This study systematically reviewed available registered studies for COVID-19 with the analyses of their distributions and characteristics. 393 studies were registered in eight registries, aiming at the prevention (16 studies), treatment (266), diagnosis (25) and prognosis (19) of COVID-19. Majority of the studies were randomized trials, followed by observational studies testing different interventions such as antiviral drugs, Chinese medicine, and integrated therapies. Except for 50 studies, clinical important outcomes such as mortality and exacerbation rate/time were not set as primary outcomes in majority trials. 179 studies had not started recruiting and would hardly be able to carry on in China due to insufficient patients.
As a new communicable disease, direct evidence for the prevention of COVID-19 is not available. We found insufficient evidence to support the rationale for tested Western medicines, while based on historical records and human evidence of SARS and H1N1 influenza prevention, Chinese herbal formula is considered as an alternative approach for prevention of COVID-19 in high-risk population [29]. The therapeutic clinical studies made up the largest proportion of the registrations. Antivirals, the most promising category of Western medicine, accounted for 17.7% out of the therapeutic studies. Eight RCTs were identified as promising trials under the criteria of study design and related human evidence. In terms of Chinese medicines, 14 had clinical or laboratory evidence, showing the potential therapeutic effects on COVID-19 patients.
Flaws in study design, such as the setting of the control and outcomes, and the lack of coordination were discovered from the registrations. Even in an outbreak, investigational products should be evaluated in scientifically and ethically sound studies [30]. Do no harm is always the first rule for all human studies. Methodologically, double-blind randomized, placebo controlled trials are considered to be the gold standard for therapeutic clinical trials [31]. However, considering the emergency and the practical issues of ethics and informed consent, the implementation of RCT faces more challenges. In the context of COVID-19 pandemic, the control interventions should be supportive care.
As statistics shows, the mortality of COVID-19 was 4.3% in Wuhan, China, indicating severe life-threatening disease [32]. New studies on clinical characteristics of COVID-19 also reported outcomes on exacerbation, such as the median time from first symptom to dyspnea, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) due to complications and death of multiple organ failure [32, 33], and other symptoms and laboratory findings for example neutrophilia, organ and coagulation dysfunction, which were potential risk factors for ARDS [34] and elevated d-dimer as risk factors for mortality [35]. On the contrary, clinical important outcomes such as mortality and exacerbation were only used as primary outcomes in 21.5% analyzed registrations, and the observational measures in clinical practice such as symptoms, signs, common laboratory tests and viral nucleic acid/viral load were used more frequently. What’s more, the most used primary and secondary outcomes were similar and clear measurements and time points were seldom available. The design of more than three primary outcomes in one trial may bring problems in the interpretation of research results [6].
Although the number of registered trials is increasing, only carefully conducted trials can show which measures work [36]. Without a coordination of the research teams in the whole country, potential participants could be scattered in numerous small studies, resulting in less powerful results or incomplete trials. There were only 3 international and 36 domestic collaboration studies, suggesting a low level of cooperation. In fact, the registrations showed that nearly half of the studies had not started recruiting by Mar 3, while the new cases in China were sharply reducing. Besides, a few of the sponsors had withdrawn their studies due to lack of patients. In fact, we could learn from the experience on study design of Ebola virus disease according to WHO documents [31, 37]. For example, the adaptive trial designs were used in the Ebola epidemic, it has the capacity to yield meaningful and interpretable data quickly, while more complex to coordinate among different sites. The key points of study design in these documents may also helpful for the design and implementation of COVID-19 clinical trials.
There are several limitations in our research. First, the registrations provide limited information on the trials, and our analysis is based on the registered information but not the full protocols. Second, the required information of the registrations are not unique across different registries, and the information could be revised by sponsors after the search and analysis, so the results may not include the whole registered information of the COVID-19 studies. Third, the criteria of the most promising trials were based on the authors’ consensus but not a widely used standard, we still look forward to more encouraging results of the registered trials not limited to the identified ones.
More international collaborations, rapid data sharing, and strengthened coordination are needed in the searching for effective therapy. As WHO suggested, enhancing global coordination of all relevant stakeholders, a clear and transparent global research and innovation priority setting and common platforms for standardized process are needed in the research during the outbreak [38]. In addition, WHO and partners are launching SOLIDARITY trial and aims to generate robust data for the most effective treatment for COVID-19 [3]. In addition, rapid data sharing is warranted once they are adequately quality controlled for release [39]. To response the outbreak of COVID-19, a quick upload of data is recommended when registered trials initiated so for immediate analysis and inform upcoming trials. Thirdly, the coordination of the trials are urgently needed. More rigorous regulations by the National Health Commission in China have been delivered for the clinical studies on COVID-19 recently, aim to strengthen overall coordination, promote data integration, and improve research efficiency [40]. With the statistics of registered information, we will trace the trials for the update status regularly. Further research could be conducted to investigate the impact factors of a successful trial in the emergency of public events, and summarize valuable experience for the protocols of unexpected emergency events.