Participants characteristics
We enrolled 45 ALS patients, 20 men and 25 women; the male/female ratio was 0.8. From these, 53.33% had spinal-onset whereas 46.66% presented bulbar ALS. Their mean age at onset of symptoms was 58.11 years. Thirteen patients had other relevant comorbidities, among which systemic arterial hypertension (SAH) and ischemic cardiopathy were the most frequent. Only 2 participants had family history of ALS. All the patients had at least one first-degree relative from indigenous ethnic background. Clinical and demographic characteristics of enrolled individuals are summarized in Table 1.
Survival of Patients with ALS
Mean survival time from onset of ALS patients was 64.73 ± 34.83 months, whereas mean survival time after diagnosis was 42.51 ± 28.44 months. Spinal-onset patients had a higher mean survival time compared with bulbar-onset ALS (Table 1). Respiratory failure was the most common cause of death observed in our population followed by pneumonia. Indeed, 71.11% of enrolled individuals required MV during the period of the study, whereas 68.88% were subjected to PEG. We did not find differences in the number of patients requiring such major medical interventions between spinal- and bulbar-onset groups, but the OMVI was significatively shorter in individuals with bulbar ALS (Table 1). On the other hand, we estimated cumulative survival rates of all ALS patients and stratified according to the site of disease onset. After one year of disease onset the overall survival rate was 95.55%, however, at this time point, deaths accounted only for bulbar-onset ALS cases, as 100% of spinal-onset patients remained alive (Table 2). Cumulative survival at 5 years of disease onset was 44.44% for all ALS patients, 54.16% for spinal-onset cases, and 33.33% for bulbar-onset patients.
Effect of Clinical Features on Survival of ALS Patients
Using a linear correlation analysis, we found that age at onset and age at diagnosis inversely correlated with overall survival time, whereas ODI, OGI, and OMVI showed a positive correlation with such outcome (Figure 1). We also compared survival curves of ALS patients categorized according to different clinical variables. This analysis revealed that site of disease onset significatively affected the survival, as spinal-onset ALS patients survived longer than individuals with the bulbar variant (Figure 2a, Table 3). Interestingly, we also found that survival was significatively longer for patients with delayed diagnosis compared with those with an ODI < 24 months (p < 0.0001; Figure 2f, Table 3). This could be related with a trend of older ALS patients to have a shorter ODI (Supplementary Figure 1).
PEG per se did not affect the overall survival of ALS patients, but individuals with OGI >18 months had a significant longer survival compared with those requiring an early intervention (Fig. 2g-h, Table 3). Meanwhile, as expected, MV and a short OMVI (<24 months) significatively worsened survival of ALS patients, especially in those with spinal-onset (Figure 2i-j, Table 3). In addition, we evaluated the predictive significance of total cholesterol levels at onset. Although we were able to collect this value only from 26 participants, we observed that higher levels of cholesterol at onset positively correlated with longer survival (Figure 1g). Moreover, those patients with cholesterol levels below the overall mean (< 4.63mmol/L) had a shorter survival rate (Figure 2k). Finally, to have an approximation of the magnitude of the effect of clinical characteristics on ALS prognosis, we grouped patients into two categories depending on whether their survival was found below or above the overall mean (~5 years). Then, we compared the means of continuous clinical variables between both groups and calculated the OR for short survival conferred by each categorical variable. Using this approach, we confirmed that a short ODI was associated with worse prognosis, with an OR for short survival of 14.48 (Table 4). We also found statistically significant ORs for short survival conferred by an OGI < 18 moths (OR = 11.92), necessity of MV (OR = 22.91), and lower serum levels of total cholesterol at onset (OR = 7.33).
Other variables such as gender, body weight decrease after diagnosis, and the presence of comorbidities did not affect the prognosis of ALS individuals. Nonetheless, we observed that mean survival was longer for patients ALS younger than 60 years-old compared to older individuals, although the difference did not reach statistical significance (Table 3 and Figure 2b).