China, when compared to most Western countries, has been particularly effective in controlling the spread of COVID-19 over the last three years (To date China counts 5,226 confirmed deaths that can be attributed to COVID, while in the European Union and the United States there are about 1.15 and 1.06 million confirmed deaths respectively; data from www.ourworldindata.org). However, the effects of the pandemic on mental health, particularly regarding the stringent procedures put in place to control COVID-19, has received far less attention. More generally, a recent Lancet editorial emphasizes how mental health in China is a particularly compelling issue “because it plays out against the wider backdrop of mental health disorders in China, which remain largely unaddressed” [1].
Therefore, given the size of the country and the potential extent of the problem, it is crucial to identify the individuals that may have been more affected in terms of mental health for several reasons. Firstly, this can lead to identification of at-risk groups, as well as more personalized psychological or psychiatric treatments, even for the post-COVID period. Secondly, understanding how different individuals with different personalities have reacted in China, and comparing this reaction with individuals in Europe and the United States, may improve our understanding of how mental health is affected by extreme situations and the link between personality and mental health.
We analyze mental health deterioration in China during the first part of the pandemic, using two waves of the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS). The CFPS covers a representative sample of the entire Chinese population. The first CFPS wave consists in data collected in 2018 (i.e., before the pandemic), while the other wave of data was collected from July to December 2020 (i.e., the pandemic wave). The panel structure of the CFPS dataset allows us to compare the same individuals over time, i.e., before and during the pandemic. Our analysis shows clear evidence of a significant increase in the prevalence of serious cases of depression between 2018 and 2020.
The CFPS dataset includes a set of standard personality questions derived from the most widely used taxonomy of personality, the “Big Five” model as measured by the Revised NEO Personality Inventory [2]. Thanks to this information, we were able to test how personality interacts with the pandemic to affect mental health. We find that the worsening of depression symptoms is more common for individuals with a more open personality. On the other hand, neuroticism does not lead to a more serious mental health deterioration as one may naturally expect, rather the contrary (see [3] for a thorough description of the Big Five personality traits). As we discuss below, this is remarkably in line with the previous analysis on mental health effect of the Covid-19 pandemic, based on very different contexts and environments. This invariance lends more support to the notion that the Big Five personality traits are a universally common feature in all human being, in addition it can provide further insights into the large literature analyzing the link between personality and mental health (A comprehensive review of this large literature is beyond the scope of this paper. We refer the reader to [4] for exhaustive meta-analysis and review of this literature and [5] for an illustration of the models linking personality to depression)
Concerning basic demographics, younger cohorts are more affected than older ones. Individuals with lower education also report more mental health deterioration compared to individuals who report higher levels of education. We do not observe any significant difference between genders. We will discuss in the final section of this article how this compare with the other existing analysis of the effect of the COVID pandemic on mental health.
Moreover, using information on the province of residence at the time of the pandemic, we find that individuals that have been subject to strict lockdowns report a higher level of mental health deterioration; the observed deterioration during lookdown is largely due to changes among individuals who reported some depression symptoms before the pandemic, rather than among individuals who did not report any symptom in the pre-pandemic wave from 2018.
There are very few country-representative studies on the effect of the COVID pandemic on wellbeing in China. To the best of our knowledge only two: [6] perform a Chinese country-representative study that compares emotional wellbeing from before the pandemic to the pandemic period. Their main goal is to analyze emotional wellbeing (or Happiness), rather than a specific measure of mental health (such as depression or anxiety). They find that the beginning of the coronavirus epidemic led to a 74% drop in overall emotional well-being. The other is [7] that, like the current study, is based on the CFPS dataset. They examine the effect of COVID incidence on the mental health of individuals in different provinces (whereas we focus on the difference in average between the pre-COVID period and the first COVID wave). Their results are fully consistent with ours, although [7] do not analyze how personality affects mental health deterioration, as we do.
Several studies find some mental health deterioration in China among specific groups during the pandemic. These contributions focus on specific groups rather than on the whole population: COVID-19 patients ([8] [9] [10]); university and college students ([11] [12] [13] [14]); children and adolescents ([15] [16] [17] [18]); or other subgroups of the population ([19] [20] [21] [22] [23]). Furthermore, several of these China-based contributions use data collected during the pandemic through non-representative and mostly online surveys (e.g. [24] [25] [26] [27]). Finally, there is a large and growing literature investigating the effects of the pandemic on mental health using data from several countries ([28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39]).
We well explain how some of the above-mentioned contributions relate to our work in the final Discussion section.