3.1 C and NC collections
The C and NC collections, stored in different environmental conditions, were considered separately. The books were divided into two pH categories: acidic (pH ≤ 6) and non-acidic (pH > 6). pH was chosen as a key factor because of its crucial role in paper degradation [43].
All books of the C collection were found to be made of rag paper with a measured pH value higher than 6. On the contrary, 65% of the books of the NC collection were estimated to be acidic. Table 1 reports the number of the acidic and non-acidic analysed books of the NC collection, and the proportional number of books represented by the samples in each stratum, calculated from the number of books gathered from the digital and paper catalogues [40–42].
Table 1. Acidic (pH≤6) and non-acidic (pH>6) books measured (sample size), percentages, and corresponding total number of books of the NC collection in each stratum of age.
NC Stratum
|
NC collection
|
Acidic
|
Non-acidic
|
Sample size
|
% of books
|
No of books
|
Sample size
|
% of books
|
No of books
|
1501-1550
|
1
|
8
|
103
|
11
|
92
|
1132
|
1551-1600
|
2
|
17
|
499
|
10
|
83
|
2497
|
1601-1650
|
6
|
50
|
640
|
6
|
50
|
640
|
1651-1700
|
3
|
25
|
293
|
9
|
75
|
878
|
1701-1750
|
2
|
17
|
431
|
10
|
83
|
2155
|
1751-1800
|
1
|
8
|
314
|
11
|
92
|
3453
|
1801-1850
|
2
|
17
|
706
|
10
|
83
|
3529
|
1851-1900
|
11
|
61
|
5787
|
7
|
39
|
3683
|
1901-1950
|
48
|
96
|
26430
|
2
|
4
|
1101
|
total
|
76
|
65
|
35203
|
76
|
35
|
19068
|
Table 1 shows that low pH values were usually observed in paper produced between 1850 and 1950, mainly due to the introduction of acidic sizing, as discussed in Part I [35]. However, the estimated proportion of acidic papers (65%) of the NC collection of the Classense Library is slightly lower than that of a typical Western library or archival collection, where the proportion of acidic papers is around 70–85% [44].
3.2 Isochrones
Isochrone lines (i.e., the locus of points defined by couples of T and RH values for which the expected lifetime is equal) were elaborated using the average pH and DP values for each group of acidic and non-acidic books, as reported in Table 2. As mentioned above, no acidic paper (pH<6) was measured in the C collection. However, in order to evaluate the degradative effect of iron gall ink on paper [45], given that acidity is one of the main contributors to iron gall ink degradation [46], the estimated proportion of books with iron gall ink (69%, as determined by visual assessment [35]) of the C collection was considered, as a first approximation, as low quality acidic paper having pH 5 and DP 600 [22]. In order to be able to work with actual values, an NIR method would be needed for iron gall ink, and this currently does not exist in the frame of the SurveNIR instrument.
Table 2. Average pH and DP0 values for the groups of acidic and non-acidic books for the C and NC collection.
|
C collection
|
NC collection
|
Non-acidic
|
Acidica)
|
Non-acidic
|
Acidic
|
Average pH
|
6.8
|
5
|
6.4
|
5.4
|
Average DP0
|
1550
|
600
|
1640
|
1350
|
Proportion
|
31%
|
69%
|
35%
|
65%
|
a) books with iron gall ink considered as acidic books
|
In Figure 1, two sets of isochrones are calculated for the books of the C collection: pH 6.8, DP0 of 1550 for non-acidic books, and pH 5, DP0 of 600 for books with iron gall ink.
Figure 2 shows the isochrone plots for the non-acidic (pH 6.4, DP0 1640) and acidic (pH 5.4, DP0 1350) books of the NC collection. It is worth recalling that for the latter group, 40 books out of 76 are made of groundwood paper, for which DP values were not measured.
As expected, the reddish-orange areas corresponding to a lifetime of 50-200 years are notably reduced with increasing pH. The sets of isochrones of Figures 1 and 2 should be interpreted considering the thermo-hygrometric conditions of the storage environments to predict the lifetime in their actual context or in possibly different preventive conservation scenarios (e.g., lowering T and/or RH). It is evident that the books without iron gall ink of the C collection are predicted to survive the typical 500-year long-term planning horizon in their current storage environment (T=20 °C and RH=60%). In contrast, the books with iron gall ink and the acidic books of the NC collection are not predicted to survive the 500-year horizon even at the controlled conditions of the Caveau, which would lead to the DP threshold value within about 100 and 350 years, respectively. For the books with iron gall ink, cooling at T lower than 15 °C would be necessary at 60% RH to achieve the 500-year horizon, which requires significant resources both in terms of financial investment and energy due to the numerous storage rooms of the Classense and their mean summer temperatures. Alternatively, a possible remedial conservation scenario could involve deacidification and treatments with antioxidants and complexing agents for books with iron gall ink, and deacidification for acidic paper, as discussed below.
3.3 Demographic curves
The effects of different storage conditions and deacidification on the time required for the collections to become unfit for use were modelled using the demographic curves, which show the lifetime profiles of collections stored at certain values of T and RH. In the numerous rooms of the Library, where no air-conditioning system is in operation, summer and winter monitoring campaigns were carried out [32,33]. Pronounced seasonal trends of T and RH were observed, although the building showed high daily thermal inertia. Values ranging from 7 to 28 °C and from 50 and 70% RH were measured, leading to average conditions of 20 °C and 60% RH [32,33]. Moderate fluctuations of T and RH (ΔT=10 °C and ΔRH=20%) do not contribute significantly to the degradation processes of paper [47], while large fluctuations potentially damage various parts of books to different extents, beeswax seals, glues, wooden covers and iron gall inks being among the materials most sensitive to RH fluctuations [27]. However, as recently reported, although it is preferable to maintain stable conditions, gradual changes in T and RH from 13 °C and 35% to 23 °C and 60%, respectively, may be acceptable as a result of seasonal cycling, if they occur over a month or more, or if items are packaged [27].
Winter (12 °C and 65% RH) and summer (27 °C and 56% RH) scenarios were elaborated for the NC collection in order to compare how books behave in the two conditions, the winter scenario representing a possible preventive conservation strategy. For the NC collection, two additional scenarios involving the average conditions (i.e., 20 °C and 60% RH, which incidentally correspond to the Caveau conditions), and an intervention strategy (mass deacidification) were elaborated in order to assess the impact of the stable Caveau conditions, and possible alternatives of conservation for the more acidic books in their current unstable environments, respectively.
For the C collection, two scenarios relative to its current storage environment were provided, one of these considering the degradative impact of iron gall ink. In order to predict the effect of ink on lifetime, it is necessary to estimate the current DP of paper along the ink lines (DPink), which is expected to be much lower than that outside the ink. Therefore, the initial DP of each book, calculated from the current DP of paper (i.e., measured avoiding ink) and from the rate of degradation for rag paper (4.2×10-7 year-1) estimated in Part I [35], was used to estimate DPink using the above mentioned rate constant increased 1.59 times, that is, the acceleration factor for paper impregnated with ink [45].
Figure 3 shows the lifetime profiles of the C and NC collections in the scenarios mentioned above [35].
It can be noted that the profiles of the two predictions for the C collection (left) are significantly different. Neglecting the acceleration factor for paper impregnated with ink, nearly all books of the C collection are predicted to remain in a fit-for-use state for 500 years. In contrast, the adverse effects of iron gall ink mount concerns, more than a half of the C collection being predicted to be unfit in 500 years. Using the acceleration factor, the minimum lifetime is about 180 years (see Fig. 3), while the lifetime predicted using the acidic isochrone is about 100 years (see Fig. 1). These results suggest that the approximation of books with iron gall ink as acidic paper (pH 5, DP 600) can lead to an overestimation of the degradative effects of such inks.
As deduced from the isochrones (Fig. 2), the Caveau conditions (20 °C and 60% RH) will not ensure fitness for use throughout the long term-planning horizon for most (about 65%) of the NC collection. As expected, the worst prediction for the NC collection is for the summer period, in which no book is predicted to be safely handleable in the long term, confirming that temperature has a dominant effect. The winter scenario, which would necessitate significant cooling of the storage environment if it were applied throughout the year, turns out to preserve about 90% of the NC collection for 500 years. The most favourable scenario is provided by mass deacidification, more than 95% of the books of the NC collection being predicted to survive 500 years even in summer conditions (see Fig. 3). As far as interventive and preventive conservation are concerned, the above results present an argument supporting the use of deacidification or substantial cooling, or a combination of both, as a one-off or a long-term continuous investment, respectively.
The lifetimes predicted in the stable environment of the Caveau as a function of publication date with different age intervals are shown in the box plots of Figure 4, where the data of the C collection includes the effects of iron gall ink. The lower points of the left panel of Figure 4 are associated with the books with iron gall ink, clearly demonstrating its adverse effect.
The results indicate that the median lifetimes of the books of the C collection increase with increasing publication date, while a sharp decreasing trend is evident for the books of the NC collection dated after the second-half of the 19th century. The predicted median lifetime of the books of the NC collection dated between 1801-1850 is around 700 years, while that of the most recent books is less than a half (300 years).
As mentioned above, the evaluation of the uncertainties was not a goal of the present study. This issue will be addressed in future work.