|
638081
|
35.1
|
5.1
|
[5.0,5.2]
|
12032.8 (<0.001)
|
30-44
|
504550
|
27.6
|
13.2
|
[13.0,13.4]
|
45-59
|
387121
|
21.3
|
25.2
|
[24.9,25.4]
|
60-74
|
227003
|
13.0
|
32.7
|
[32.3,33.0]
|
75+
|
52240
|
2.9
|
33.3
|
[32.7,33.9]
|
Sex
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male
|
844591
|
46.4
|
16.8
|
[16.6,16.9]
|
361.5 (<0.001)
|
Female
|
964404
|
53.6
|
15.4
|
[15.2,15.4]
|
Location
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rural
|
1368285
|
68.4
|
14.9
|
[14.7,15.0]
|
648.6 (<0.001)
|
Urban
|
440710
|
31.6
|
18.5
|
[18.2,18.7]
|
Caste
|
|
|
|
|
|
SC
|
347548
|
21.7
|
15.2
|
[14.9,15.4]
|
318.0 (<0.001)
|
ST
|
342194
|
9.5
|
12.7
|
[12.4,12.9]
|
OBC
|
674072
|
42.0
|
16.2
|
[16.0,16.3]
|
Others
|
445181
|
26.8
|
17.6
|
[17.3,17.8]
|
Religion
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hindu
|
13375813
|
82.4
|
15.7
|
[15.6,15.8]
|
123.1 (<0.001)
|
Muslim
|
209977
|
12.2
|
17.7
|
[17.3,18.0]
|
Christian
|
132674
|
2.6
|
20.2
|
[19.6,20.8]
|
Others
|
90531
|
2.8
|
14.2
|
[13.7,14.6]
|
Marital Status
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unmarried
|
410822
|
22.0
|
14.9
|
[14.5,15.2]
|
24.5 (<0.001)
|
Currently Married
|
1249302
|
69.6
|
16.2
|
[16.0,16.3]
|
Others
|
148871
|
8.4
|
16.1
|
[15.8,16.3]
|
Alcohol Usage
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not Drinking
|
1589858
|
90.5
|
16.2
|
[16.0,16.3]
|
109.1 (<0.001)
|
Drinking
|
219137
|
9.5
|
14.9
|
[14.6,15.1]
|
Tobacco Status
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not Using
|
1341921
|
77.1
|
16.8
|
[16.6,16.9]
|
724.3 (<0.001)
|
Using
|
467074
|
22.9
|
14.2
|
[14.0,14.3]
|
Household Size
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less Than 3
|
397921
|
22.5
|
17.4
|
[17.2,17.6]
|
162.8 (<0.001)
|
4-6 Members
|
1165031
|
63.5
|
15.7
|
[15.5,15.8]
|
More than 7 members
|
246043
|
14.1
|
15.0
|
[14.7,15.1]
|
Table 1 shows characteristics of the full analysis sample and estimates of age-sex adjusted diabetes prevalence. Women made up the majority of the responders (53.6%). Half of the sample completed secondary education. The sample was made up primarily of married (69.4%) and rural (68.4%) people. With an average household size of 4-6 people, more than half of the sample belonged to underprivileged classes.
We estimated the prevalence of diabetes among people aged 15 and older to be 16.1% (15.9-16.1%). Prevalence increases with age and was higher for males (16.8% (16.6-16.9%)) than for females (15.4% (15.2-15.4%)). Adjusted for age and sex, the estimated diabetes prevalence increased significantly in moving from the poorest quintile (13.1% (12.9-13.3%)) to the richest quintile (18.8% (18.5-19.1%)). According to estimates, prevalence increased from 13.2% (13.0-13.2%) for those without a formal education to 18.2% (17.8-18.5%) for those with the highest levels of education. Compared to people living in rural regions, people in urban areas had a greater prevalence of diabetes (18.5% (18.2-18.7%)) in rural and (14.9% (14.7-15.0%)) in urban areas). Additionally, it was higher among those who belonged to the "others" caste, those with small families (of 1-3 members), and those who were married.
In Figure 2, we show the proportion of households with at least one diabetic across states in India. There exist stark observable differences across the households with the least affected being state of Rajasthan with 25.3% (24.5-26.2%) and the most affected being Kerela with 53.6% (52.6-54.6%). On an average in India 32.9% (31.2-34.6%) of the households had at least one diabetic which is nearly one third of all households in India. Out of all the states of India, 20 states had households with at least one diabetic prevalence more than the national average. Economically prosperous states like Goa, and southern states like Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Kerela had more than 40% households with diabetic individuals.
Table 2 shows adjusted percentage of respondents aged 15 years and over having diabetes who (a) were “aware” of this health condition; (b) were under “treatment” for it; and (c) had their blood glucose level under “control”. In total, 27.5 % (27.1-27.9%) were considered to be aware, 21.5 % (21.1-21.7%) to be seeking treatment, and just 7 % (6.8-7.1%) to be in control. The difference in awareness between the lowest and highest quintiles was 23 percentage points (pp). The rich-poor divide was the same for treatment and control, at 21 pp and 6 pp, respectively. Females were more likely than males to be aware of, receiving treatment for, and maintaining control over diabetes. ATC rates were also lower for STs, rural residents, unmarried people, and those with large families (more than 7 members). In comparison to being aware or receiving treatment, participants in younger age groups had more control.
The age-sex adjusted concentration indices for diabetes and for ATC among diabetics for people aged 15 and above are shown in Table 3. Diabetes prevalence concentration indices and ATC concentration indices were all positive, supporting pro-rich inequality. The concentration curves for diabetes and ATC for those with diabetes are shown in Figs. 3.1 and 3.2. We can deduce from Fig. 3.2 that the likelihood that an individual will be aware, treated, or attain control decreases with increasing poverty.
Table 2: Adjusted percent aware, treated and controlled among those with diabetes among adults in India, 2019-21
n=265864
|
Characteristic
|
Awareness
|
F (p value)
|
Treatment
|
F (p value)
|
Control
|
F (p value)
|
|
%
|
95 % CI
|
|
%
|
95 % CI
|
|
%
|
95 % CI
|
|
Overall
|
27.5
|
[27.1,27.9]
|
|
21.5
|
[21.1,21.7]
|
|
7.0
|
[6.8,7.1]
|
|
Wealth Quintile
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poorest
|
14.1
|
[13.5,14.7]
|
660.8 (<0.001)
|
9.9
|
[9.4,10.3]
|
897.8 (<0.001)
|
4.7
|
[4.3,4.9]
|
97.0 (<0.001)
|
Poorer
|
20.3
|
[19.6,20.9]
|
14.1
|
[13.6,14.5]
|
5.8
|
[5.4,6.0]
|
Middle
|
26.3
|
[25.6,26.9]
|
19.8
|
[19.2,20.2]
|
6.7
|
[6.3,6.9]
|
Richer
|
31.6
|
[30.9,32.3]
|
25.3
|
[24.6,25.8]
|
7.5
|
[7.2,7.5]
|
Richest
|
37.3
|
[36.5,38.0]
|
30.8
|
[30.1,31.4]
|
9.1
|
[8.6,9.4]
|
Education
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No Education
|
19.5
|
[19.0,19.9]
|
602.2 (<0.001)
|
14.4
|
[14.0,14.7]
|
644.9 (<0.001)
|
5.4
|
[5.1,5.6]
|
77.1 (<0.001)
|
Primary
|
26.9
|
[26.2,27.5]
|
21.1
|
[20.5,21.6]
|
6.8
|
[6.4,7.0]
|
Secondary
|
32.5
|
[31.9,32.9]
|
26.5
|
[26.0,26.9]
|
8.0
|
[7.7,8.3]
|
Higher
|
37.7
|
[36.5,38.8]
|
29.4
|
[28.4,30.3]
|
8.7
|
[8.1,9.2]
|
Age, years
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15-29
|
15.7
|
[14.9,16.4]
|
647.7 (<0.001)
|
10.6
|
[10.0,11.1]
|
941.8 (<0.001)
|
8.9
|
[8.3,9.4]
|
115.0 (<0.001)
|
30-44
|
19.8
|
[19.1,20.3]
|
12.8
|
[12.4,13.2]
|
4.9
|
[4.6,5.1]
|
45-59
|
29.5
|
[29.0,30.0]
|
23.6
|
[23.0,24.0]
|
6.4
|
[6.0,6.6]
|
60-74
|
35.3
|
[34.7,35.9]
|
29.5
|
[28.9,30.0]
|
8.4
|
[8.0,8.6]
|
75-89
|
33.5
|
[32.4,34.6]
|
27.6
|
[27.4,29.6]
|
8.9
|
[8.5,9.8]
|
Sex
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male
|
25.8
|
[25.3,26.2]
|
|
20.4
|
[20.0,20.7]
|
|
6.6
|
[6.3,6.7]
|
|
Female
|
29.3
|
[28.7,29.7]
|
223.8 (<0.001)
|
22.5
|
[22.1,22.8]
|
87.2 (<0.001)
|
7.4
|
[7.2,7.6]
|
36.5 (<0.001)
|
Location
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rural
|
23.9
|
[23.4,24.3]
|
|
17.7
|
[17.4,18.0]
|
|
8.3
|
[7.9,8.5]
|
|
Urban
|
33.7
|
[32.9,34.4]
|
508.8 (<0.001)
|
27.8
|
[27.2,28.3]
|
966.5 (<0.001)
|
6.3
|
[6.1,6.4]
|
112.7 (<0.001)
|
Caste
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SC
|
25.4
|
[24.6,26.1]
|
|
18.9
|
[18.3,19.4]
|
|
6.6
|
[6.2,6.8]
|
|
ST
|
16.3
|
[15.3,17.1]
|
231.9 (<0.001)
|
12.7
|
[11.9,13.3]
|
239.4 (<0.001)
|
5.5
|
[5.0,5.9]
|
21.2 (<0.001)
|
OBC
|
29.3
|
[28.7,29.9]
|
22.5
|
[22.0,22.8]
|
7.1
|
[6.8,7.3]
|
Others
|
28.9
|
[28.3,29.5]
|
23.6
|
[23.0,24.1]
|
7.5
|
[7.1,7.8]
|
Religion
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hindu
|
26.8
|
[26.3,27.2]
|
|
20.7
|
[20.3,21.0]
|
|
6.9
|
[6.6,7.0]
|
|
Muslim
|
28.3
|
[27.2,29.3]
|
72.7 (<0.001)
|
23.1
|
[22.1,23.9]
|
89.7 (<0.001)
|
7.1
|
[6.6,7.5]
|
15.9 (<0.001)
|
Christian
|
40.9
|
[39.0,42.8]
|
33.6
|
[31.9,35.1]
|
10.2
|
[9.2,11.1]
|
Others
|
28.4
|
[26.9,29.8]
|
22.1
|
[20.9,23.3]
|
6.3
|
[5.5,7.0]
|
Marital Status
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unmarried
|
26.5
|
[25.0,27.9]
|
|
21.1
|
[19.7,22.4]
|
|
7.3
|
[6.5,8.0]
|
|
Currently Married
|
27.9
|
[27.4,28.3]
|
12.1(<0.001)
|
21.8
|
[21.4,22.0]
|
8.9 (<0.001)
|
7.0
|
[6.8,7.1]
|
0.6 (0.5250)
|
Others
|
26.2
|
[25.4,26.8]
|
20.3
|
[19.7,20.9]
|
6.8
|
[6.4,7.2]
|
Alcohol Usage
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not Drinking
|
27.9
|
[27.5,28.3]
|
|
21.9
|
[21.5,22.1]
|
|
7.1
|
[6.9,7.2]
|
|
Drinking
|
24.4
|
[23.5,25.2]
|
70.5 (<0.001)
|
18.1
|
[17.4,18.8]
|
102.9 (<0.001)
|
6.3
|
[5.8,6.6]
|
11.9 (0.0005)
|
Tobacco Status
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not Using
|
30.6
|
[30.1,31.0]
|
|
24.2
|
[23.8,24.5]
|
|
7.5
|
[7.3,7.7]
|
|
Using
|
19.8
|
[19.3,20.2]
|
1279.3 (<0.001)
|
14.6
|
[14.2,15.0]
|
1393.8 (<0.001)
|
5.6
|
[5.3,5.8]
|
131.4 (<0.001)
|
Household Size
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less Than 3
|
29.3
|
[28.6,29.9]
|
|
23.4
|
[22.8,23.8]
|
|
7.3
|
[7.0,7.6]
|
|
4-6 Members
|
27.0
|
[26.5,27.4]
|
37.9 (<0.001)
|
21.0
|
[20.6,21.3]
|
82.2 (<0.001)
|
6.9
|
[6.7,7.1]
|
6.2 (0.002)
|
More than 7 members
|
25.3
|
[24.5,26.1]
|
18.3
|
[17.6,18.9]
|
6.5
|
[6.1,6.9]
|
Table 3: Adjusted concentration indices for diabetes and for ATC among those with diabetes in India, 2019-21
|
|
|
Variables
|
Wagstaff Concentration Index (95% CI)
|
n
|
Diabetes Prevalence
|
0.023 [0.022,0.024]
|
1808995
|
Awareness
|
0.089[0.085,0.092]
|
265864
|
Treatment
|
0.083 [0.079,0.085]
|
265864
|
Control
|
0.017 [0.015,0.1827]
|
265864
|
The state-level variance in age-sex adjusted diabetes prevalence and rates of ATC among individuals with diabetes is shown in Figure 4. In 15 of the 36 states, the prevalence of diabetes was higher than the 16.1% national average and ranged from 10.0 % (9.6-10.4%) in Rajasthan to 23.2 % (22.6-23.7%) in Lakshadweep. Diabetes awareness levels ranged from 14.4% (12.1-16.8%) in Meghalaya to 54.4% (40.3-68.4%) in Telangana. Treatment rates varied from 9.3% (7.5-11.1%) in Nagaland to 41.2% (39.9-42.6%) in Lakshadweep. The projected percentage of diabetes cases with controlled blood sugar was below the national average of 7% in 21 out of 36 states. The percentage with controlled blood glucose level varied from 2.7% (1.6-3.7%) in Nagaland to 11.9% (9.7-14.0%) in Tamil Nadu.
Figure 5 displays the adjusted concentration indices for diabetes and for ATC among persons who have the disease by state, ranked from lowest to highest. With the exception of one state, this index's point estimate is positive, pointing that a proportionately greater prevalence of diabetes among those with higher incomes. The majority of the 95 % confidence bands do not contain 0, which is consistent with inequality. Similar results were found for ATC, with the exception of a small number of states, showing that those who were better off were more likely to be aware of having diabetes, seek treatment for it, and have it under control in those states.
For each of the outcomes, multivariable logistic regressions average marginal effects are shown in Figure 6. After adjusting for sociodemographic traits and states, it was determined that people in the richest fifth had a 5.7 pp (5.3- 6.1) greater prevalence of diabetes than those in the lowest fifth. Greater prevalence was seen in elderly persons, people who lived in urban areas, those with tiny nuclear families, and married people. Socioeconomic differences in ATC remained unchanged even after controlling for features and state. According to estimates, the ATC's poorest and richest fifths differ by 12.4 pp (11.3-13.4), 10.5 pp (9.7-11.4) and 2.3 pp (1.6-3.0) respectively. After controlling for other factors, the outcomes remained better for women, nuclear families, and urban dwellers. While keeping all other variables constant, awareness and treatment were higher among older persons when compared to control among the same older individuals.