PNDABLE database
Volunteers were recruited from the Perioperative Neurocognitive Disorder And Biomarker Lifestyle (PNDABLE) study, which is an ongoing large-scale cohort study launched in 2018 and volunteers included in the database were between 40 and 90 years of age, concentrating on the risk factors and biomarkers of perioperative neurocognitive disorder (PND) in the Han population of northern China. The purpose of PNDABLE is to determine the genetic and environmental factors of PND biomarkers and the lifestyle factors that might change the risk of PND in the non-demented northern Chinese Han population so that the basis for disease prevention and early diagnosis can be formed. All participants were provided an informed consent, and they could also decide to stop participatingat any time and for any reasonsc. Their CSF and blood samples could be used for research purposes in the future.
Participants
We selected patients who underwent elective surgery under combined spinal and epidural anesthesia between June 2020 and June 2021 in Qingdao Municipal Hospital. The inclusion criteria of this study include (1) aged between 65 and 90; (2) Drinking frequency ≥1 time per week and history of drinking ≥1 year 13. (3) American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA)Ⅰ~ Ⅱ; (4) preoperative cognitive status was intact with no language communication barrier. The exclusion criteria included: (1) central nervous system infection, head trauma, multiple sclerosis, neurodegenerative diseases (such as epilepsy, Parkinson's disease), or other notable neurological diseases; (2) severe visual and hearing impairment (3) non-drinkers, abstainers, or those who used to drink regularly but have not consumed alcohol in the past year; (4) history of severe mental or neurological disorders, such as Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's syndrome, cerebrovascular accidents and cerebrovascular disease (5) preoperative Mini-Mental State Examination scale (MMSE) ≤ 23 points (6) drug abuse or psychotropic substance abuse, long-term use of steroids and hormonal drugs, (7) family history of genetic disorders (e.g., early-onset familial AD, hereditary ataxia, hereditary spastic paraplegia, etc.).
We eventually included 252 patients for statistical analysis. (see Figure 1, flow diagram).
Neuropsychological Testing
All participants accepted meticulous clinical and neuropsychological assessments and MMSE the day before the scheduled operation. Patients were followed up on postoperative day 1-7 days or before they were discharged from the hospital at 10 a.m. and 2 p.m. twice a day. At the same time, the presence or absence of POD was recorded. The presence of POD was defined according to Confusion Assessment Scale (CAM), those with POD were classified as POD group and those with POD negative were classified as non-POD group(NPOD). The severity of POD was defined according to the Memorial Delirium Assessment Scale (MDAS).14,15 All of the above assessments were performed by an anesthesiologist and a neurologist who had no knowledge of the patient's perioperative management(The anaesthetist and neurologist who visit preoperatively and postoperatively are different). The CAM and MDAS has been proven to apply to the patients with good credibility and practicality. 16,17
Anesthesia and Surgery
All participants were performed elective surgery under combined spinal and epidural anesthesia. The participants did not receive preoperative medications, and they were instructed not to drink for 6 hours and not to eat for 8 hours before surgery. After entering the operating room, we routinely monitored ECG, SpO2, NBP and opened vein access. The anesthesia position was lateral decubitus, with the space between the spinous processes of lumbar 3-4 (L3-L4) as the puncture site. After successful puncture, 2ml of cerebrospinal fluid was extracted from the subarachnoid space, followed by injection of 2-2.5ml Ropivacaine (0.66%) for about 30 seconds. The patient's anesthesia level was controlled below the thoracic 8 (T8) level. The patient's oxygen saturation, pulse, blood pressure, electrolytes, etc. were checked at regular intervals (every 3 minutes) during anesthesia and surgery.
After the operation, the patient was sent to the anesthesia recovery room for observation for thirty minutes and returned to the ward if there was no abnormality. Post-operatively, the Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) was used to assess the pain. Patient-controlled intravenous analgesia (PCIA) was used in postoperative pain management. (Butorphanol tartrate injection 10mg + Toranisetron hydrochloride injection 5mg + 0.9% sodium chloride solution 89ml maintained NRS <3 points).
CSF core biomarkers measurements and collection
2 ml CSF was collected in a polypropylene centrifugal tube, then centrifuging at 2000 × g for 10 minutes at room temperature 18,19 as well as separated and stored in an enzyme-free EP (Eppendorf) tube (oxygen bottle, PCR-02-C) at -80 °C for further use in the following steps of this study. These samples were subjected to at most two freeze-thaw cycles.
ELISA was used to detect the level of Aβ40, Aβ42, T-tau and P-tau, which were detected from 2 ml CSF, using Aβ40 (BioVendor, Ghent, Belgium Lot: No. 292-6230), Aβ42 (BioVendor, Ghent, Belgium Lot: No. 296-64401), P-tau (BioVendor, Ghent, Belgium Lot: QY-PF9092), and tau (BioVendor, Ghent, Belgium Lot: No.EK-H12242) assay kit under the manufacturer's instructions. Finally, using an enzyme marker (EnSpire, PerkinElmer, Waltham, MA, USA) 18,19 to measure the optical density value (OD value) of each hole at the wavelength of 450 m. All samples were measured by the same laboratory personnel, and they were blinded with the group assignment.
Classification of alcohol intake
We traced the patient's drinking history and calculated the average daily alcohol intake according to the formula : amount of alcohol consumed (g) = amount of alcohol consumed (ml) × alcoholic concentration (%) × 0.8 (The density of alcohol is known to be 0.8 g/cm³). The patients' drinking history was investigated and classified according to the following criteria:20
1. Average daily intake of alcohol < 12 g (mild)
2. Average daily intake of alcohol 12-23 g (moderate)
3. Average daily intake of alcohol >24 g (heavy)
Sample size estimation
The preliminary test in this study explored that 4 covariates(alcohol consumption, Aβ40, Aβ42, and P-tau)were included in the Logistic regression. According to previous studies, the POD incidence was 17.6%,5 and the loss of follow-up rate was assumed to be 20%. Thus, the required sample size was calculated to be 284 cases (4×10÷0.176÷0.8=284).
Statistical Analysis
The Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test was used to determine the normality of the samples. Data that conformed to the normal distribution were expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD) and data that did not conform to the normal distribution were expressed as the median and 25–75 percentile (M,(Q25,Q75)) or number (%). The two independent samples t-test was used to test whether there was a significant difference in the levels of CSF biomarkers and alcohol consumption between the POD and NPOD groups. The difference was considered statistically significant at P < 0.05.
Binary logistic regression was used to discuss whether the alcohol consumption was an independent influence on POD. Moreover, in order to investigate the range of alcohol intake that predisposes to POD, the average daily alcohol intake of participants was also categorized according to the above average daily alcohol consumption and included sequentially in a logistic regression for the study. Linear regression models were used to examine the relationship between CSF biomarkers with alcohol consumption. The covariates in the binary logistic regression include average daily alcohol intake, levels of Aβ40, Aβ42, P-Tau protein, because they were significantly correlated with POD in the univariate analysis (P < 0.05). Subsequently, to improve the accuracy of the results, we further corrected for the effect of confounding factors, including age, gender, years of education, cigarette use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), Coronary heart disease(yes or no), diabetes(yes or no) and MMSE, which showed that the results were barely changed in this analysis (OR = 1.016, 95%CI 1.009-1.024, P < 0.001); A two-way ANOVA was used to investigate the effects of gender and alcohol consumption on POD .
Moreover, linear regression models covering three equations were performed to examine whether the association between Alcohol consumption and POD was mediated by the CSF biomarkers. Mediation effects were established if the following criteria were simultaneously reached: (1) Changes in Alcohol consumption were significantly affect the CSF biomarkers; (2) Changes in the CSF biomarkers were account for variations in the POD; (3) Changes in Alcohol consumption were significantly or not significantly related to POD; (4) The association between Alcohol consumption and POD was attenuated when the CSF biomarkers were added in the regression model. Furthermore, the attenuation or indirect effect was estimated, with the significance determined using 10,000 bootstrapped iterations. The indirect effect (IE) was P < 0.05, which was considered to be significant.
Predictive value of Alcohol consumptionand the CSF biomarkers was described with a receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) reported the discriminatory ability. Nomogram will be used to visualize the predicted results and the calibration curve will be used to verify the predicted model.
The data were analyzed with R4.4.1 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria), GraphPad Prism version 8.0 (GraphPad Software, Inc, LaJolla, CA, USA) and Stata MP16.0 (Solvusoft Corporation, Inc, Chicago, Illinois, USA).