This multicenter study covers 534,002 births in 90 surveillance hospitals throughout the period of birth policy changes (2014–2018) in China. The large sample size could accurately access epidemiology of CHD since the ending of 1-child policy, regardless of common or rare subtypes of CHD. We noticed the potential risks of CHD were younger (< 20 years) and older (≥ 35 years) maternal age, births in urban areas, male sex, and multiple births. Despite overall incidence of CHD increased considerably over the entire study period, CCHD incidence were stable and neonatal outcomes of CHD were comparable. ASD, PDA and VSD were predominant subtypes of CHD with progressive increases. The prenatal detection rate of CHD differed with categories, whereas it was higher in CCHD or CHD with one more malformations.
It has been widely reported that CHD increased with maternal age [15, 16, 24]. Simultaneously, several studies have also indicated negative associations between teenage pregnancy and congenital anomalies [25, 26]. The increased risk of birth defects in younger women possibly result from their unhealthy lifestyle, insufficient ANC or low socioeconomic status. Births in urban areas had higher risks of CHD than those in rural areas, similar to findings in Langfang and Hunan [16, 17].Women in urban areas may have easy access to high quality ANC, which can lead to a higher detection rate of CHD. Further, environmental exposure and social pressure from urban life should be considered. The inconsistency in relationship between gender and CHD has remained elusive [15, 18, 27]. In most previous studies, prevalence of mild CHD was frequently higher in females than males as reported in Beijing and Germany [19, 27]. The above findings suggest that specific health care services should be strengthened in targeted population.
The increasing incidence of total CHD in our study is consistent with most other studies in China and in other countries [3, 14, 27, 28].Globally, increasing trends have also been observed in some specific CHD, such as ASD in the USA and SV, ASD, and TOF in Europe [3, 29]. In the study, rising ASD, PDA and VSD should contribute to the substantial increase in overall incidence of CHD.This confirmed previous findings at the global level that the three most frequent subtypes explained 93.4% of rising incidence of total CHD [3].The increase in incidence of CHD in our study might also reflect a true increase. Moreover, improved CHD screening, prenatal diagnostic technology and follow-up should be taken into account, as explained in Guangdong of China or Europe [14, 29]. In our view, we also could not ignore the influences from changes of maternal characteristics with birth policy shifts. Particularly, women with advanced age increased significantly throughout the period [21].
The total incidence of CHD reached 20.6 per 1000 births in 2018, which is substantially higher than most researches at home and abroad (6–10 per 1000 live births)[3, 14, 18, 28]. However, our rate of CHD is similar to that in southern Israel (24.6/1000 live births), Langfang of China (22.9/1000 live births), but lower than that in Guangxi of China (4.2% pregnancies) [17, 30, 31]. Differences in study population, prenatal detection capability, and ascertainment criteria might explain the heterogeneity of CHD incidence. In our opinion, the most important reason should be for the variations of criteria. CHD registered by EUROCAT was population based with a long-term follow-up to at least 1 year of life or without age limitations [29]. In Malaysia, they followed up PDA 3 to 6 months of life in term infants and premature infants [28]. In Guangdong, ASD measuring below 5 mm in diameter, fossa ovalis, PDA, or patent foramen ovale were finally confirmed at 6 months after birth, and excluded CHD less than 28 gestational weeks [14]. We conducted a hospital-based study and patients were followed up within 7 days after birth. ASD regardless of diameter and PDA at and over 3 mm in diameter were included. This indicated an overestimation of total CHD in our study. Nevertheless, incidence of CCHD was comparable with data in the National Birth Defects Prevention Network, the International Clearinghouse for Birth Defects Surveillance and Research based on 12 countries (approximately 19.1 per 10000 births) and in Beijing of China (1.46 per 1000 live births) [4, 19, 32].
In the world, the prenatal detection rates varied by regions (13–87%) and CHD subtypes (4.3–100%) [27, 31–36]. In the study, we speculated the primary reason for low detection rates in total CHD and ASD were for the large proportion of ASD and PDA. Another contributing factor was a higher proportion of isolated CHD. As reported, associated CHD was more likely to be detected prenatally than isolated CHD [37]. We noticed similar or even higher prenatal detection rates in some specific CHD than studies in the University of Miami and Denmark, such as double outlet right ventricle, TOF, hpoplastic left heart syndrome, COA, and PTA [33–35]. Limited sample size in per specific CHD might affect stability in some studies. For example, there were only 10 cases with truncus arteriosus in study performed in USA, yielding prenatal detection rate of 70% [35]. The terminated CHD proportion was a slightly higher than study in Denmark (57.8%), but perinatal outcomes was better than isolated CHD in Brisbane, Australia [31, 36]. Comparison of outcomes should noticed the differences in legal requirement for termination and distribution of CHD categories.
There are some limitations for this study. Initially, ASD had the largest proportion in CHD for a relative light standards in the study. Therefore, the observed rates of ASD and CHD in the study might be overestimated than most previous studies [15, 16, 28]. A retrospective case–control study in Sweden including children under 18 years old, showed that only symptomatic ASD were associated adverse outcomes[38]. We should perform further analysis according to the risks of ASD in future. Second, many factors increased risks of CHD. Limited by data in this study, we did not give more analysis involving gene or environmental impacts. Finally, long term follow up is needed considering the accuracy of occurrence and outcomes of CHD.