Sample characteristics
At pre-deployment, most participants were male (93.0%), White/Caucasian (61.9%), regular active duty (87.5%), junior enlisted rank (69.8%), and had no prior deployments (74.5%). See Table 1 for all sample characteristics.
Table 1. Sample characteristics (N=1087)
Characteristic
|
Mean ± SD or No. (%)
|
Demographics (pre-deployment)
|
|
Age, y
|
25.8 (5.9)
|
Gender
|
|
Male
|
1011 (93.0%)
|
Female
|
76 (7.0%)
|
Race/ethnicity
|
|
White, non-Hispanic
|
673 (61.9%)
|
Black, non-Hispanic
|
156 (14.4%)
|
Asian, non-Hispanic
|
35 (3.2%)
|
Hispanic
|
127 (11.7%)
|
Other
|
95 (8.7%)
|
(missing)
|
1 (0.1%)
|
Military variables
|
|
Duty status, pre-deployment
|
|
Regular Active Duty
|
951 (87.5%)
|
Activated Reservist
|
136 (12.5%)
|
Rank, pre-deployment
|
|
Non-commissioned officers
|
286 (26.3%)
|
Junior enlisted
|
759 (69.8%)
|
Officers (commissioned or warrant)
|
31 (2.9%)
|
(missing)
|
11 (1.0%)
|
Perceived preparedness, pre-deployment
|
|
Yes, prepared
|
729 (67.1%)
|
No, not prepared
|
356 (32.7%)
|
(missing)
|
2 (0.2%)
|
Military occupation type, pre-deployment
|
|
Combat arms
|
529 (48.6%)
|
Combat support
|
173 (15.9%)
|
Service support
|
379 (34(9%)
|
(missing)
|
6 (0.6%)
|
Prior operational deployment, pre-deployment
|
|
Yes
|
32 (2.9%)
|
No
|
810 (74.5%)
|
(missing)
|
245 (22.6%)
|
Length of military service, pre-deployment, y
|
4.6 (4.8)
|
Duty status at last PCL-C assessment
|
|
Regular Active Duty
|
486 (44.7%)
|
Reservist
|
271 (24.9%)
|
Military Veteran
|
310 (28.5%)
|
(missing)
|
20 (1.9%)
|
No. deployments subsequent to index deployment (at last PCL-C assessment)
|
1.6 (0.8)
|
Neurocognitive resources
|
|
Native intellectual potential (pre-deployment NES3 Vocabulary, summary score)
|
17.0 (4.2)
|
Pre-deployment visual learning (WMS Visual Reproductions, immediate recall, summary score)
|
7.6 (2.4)
|
Pre-deployment visual memory (WMS Visual Reproductions, delayed recall, summary score)
|
7.7 (2.4)
|
Change in visual learning after deployment (post-deployment – pre-deployment WMS Visual Reproductions immediate recall summary scores)
|
0.1 (2.1)
|
Change in visual memory after deployment (post-deployment – pre-deployment WMS Visual Reproductions, delayed recall, summary scores)
|
0.0 (2.2)
|
Social resources
|
|
Pre-deployment unit support, DRRI Unit Support scale, summary score
|
37.4 (10.9)
|
Deployment unit support, DRRI Unit Support scale, summary score
|
38.4 (11.3)
|
Post-deployment general social support, DRRI Social Support scale, summary score
|
56.7 (9.9)
|
Change in marital status (at any assessment)
|
|
Married-to-Single
|
55 (5.1%)
|
Single-to-Married
|
86 (7.9%)
|
No-Change
|
808 (74.3%)
|
(missing)
|
138 (12.7%)
|
Stress Exposures
|
|
Pre-military stressful life events, DRRI Life Events scale, summary score
|
4.5 (3.4)
|
Perceived war-zone threat, DRRI Deployment Concerns scale, summary score
|
45.8 (10.6)
|
Stressful war-zone events, DRRI combined Combat Experiences and Post-battle scales, summary score
|
17.2 (7.7)
|
Deployment home front concerns, DRRI Life and Family Concerns summary score
|
25.0 (7.6)
|
Due to missing data, the sample size varies across measures.
Abbreviations: PCL-C=PTSD Checklist, civilian version. NES3=Neurobehavioral Evaluation System, 3rd revision. WMS=Wechsler Memory Scale. DRRI=Deployment Risk and Resilience Inventory.
PTSD symptom trajectories
The spline model that included random intercept, and random pre- and post-deployment slope parameters provided the best fit as the unconditional one-class model. In latent class growth mixture models, overall improvement of model fit indices with higher number of classes suggests the presence of trajectory subgroups (Table 2). A four-class model with class-specific variance-covariance matrices for two subgroups (Classes 2 and 4) and zero variance and covariance for two subgroups (Classes 1 and 3) consistently performed well across fit indices. We selected this model as the final unconditional latent profile model because it was theoretically grounded and produced classes with relatively balanced size memberships to provide stable estimates.
Table 2. Fit indices across best-fitting latent growth mixture models of PCL-C severity score
Modela
|
npar
|
n-adj BIC
|
CAIC
|
AWE
|
Bayes Factor
|
Entropy
|
Smallest Class Size
|
1 class
|
10
|
22544.50
|
22586.27
|
22676.18
|
2.95e-179
|
-
|
-
|
2 class
|
21
|
21687.40
|
21775.10
|
21963.91
|
4.48e-53
|
0.76
|
39%
|
3 class
|
23
|
21439.97
|
21536.03b
|
21742.82b
|
0.24b
|
0.73
|
17%
|
4 class
|
31
|
21411.72b
|
21541.18b
|
21819.90b
|
1297.90b
|
0.72
|
8%
|
5 class
|
36
|
21410.17b
|
21560.51
|
21884.20
|
-
|
0.75
|
2%
|
aFor the 3, 4, and 5-class models, the least restrictive variance-covariance configuration produced uninterpretable estimates. Consequently, for the 3-class model, the covariances of all classes were constrained to zero; for the 4-class model, the variances and covariances of classes 1 and 3 were constrained to zero; for the 5-class model, the variances and covariances of classes 2, 4, and 5 were constrained to zero.
bIndicates the two top-performing classes for each fit index.
Abbreviations: PCL-C=PTSD Checklist, civilian version. n-adj BIC=sample-adjusted Bayesian Information Criteria. CAIC=Consistent Akaike's Information Criterion. AWE=Approximate Weight of Evidence Criterion. BF=Bayes Factor.
The four-class latent profiles are presented in Figure 2: (1) primarily asymptomatic (“asymptomatic”) (n=194; 17.8%), (2) post-deployment worsening symptoms (“post-deployment worsening”) (n=84; 7.7%), (3) mild symptoms (“mild”) (n=320; 29.4%), and (4) pre-existing, chronically elevated post-deployment symptoms (“high, chronic”) (n=489; 45.0%). In sum, over half of the sample (52.7%) belonged to classes indicating poor long-term outcomes.
Associations between covariates and trajectory class
As shown in Table 3, higher odds of belonging to the high, chronic symptom class, relative to the asymptomatic class, were associated with reservist or veteran status (vs. active duty) at most recent PCL-C assessment, lower pre-deployment Visual Reproduction performance, lower pre-deployment unit support, more cumulative pre-deployment stressful life events, and more index deployment warzone events. Higher odds of belonging to the mild symptom class, relative to the asymptomatic class, were associated with identifying as non-Hispanic White vs. racial/ethnic minority, lower pre-deployment Visual Reproduction performance, lower pre-deployment unit support, more higher pre-deployment stressful life events, and more index deployment warzone events. No covariates significantly distinguished post-deployment worsening vs. asymptomatic classes.
Table 3. Multinomial logistic regression predicting latent trajectory class membership, in asymptomatic class vs. other classes
|
Asymptomatic (n=190) vs.
|
|
High, chronic
(n=481)
|
Post-deployment worsening (n=78)
|
Mild
(n=318)
|
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
Race/ethnicity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Racial/ethnic minority
|
(ref)
|
--
|
(ref)
|
--
|
(ref)
|
--
|
White/non-Hispanic
|
1.08 (0.69-1.69)
|
0.75
|
1.67 (0.80-3.49)
|
0.17
|
2.74 (1.60-4.68)
|
< 0.0001
|
Duty status, last PCL-C
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Active duty
|
(ref)
|
--
|
(ref)
|
--
|
(ref)
|
--
|
Reservist
|
1.73 (1.04-2.87)
|
0.04
|
1.05 (0.43-2.55)
|
0.91
|
1.22 (0.70-2.12)
|
0.48
|
Veteran
|
2.90 (1.67-5.07)
|
< 0.0001
|
1.85 (0.84-4.11)
|
0.13
|
1.13 (0.60-2.10)
|
0.71
|
Pre-deployment VR learning
|
0.87 (0.81-0.94)
|
< 0.0001
|
0.90 (0.81-1.01)
|
0.07
|
0.90 (0.83-0.98)
|
0.02
|
Pre-deployment unit support
|
0.95 (0.93-0.96)
|
< 0.0001
|
1.00 (0.98-1.02)
|
0.94
|
0.98 (0.96-1.00)
|
0.01
|
Pre-deployment DRRI Life Events
|
1.22 (1.14-1.31)
|
< 0.0001
|
1.00 (0.88, 1.14)
|
0.99
|
1.15 (1.06-1.23)
|
< 0.0001
|
DRRI war-zone events
|
1.12 (1.09-1.15)
|
< 0.0001
|
1.02 (0.98-1.07)
|
0.30
|
1.04 (1.01-1.07)
|
0.01
|
aCombined score from the DRRI Combat Experiences and Post-Battle Events scales.OR=odds ratio. CI=confidence interval. PCL-C=PTSD Checklist, civilian version. VR=Visual Reproductions. DRRI=Deployment Risk and Resilience Inventory.