In this retrospective study, a tumor size ≥ 30 mm and CIS-positive NMIBC increased the UTUC recurrence after initial TURBT for primary NMIBC. Moreover, high grade, cTis or cT1, and high- or highest-risk NMIBC may also be related to the recurrence rate. Previous reports have described that high-risk and CIS-positive NMIBC were prognostic factors for UTUC recurrence after treatment with NMIBC, and this study showed similar results [5, 6]. Moreover, there are reports of UTUC recurrence after radical cystectomy. Similarly, some studies demonstrate that CIS was a risk factor for UTUC recurrence [14–16].
CIS may also have an impact on OS beyond the UTUC recurrence. Figure 4 shows that a tumor size ≥ 30 mm and presence of CIS increased the all-cause mortality. Previous reports described that a history of CIS-positive NMIBC developed aggressive UTUC and increased the cancer-related mortality rate after radical nephroureterectomy for UTUC [17]. Similarly, in this study, although 17 (89.5%) of 19 patients with UTUC recurrence underwent radical operations for recurrent lesions, patients in the UTUC recurrence group had a worse prognosis. Accordingly, follow-up of the upper urinary tract in patients with CIS-positive NMIBC might be necessary to diagnose the UTUC recurrence at an early stage.
Some previous reports are skeptical about the routine surveillance imaging for diagnosing UTUC recurrence after the treatment with NMIBC [12, 18]. In contrast to previous reports, in this study, of 19 patients with UTUC recurrence, most (84.2%) were diagnosed by routine surveillance imaging, cystoscopy, or urine cytology, and only one (5.3%) was diagnosed by the presence of symptoms (Table 4). Moreover, several cases were found to present with invasive urothelial cancer, and 9 cases (47.4%) in the UTUC recurrence group had progressed to muscle invasion from non-muscle invasive disease. If routine surveillance imaging was not performed in these patients, unresectable or metastatic disease may have developed.
Sixteen (84.2%) of the 19 patients with UTUC recurrence received intravesical BCG therapy for primary NMIBC, and there were more patients who received intravesical BCG therapy in the UTUC recurrence group than those in the non-UTUC recurrence group (Tables 2 and 4). Previous reports described that the incidence of UTUC recurrence in patients who received intravesical BCG therapy for NMIBC was 7.6–8.9%, which was higher than that reported in our cohort (2.2%) [19, 20]. This could be attributed to the fact that there were more patients with CIS-positive and/or high- or highest-risk NMIBC in the cohorts of previous reports than in our retrospective cohort. Moreover, in this study, the mean period to diagnose UTUC recurrence was 58.1 months, and three patients were diagnosed with UTUC recurrence more than ten years after initial TURBT (Tables 2 and 4), suggesting that the long-term follow-up of the upper urinary tract is necessary for patients receiving intravesical BCG therapy.
In contrast, the overall incidence of UTUC after TURBT for primary NMIBC in our study was very low at 2.2%, which was almost the same as that of previous reports [1–4, 12]. Moreover, there were no patients with low- and intermediate-risk NMIBC who experienced a UTUC recurrence (Table 4). In fact, current guidelines do not recommend routine surveillance imaging for low- and intermediate-risk NMIBC [7–11]. Accordingly, routine surveillance imaging is recommended for high- or highest-risk NMIBC, especially when both tumor size ≥ 30 mm and CIS-positive NMIBC are identified. For patients with low- or intermediate-risk NMIBC, follow-up with ultrasonography and urine cytology, which are noninvasive, without radiographic imaging, such as CTU, might be sufficient.
This study has several limitations. First, data on patients were collected retrospectively, and a potential selection bias may have occurred. For example, this cohort included cases from 1980 onwards. To date, the diagnostic abilities of radiographic imaging and endoscopic techniques have advanced, and follow-up has not been uniform between cases. Second, intravesical BCG therapy mostly depends on each attending physician and is not uniformly administered for CIS-positive and high-risk NMIBC. Moreover, the number of cases with UTUC recurrence was so small that the HR of intravesical BCG therapy after TURBT could not be calculated, and its impact could not be assessed. Third, since multiple surgeons performed TURBT, prognosis might have been influenced by differences in skill. Further prospective cohort studies are required to substantiate the findings of this study.