To the best of our knowledge, the current analysis involving pooling of direct and indirect comparisons has provided the most comprehensive evidence with respect to comparisons of the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of various antimicrobial regimens for treating cIAIs. Our protocol was prospectively registered at PROSPERO in order to minimize the chance of duplication and reduce opportunities for reporting bias. Our NMA incorporated data for 7 antimicrobial regimens across 45 RCTs to compare differences and determine the relative ranking of antibiotics of empirical therapy for cIAIs in terms of efficacy, safety, and tolerability. Our study is timely considering the novel antimicrobials (e.g., ceftolozane/tazobactam, eravacycline) that clinicians can prescribe as a potential treatment plan for cIAIs in adults. Compared with several previous pairwise meta-analyses (8–10, 25–28), our study provided comprehensive evidence regarding the relative efficacy, safety, and tolerability of different antimicrobial regimens and clear evidence with respect to which specific antimicrobial regimens are the best candidates for the empirical treatment of cIAIs.
A major finding of our study was that cephalosporin-based regimens are slightly more efficacious than tigecycline with regard to clinical success rate and appear to provide the highest benefit among the examined therapeutic regimens in terms of clinical and bacteriological outcomes. These results did not change based on sensitivity analyses. Therefore, a cephalosporin plus metronidazole is considered as a superior therapeutic choice in patients with cIAIs. Few studies have explored the differences in clinical efficacy between cephalosporin-based regimens and tigecycline. The present results further support the recommendations of the guideline published by the Surgical Infection Society in 2017 (1), which suggested the use of a cephalosporin plus metronidazole for initial empiric therapy in low-risk patients with cIAIs. Clinical data from 3,233 cIAI patients published in 2016 by Ouyang et al. indicated that a cephalosporin plus metronidazole should be first-line option for empirical therapy cIAI patients (5), which strengthens our results. The comparison of carbapenems and tigecycline in our pairwise meta-analysis was of borderline significance, but no significant difference was observed in the NMA. A Bayesian meta-analysis of 15 studies comparing the effectiveness of individual carbapenems versus tigecycline showed consistent results (29). Thus, the borderline significance result in our study should be interpreted conservatively (30). Perhaps there is a small true difference between carbapenems and tigecycline in cIAI patients, but additional high-quality data are urgently needed to clarify this issue. Our NMAs indicated that other antimicrobial regimens (monotherapy or in combination with metronidazole) provide comparable effects in terms of clinical and microbiological outcomes, in line with previous meta-analyses (8–10, 25–28), which suggests these regimens may be suitable for selection as initial empirical therapy in cIAI patients.
The severity of illness is an important factor in guiding the subsequent selection of empirical antimicrobial therapy and optimization of the selection of source control. A high APACHE II score is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes in cIAI patients. The current guideline recommends that cIAI patients with an APACH II score ≥ 10 be considered at increased risk of adverse outcome in future management (1). The present study is the first NMA to examine differences between antimicrobial agents in terms of clinical efficacy in higher-risk cIAI patients, and none of the 9 treatments examined, including 2 novel β-lactam/β-lactamase combination antibiotics (ceftazidime/avibactam, ceftolozane/tazobactam), were superior. Regrettably, an insufficient number of events reported only in 12 studies increased the uncertainty of the results. A future study should examine more data from separate studies of high-risk patients to verify our findings.
The second main finding of this study was that no one antibiotic agent or regimen, including tigecycline, was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, although tigecycline exhibited poor safety and tolerability, as defined by withdrawal due to adverse events, when compared with carbapenems and cephalosporins plus metronidazole. Excess mortality in patients who received tigecycline with some infections (i.e., hospital-acquired pneumonia) has aroused considerable concern (31, 32). Our results indicate that the use of tigecycline at the standard dose of an initial 100 mg followed by 50 mg every 12 h did not contribute to imbalanced mortality in cIAI patients. However, our findings suggest that tigecycline may not be a good first choice for empirical therapy in patients with cIAI because of its poor safety and tolerability profiles, which again confirms the current guideline(1). These findings diverged from a previous guideline issued in 2010 indicating the use of tigecycline for the initial empiric treatment of mild-to-moderate community-acquired infections (3). Our findings reflect the real-time and supplementary evidence regarding the efficacy and safety of tigecycline compared with other regimens for cIAI treatment. Indeed, other studies have shown higher rates of adverse events in patients treated with tigecycline relative to those treated with comparators (29, 33). Nevertheless, tigecycline remains an important treatment option for patients suspected of have an infection with an antibiotic-resistant pathogen (1, 34, 35).
Finally, considering the efficacy, safety, and tolerability profiles for cIAIs of novel antimicrobials, including eravacycline, ceftazidime/avibactam, ceftolozane/tazobactam, and imipenem/cilastatin/relebactam, our present NMA results indicated the noninferiority of these regimens to carbapenems or tigecycline in terms of clinical and microbiological outcomes and had favorable safety and their tolerability profiles, consistent with previous meta-analyses (25–27). Furthermore, our NMA provided evidence that two novel beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitors plus metronidazole were similar to eravacycline for empirical therapy of cIAIs with respect to efficacy, safety, and tolerability. Given that the increasing prevalence of antibiotic-resistant gram-negative pathogens, especially carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae (36), our findings provide useful information to inform clinical physicians prescribing empiric antimicrobials when infection with difficult-to-treat gram-negative pathogens are suspected. These findings also provide evidence regarding effective carbapenem-sparing options to preserve the activity of these agents.
Several limitations of our NMA should be considered in the interpretation of our results. First, we failed to conduct an NMA for serious adverse events due to inconsistencies in some comparisons. Seven studies (37–43) used defined criteria for SAEs, whereas the remaining studies classified SAEs based on investigator’ judgement. Discrepancies between studies in terms of judging SAEs could lead to statistical inconsistencies. Second, as with other meta-analyses, heterogeneity was an inherent limitation. Although we used strict eligibility criteria to ensure that the studies included were as homogeneous as possible, differences in participant characteristics, study duration, and study design might have increased the heterogeneity. These confounding factors might have weakened the internal validity of the evidence. However, the publications did not provide sufficient patient-level data and study characteristics, which impeded the examination of sources of heterogeneity. Third, the methodological quality of some studies was low; for example, ≥ 50% of trials did not provide adequate information about allocation concealment, and 31.1% of studies lacked blinding of participants and outcome assessors. The high risk of bias could diminish the reliability and robustness of the findings, although sensitivity analyses confirmed the consistency of results for most comparisons. Fourth, we did not include placebo-controlled studies owing to ethical standards, which prevented assessment of the efficacy and safety of antibiotic treatment versus no antibiotic treatment. Therefore, we only synthesized outcome data for the relative efficacy and safety of agents used for the treatment of cIAIs. Only including active-controlled studies could have contributed to smaller relative effects compared with included placebo-controlled studies. Fifth, although we conducted a separate NMA of comparative efficacy of antibiotics in high- risk patients, only 12 studies with low event numbers were included. Therefore, the results were inconclusive, and more data will be needed to verify the findings. Sixth, most studies included few individuals more vulnerable to treatment failure or death. For example, some studies excluded patients with an APACHE II score > 30; thus, our findings should be extrapolated cautiously in this population. Seventh, as local bacterial epidemiology, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics data for the antibacterial agents, cost-effectiveness and availability of antibiotics, and physiopathologic factors collectively played a role in the selection of empirical antimicrobial therapies, it is impossible to take into account all factors in this study. For example, there is high prevalence of ESBL- producing Escherichia coli in China. Approximately 53.8% and 39.3% of E. coli were resistant to levofloxacin and ampicillin-sulbactam (http://www.chinets.com/Document/Index?pageIndex=0) and they may be prescribed cautiously for cIAIs patients in China. However, about 90% of E. coli are susceptible to cefotaxime or ceftriaxone in North America, thus cephalosporin-based regimens were recommended for the treatment of lower-risk patients with cIAIs (1).
In summary, as the most recent and thorough meta-analysis on this subject to date, this work has important clinical implications. All comparisons between current drugs should be considered within the context of the limitations of this NMA. We hope that our results will provide helpful perspectives to facilitate decisions-making by patients and clinicians.