Extrahepatic recurrence (EHR) after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with a poor prognosis. We investigated the features of EHR and identified its predictive factors.
This retrospective study included 398 treatment-naive patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC at two tertiary hospitals. Multivariate analysis via Cox-regression was performed to identify the variables associated with EHR.
EHR was diagnosed in 94 patients (23.6%) over a median follow-up period of 5.92 years, most commonly in the lungs (42.6%). The 5-/10-year cumulative rates of HCC recurrence and EHR were 63.0%/75.6% and 18.1%/35.0%, respectively.. The median time to EHR was 2.06 years. Intrahepatic HCC recurrence was not observed in 38.3% of patients on EHR diagnosis. On multivariate analysis, bile duct invasion, tumor necrosis, sum of tumor size > 7 cm, macrovascular invasion, first recurrence free survival < 1 year, and serum alpha fetoprotein > 400 IU/mL during recurrence were predictive of EHR. Four risk levels and their respective EHR were defined: very low risk, 2-/5-year, 0.7%/14.2%; low risk, 2-/5-year, 6.4%/31.0%; intermediate risk, 2-/5-year, 21.9%/73.1%; and high risk, 2-/3-year, 70.8%/100.0%.
Our predictive model clarifies the clinical course of EHR and could improve the follow-up strategy to improve outcomes.
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No competing interests reported.
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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Posted 25 Feb, 2021
On 22 Feb, 2021
Received 17 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
Invitations sent on 15 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
On 12 Feb, 2021
Posted 25 Feb, 2021
On 22 Feb, 2021
Received 17 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
Invitations sent on 15 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
On 15 Feb, 2021
On 12 Feb, 2021
Extrahepatic recurrence (EHR) after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with a poor prognosis. We investigated the features of EHR and identified its predictive factors.
This retrospective study included 398 treatment-naive patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC at two tertiary hospitals. Multivariate analysis via Cox-regression was performed to identify the variables associated with EHR.
EHR was diagnosed in 94 patients (23.6%) over a median follow-up period of 5.92 years, most commonly in the lungs (42.6%). The 5-/10-year cumulative rates of HCC recurrence and EHR were 63.0%/75.6% and 18.1%/35.0%, respectively.. The median time to EHR was 2.06 years. Intrahepatic HCC recurrence was not observed in 38.3% of patients on EHR diagnosis. On multivariate analysis, bile duct invasion, tumor necrosis, sum of tumor size > 7 cm, macrovascular invasion, first recurrence free survival < 1 year, and serum alpha fetoprotein > 400 IU/mL during recurrence were predictive of EHR. Four risk levels and their respective EHR were defined: very low risk, 2-/5-year, 0.7%/14.2%; low risk, 2-/5-year, 6.4%/31.0%; intermediate risk, 2-/5-year, 21.9%/73.1%; and high risk, 2-/3-year, 70.8%/100.0%.
Our predictive model clarifies the clinical course of EHR and could improve the follow-up strategy to improve outcomes.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
No competing interests reported.
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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