A total of 198 patients were included in the study cohort. During a median follow-up period of 9.0 months (IQR, 6.0–12.0 months), 39 (19.7%) MACE cases were observed (all-cause death in 5 patients, hospital admission for unstable angina in 10 patients, hospital admission for heart failure in 16 patients, non-fatal recurrent myocardial infarction in 5 patients, stroke in 2 patients, and complex ventricular arrhythmia in 1 patient). The mean age of the cohort was 60.9 years, 81.3% were males, 58.1% had hypertension, and 28.8% had diabetes mellitus. Patients were divided into 4 groups according to median levels of PSS (13.91%, IQR 6.72–24.12) and ESL (4.53%, IQR 1.02–10.99). The patients with PSI and ESI levels below median were assigned to the Group 1, the patients with ESI above but PSI below median were assigned to the Group 2, the patients with PSI above but ESI below median were assigned to the Group 3, the patients with both PSI and ESI above median were assigned to Group 4. Patients with higher levels of PSI and ESI were more frequently to have left anterior descending artery as the culprit vessel, underwent intra-aortic balloon pump therapy, and presented with higher levels of Killip class, B-type natriuretic peptide and peak troponin I. As well, the occurrence of high-value PSS and ESL had affected other echocardiographic parameters in terms of lower LVEF, GLS, GCS and GRS, and increased values of WMSI (Table 2).
Association Between PSS and ESL Level and myocardial viability
Categories of MPSI increased signifcantly with increasing tertiles of PSI and ESI (p < 0.001; Fig. 3A and 3B). In unadjusted logistic regression models, increasing tertiles of PSI (2nd tertile, β = 1.25, 95% CI, 0.54–1.95; p < 0.001; 3rd tertile, β = 3.08, 95% CI, 2.38–3.79; p < 0.001) and ESI (2nd tertile, β = 0.80, 95% CI, 0.05–1.55; p = 0.038; 3rd tertile, β = 2.46, 95% CI, 1.71–3.21; p < 0.001) were each significantly associated with increased MPSI. However, after adjustment for age, gender, diabetes, hypertension, Killip class, Peak TnI, BNP, LVEF and E/A, only the highest tertile of PSI (β = 1.00, 95% CI, 0.25–1.75; p = 0.010) was significantly associated with a higher MPSI (Table 2). The AUCs of PSI and ESI respectively to detect MPSI > 1 was 0.745 and 0.704, with a sensitivity of 76% and 59% and specificity of 69% and 79%, respectively (Table 3).
Table 3
Diagnostic accuracy for PSI and ESI to determine a myocardial perfusion score index > 1.
| AUC | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Cut-off value |
PSI | 0.745 | 76 | 69 | 10.63 |
ESI | 0.704 | 59 | 79 | 5.70 |
PSI, postsystolic strain index; ESI: early systolic strain index; AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. |
Association Between PSS and ESL Level and Clinical Outcomes.
Clinical characteristics of the patients stratified by tertiles of PSS and ESL levels respectively are shown in Supplemental Tables 1 and 2. The PSI (HR, 2.21 per 1% increase; 95% CI, 1.72–2.83; p < 0.001) and ESI (HR, 1.63 per 1% increase; 95% CI, 1.37–1.94; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with MACE. After adjustment for age, gender, diabetes, hypertension, Killip class, Peak TnI, BNP, LVEF and E/A, PSI (HR, 1.97 per 1% increase; 95% CI, 1.43–2.71; p < 0.001) and ESI (HR, 1.37 per 1% increase; 95% CI, 1.08–1.73; p = 0.010) remained independent predictors of MACE (Table 4). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed the incrementally increased risk of MACE with increasing tertiles of the PSI and ESI (all log-rank p < 0.001). The highest tertile of the PSI (Fig. 4A) and ESI (Fig. 4B) yielded the highest risk of MACE. Compared with patients in Group 1 (low levels of PSI and ESI), Group 3 (high PSI level and low ESI level) (HR, 7.70; 95% CI, 1.41–42.06; p = 0.018) was significantly associated with increased risk of MACE while Group 2 (high ESI level and low PSI level) (HR, 3.32; 95% CI, 0.47–23.57; p = 0.231) was not. However, only Group 4 (high levels of PSI and ESI) (HR, 6.21; 95% CI, 1.26–30.55; p = 0.025) remained predictor of MACE after adjustment (Table 4).
Table 4
PSI and ESI as Predictors of MACE.
Risk of MACE | Unadjusted | Adjusted* |
HR (95% CI) | P-value | HR (95% CI) | P-value |
PSI and ESI independently as Predictors of MACE |
PSI, % | 2.21 (1.72, 2.83) | < 0.001 | 1.97 (1.43, 2.71) | < 0.001 |
ESI, % | 1.63 (1.37, 1.94) | < 0.001 | 1.37 (1.08, 1.73) | 0.010 |
Comparison of PSI and ESI as Predictors of MACE |
Group 1 | Ref. | | Ref. | |
Group 2 | 3.32 (0.47, 23.57) | 0.231 | 0.69 (0.06, 7.36) | 0.756 |
Group 3 | 7.70 (1.41, 42.06) | 0.018 | 4.73 (0.83, 26.99) | 0.081 |
Group 4 | 18.42 (4.41, 77.01) | < 0.001 | 6.21 (1.26, 30.55) | 0.025 |
*Adjusted age, gender, diabetes, hypertension, Killip class, Peak TnI, BNP, LVEF and E/A. PSI, postsystolic strain index; ESI: early systolic strain index; MACE: major adverse cardiovascular event; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; Group 1: patients with PSI and ESI levels below median; Group 2: patients with ESI above but PSI below median; Group 3: patients with PSI above but ESI below median; Group 4: patients with PSI and ESI above median. |
Receiver-Operator Characteristic Curve Analysis.
In order to evaluate the prognostic value of PSS, ESL and GLS, ROC analysis was used to assess the discrimination (Table 5). All three parameters exhibited good performance, with AUCs > 0.7 for predicting MACE at 6 months, 9 months and a year, among which PSI performed the best with AUC > 0.8. C-index were 0.752 (CI 95% 0.67–0.84), 0.749 (CI 95% 0.67–0.82) and 0.798 (CI 95% 0.73–0.86) for GLS, ESI and PSI, respectively. When comparing PSI to GLS, both IDI and NRI were significantly improved for predicting MACE and at 9 months (IDI, 0.108; 95% CI, 0.005–0.196; p = 0.040; NRI, 0.489; 95% CI, 0.132–0.666; p = 0.020) and a year (IDI, 0.118; 95% CI, 0.019–0.222; p = 0.027; NRI, 0.404; 95% CI, 0.016–0.656; p = 0.040); NRI (NRI: 0.378; 95% CI, 0.018–0.554; p = 0.027) improved significantly for predicting MACE and at 6 months though IDI (IDI: 0.073; 95% CI, -0.028-0.167; p = 0.113) did not. However, neither IDI nor NRI was significant when comparing ESI to GLS for predicting MACE at 6 months, 9 months and a year.
Table 5
Comparison of PSI, ESI vs GLS for the discrimination and diagnostic efficiency of MACE at 6 months, 9 months and a year after STEMI.
| GLS | ESI | PSI |
C-index | 0.752 | 0.749 | 0.798 |
6-month | | | |
AUC | 0.746 | 0.741 | 0.817 |
IDI | Ref | -0.021 (-0.103-0.065) | 0.073 (-0.028-0.167) |
NRI | Ref | -0.171 (-0.366-0.175) | 0.378 (0.018–0.554)* |
Sensitivity | 0.77 | 0.84 | 0.88 |
Specificity | 0.65 | 0.58 | 0.61 |
9-month | | | |
AUC | 0.757 | 0.741 | 0.830 |
IDI | Ref | -0.018 (-0.112-0.075) | 0.108 (0.005–0.196)* |
NRI | Ref | -0.141 (-0.395-0.212) | 0.489 (0.132–0.666)* |
Sensitivity | 0.77 | 0.85 | 0.83 |
Specificity | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
a-year | | | |
AUC | 0.765 | 0.727 | 0.827 |
IDI | Ref | -0.036 (-0.121-0.052) | 0.118 (0.019–0.222)* |
NRI | Ref | -0.245 (-0.478-0.073) | 0.404 (0.016–0.656)* |
Sensitivity | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.90 |
Specificity | 0.62 | 0.59 | 0.60 |
PSI, postsystolic strain index; ESI: early systolic strain index; GLS: global longitudinal strain; AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. IDI, integrated discrimination improvement. NRI, net reclassification improvement. |
*p ≤0.05. |