Local excision of T1 colorectal cancer using endoscopic methods results in organ-saving treatment and avoids many complications inherent in radical surgery, especially for rectal cancer. The main problem of this approach is the absence of the opportunity to evaluate the regional lymph nodes status. An indication for salvage resection is based on a final pathologic assessment of several unfavorable morphological tumor features which allow to divide tumors into high and low risk regional LNM. Currently, the risk factors of LNM of T1 CRC included into the treatment guidelines are deep tumor invasion into the submucosal layer (sm3, DSI ≥ 1000 µm), high grade adenocarcinoma, presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) and high degree of tumor budding (Bd2-3) [1–4, 28].
Depth of invasion as a risk factor is most commonly used and recommended for assessment nowadays. At the same time, the assessment of DSI of locally removed CRC is associated with obstacles for practical use due to the lack of universal measurement techniques. It is especially cumbersome for tumors removed within submucosa (ESD) because at least three methods of DSI measurement are suggested, i.e. from the surface of the tumor, from the lamina propria mucosae and from the baseline when the lamina propria is completely destroyed by tumor. The obtained results obviously depend on the method and the macroscopic type of tumor growth (exophyte, elevated or depressed lesions) [11, 12, 13]. The choice of baseline is also very complicated and arbitrary.
Metastasis of CRC in regional lymph nodes was found in 46 (17.4%) cases in the presented group of 264 cases of pT1, which is comparable to the frequency of metastasis reported in previous studies [6, 16, 18].
For deep submucosal invasion (DSI) of sm3 (or ≥ 1000 µm) a rate of regional metastasis was 18.8%, which did not have a statistically significant difference from 16.0% (p = 0.33) for sm1-2 tumors.
Our results correspond to several other studies which showed the absence of a predictive value of the depth of invasion into the submucosal layer in relations to LNM for T1 CRC. A large meta-analysis by Ichimasa K et al. [11] found out that among all risk factors (DSI, high grade adenocarcinoma, LVI, Bd) the depth of submucosal invasion had the lowest prognostic value.
Another meta-analysis [10] failed to prove DSI as an independent risk factor for LNM. Eight studies (1,146 patients) analyzed DSI as a solitary risk factor. It was found that the absolute risk of LNM was 2.6% and pooled incidence rate was 2.83 (95% CI 1.66–4.78).
Width of invasion as well as an area of submucosal invasion of carcinoma were suggested as more objective and reproducible parameters in the histological examination of a locally removed T1 tumor [9, 14, 15]. It was established that most lymphatic vessels are located in the upper third of the submucosal layer and their density does not increase in the deeper parts of the submucosal layer [29, 30]. In accordance with this concept the probability of vascular invasion and LMN are rather determined by the length and the area of submucosal invasive front than the depth of tumor invasion.
However, though the prognostic value of these parameters for LNM in T1 CRC was shown, the authors identified a significant fluctuation in the obtained cut-off points of the width and the area of submucosal tumor invasion, which do not currently allow to use these parameters in practice [14, 15, 16].
In our study the ROC analysis failed to reveal a prognostic value of width, length or area of tumor invasion as the AUC was about 0.5 for all of them.
Histological signs such as Bd and PDC showed independent prognostic value as risk factors for LNM in the study group (p = 0.05 and p < 0.0001, respectively). In contrast to our previous study [31], the prognostic value of these signs was determined by the Chi-square test regardless of the severity (Bd1-3/PDC G1-3).
Poorly differentiated clusters [21, 22, 23] showing even a more pronounced association with LNM demonstrated a statistically significant correlation with lymph node metastasis, regardless of the quantitative value (Grade) compared to tumor budding where only high degree of Bd (2–3) increased the risk of LNM [20]. In this context the assumption that PDC better reflects the biological aggressiveness of the tumor than the differentiation sounds reasonable. The obtained results suggest that PDC can serve as an additional or alternative to Bd sign in cases where the assessment of the last one is complicated.
The Grade of tumor differentiation has also demonstrated an association with LNM. However, it should be noted that the practical use of high grade adenocarcinoma differentiation as a risk factor for LNM is limited by the low incidence in CRC [25] and the reproducibility of this feature among pathologists [11, 21, 33, 34].
In the present study, we attempted to elucidate the role of cancer gland rupture (CGR) phenomenon as a potential risk factor for lymph node metastasis in T1 CRC. CGR was twice as common in the group with lymph node metastasis; however, as in the previous study [31], we failed to show a statistically significant association with LNM in the univariate analysis (p = 0.14).
The study also confirmed that lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is the most significant risk factor for metastasis to regional lymph nodes in the univariate analysis: OR 28.5; 95% CI 8.5–94.9 (p < 0.0001). In the logistic regression model, LVI remained the only independent risk factor for metastasis to regional lymph nodes, p < 0.0001. The high sensitivity (93%) and moderate specificity (67%) of LVI, along with a high negative predictive value of 98%, which was determined in our study, allow to interpret T1 tumors without LVI as tumors with a very low risk of LNM.
The assessment of LVI is a matter of the significant variability among pathologists, which, according to the studies, demonstrates low values of the kappa coefficient of 0.16–0.44, i.e. low interobserver agreement. Some studies have shown that the use of immunohistochemical staining using D2-40 resulted in more accurate detection of the LVI and increased k- coefficient up to 0.56 [18, 32, 35].
In summary, the results of our study showed that lymphovascular invasion, tumor budding, poorly differentiated clusters and low tumor differentiation are the most significant predictors of LNM in T1 CRC, which corresponds to the data obtained from a number of other studies where morphological characteristics of the tumor demonstrated a superior predictive value compared to invasion of submucosal layer. The role of the DSI as an independent predictor of LNM is revised, though it remains one of the most mentioned risk factors in current guidelines. Obviously, tumor morphology (Grade, LVI, Bd, PDC) is more reliable predictor of LNM than morphometry. On the other hand, results of the studies and meta-analysis of the main LNM predictors in T1 CRC showed that none of the currently used morphological signs can be used independently since it does not have sufficient sensitivity and specificity [10, 11, 16, 18, 20, 32].
The obvious limitations of our study are a single center and a relatively small group of patients with T1 CRC which included only 46 cases (18.5%) with LMN. Morphometry of tumor included such parameters as width of adenocarcinoma, length of the invasive front and total area of adenocarcinoma, and was carried out in accordance with the previously proposed methods [13, 21, 24], but all assessment was conducted by one pathologist.