In this single-center, prospective cohort study, we evaluated the reasons for terminating CRRT in association with MAP, and its influence on death/withdrawal during CRRT. CRRT was discontinued in 49.9% of our patients after renal recovery or HD transition, whereas another 50% terminated CRRT due to death/withdrawal. An initially low MAP (Q1, MAP ≤ 69 mmHg and Q2, MAP ≤ 77.1 mmHg) had a 1.3-fold higher risk, and older age, a higher SOFA score, and oliguria at CRRT initiation were the additional risk factors. Among patients in whom CRRT was discontinued after kidney recovery or transitioning to HD, only 13.3% died, whereas 94.3% of patients who died/withdrew from CRRT died in the hospital, corresponding to 19-fold higher odds of in-hospital mortality.
Withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment from critically ill patients has been previously studied in diverse life supporting modalities. In the study of Sjokvist et al. 7, physician’s perception that the patient preferred not to use life support, physician prediction that the patient’s likelihood of survival in the ICU was < 10%, a high likelihood of poor cognitive function, and the use of inotropes or a vasopressor independently affected the decision to withhold ventilator therapy. In a nationwide survey in a German cardiac ICU 8, multi-organ failure, failure of assist device therapy, a poor cardiac index, a poor expected quality-of-life, and patient desire to limit medical care were important. In a prospective study of 37 ICUs in 17 European countries 9, limiting therapy was related to patient age, acute and chronic diagnoses, the number of days in the ICU, the frequency of patient turnover, and religion.
Withdrawal of CRRT is not uncommon in ICUs. In the BEST KIDNEY study 6, 135 (13.4%) of 1,006, and, in our cohort, 285 (12.1%) of 2,346, withdrew. However, little is known about the precipitating factors. As a futile prognosis is a relative contraindication to CRRT initiation 10, our information on the risk factors for death/withdrawal of CRRT should help decision-making in terms of CRRT initiation, in turn reducing the therapeutic burden.
Hypotension is associated with ICU patients’ outcomes. In a retrospective study of septic patients conducted in 110 US hospitals, the odds of in-hospital mortality increased 11.4 (95% CI, 7.8–15.1)%, AKI increased 7.0 (95% CI, 4.7–9.5)%, and myocardial injury increased 4.5-fold (95% CI, 0.4–8.7)% when the time-weighted average MAP was < 65 mmHg 11. In a retrospective analysis of the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database (Boston, MA, USA), MAP < 65 mmHg lasting > 2 hours was associated with 1.76-fold higher odds of ICU mortality 12. Relatively higher MAP cut-off levels were suggested for CRRT patients. A retrospective study of 2,292 AKI patients who underwent CRRT reported that MAP < 82.7 mmHg at the initiation of CRRT was associated with 1.21 (1.01–1.45)-fold higher odds of mortality 13. Our study showed that a MAP < 77.1 mmHg at CRRT initiation was associated with a 1.3-fold higher risk of death/withdrawal during CRRT. Maintenance of kidney perfusion, ultrafiltration, and cardiac stunning 14 may be associated with higher MAP requirements in CRRT patients compared to other critically ill patients without CRRT.
Older age is a traditional risk factor for withdrawal of life support therapy9,15 and mortality in patients admitted to the ICU 16. Consistently, each 1-year increase in age was associated with a 1.7% higher risk of death/withdrawal of CRRT and a 1.3% higher risk of in-hospital mortality in our cohort. Multiple comorbidities, delayed resuscitation 18, and a higher level of DNR instructions 19 may have been important in this regard.
The SOFA score predicts the outcomes of critically ill patients 20; consistent with previous studies 21, a higher SOFA score at CCRT initiation was predictive of death/withdrawal of CRRT. Unlike age, the SOFA score changes in response to treatment. Flavio et al. 22 showed the usefulness of serial evaluation of the SOFA score to predict the outcomes of critically ill patients; an increase in the SOFA score during the first 48 hours in the ICU predicted a mortality rate of at least 50%, and a decrease in the SOFA score predicted a mortality rate < 27%, independent of the initial score. The SOFA score decreases with appropriate treatment of patients requiring CRRT; thus, the pattern of change in the SOFA score during the course of disease might be a more reliable predictor of withdrawal of therapy rather than a single SOFA score calculated at CRRT initiation. This needs to be evaluated in future studies.
Oliguria is a poor prognostic marker for AKI 23. Etienne et al. 24 reported that patients with oliguric AKI had an increased mortality rate, increased dialysis requirements, and longer ICU and hospital stays compared to those without. Nathan et al. 25 showed that oliguria lasting > 12 hours was associated with a higher risk of 90-day mortality in 15,620 critically ill patients. As the expected- QOL after ICU survival is important when deciding to withdraw life support treatment8; oliguria is an explainable factor in predicting early death or withdrawal of CRRT.
Several limitations of this study should be discussed. First, as each physician made the decision to terminate CRRT, clear criteria for kidney recovery and HD transition have not been defined. Therefore, uniform CRRT termination criteria were unavailable. Second, the detailed reasons for withdrawal of CRRT were not collected. Third, the reasons why CCRT was initiated were not described.
We found that about 13% of patients withdrew from CRRT in ICUs, strongly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. A low MAP at CRRT initiation, older age, a higher SOFA score, and oliguria at CRRT initiation were the relevant risk factors. An additional prospective study is needed to predict a futile prognosis at the time of CRRT initiation.