All SNPs strongly and independently predicted exposures and outcomes were extracted and initially quality-controlled. After harmonization, the number of SNPs that remained for the MR analyses ranged from 8 to 12 (Supplement Table1-7 and Fig. 3). The MR estimates using conventional MR analysis were presented (Fig. 4), and the results of sensitivity analysis (Fig. 5, 6, and Table 1).
Scatter plots for mTOR-related proteins (AKT, RP-S6K, eIF4E-BP, eIF4A, eIF4E, eIF4G, and PKC-α) on MS. The pleiotropic effect was detected by testing whether the y-intercept from MR-Egger analysis was zero.
Table 1
Heterogeneity and pleiotropy tests for multiple sclerosis associations with genetic predictors of mTOR-related proteins.
Exposure | Q-value (IVW) | P Q (IVW) | Q-value (MR-ER) | P Q (MR-ER) | Intercept | P Intercept |
AKT | 9.256 | 0.235 | 9.256 | 0.160 | 5.36e− 6 | 0.999 |
RP-S6K | 8.995 | 0.253 | 8.030 | 0.236 | -0.034 | 0.871 |
eIF4E-BP | 17.185 | 0.046 | 12.492 | 0.131 | 0.079 | 0.121 |
eIF4A | 2.633 | 0.917 | 2.472 | 0.872 | 0.005 | 0.702 |
eIF4E | 6.635 | 0.675 | 6.606 | 0.580 | 0.002 | 0.884 |
eIF4G | 13.751 | 0.131 | 7.761 | 0.457 | -0.067 | 0.040 |
PKC-α | 10.657 | 0.472 | 10.268 | 0.417 | -0.012 | 0.552 |
Q-value: the statistics of Cochrane's Q test; P Q: p-value corresponding to Cochrane's Q test; Pintercept: p-value corresponding to MR-Egger intercept test.
As presented, PKC-α circulating level was associated with a lower risk of MS with an odds ratio (OR) of 0.90, 95%CI (0.82, 0.98, P = 0.017) in IVW. However, the estimates from WME and MR-ER showed no significance, with an odds ratio (OR) of 0.95, 95%CI (0.84, 1.07, P = 0.385), and odds ratio (OR) of 0.97, 95%CI (0.74, 1.28, P = 0.840), respectively. Moreover, heterogeneity in sensitivities was not observed (Q = 13.75, P Q = 0.131). No horizontal pleiotropy was detected (egger regression intercept = -0.0117, P = 0.552). The results from the leave-one-out analysis revealed that no single SNP strongly or reversely influenced the overall effect of exposure on the outcome (P༞0.05, Supplementary figure).
For RP-S6K, MR estimates were recalculated after removing two SNPs (rs482759 and rs62143197) that were identified as outliers using MR-PRESSO. The IVW method showed that RP-S6K circulating level was causally associated with the MS with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.12, 95%CI (1.00, 1.25, P = 0.045). No heterogeneity (Q = 9.00, P Q = 0.253) or horizontal pleiotropy (egger regression intercept = -0.0039, P = 0.871) was detected.
For eIF4G, Egger regression indicated significant pleiotropy (egger regression intercept = -0.0667, P = 0.040). eIF4G circulating level was associated with a higher risk of MS with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.67, 95%CI (1.19, 2.36, P = 0.018) using MR-ER, and no heterogeneity (Q = 7.076, P Q = 0.457). However, no significant causation existed using IVW or WME.
The MR analyses however showed no evidence of significant causal association between other four targets and MS, including AKT (IVW: OR = 1.06, 95%CI = 0.96–1.18, P = 1.177), eIF4E-BP (IVW: OR = 0.04, 95%CI = 0.90–1.20, P = 0.593), eIF4A (IVW: OR = 1.02, 95%CI = 0.95–1.10, P = 0.591), and eIF4E (IVW: OR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.92–1.07, P = 0.786).