Demographic characteristics among 3 groups
Of 566 patients, the median age was 61.5 years and 47.2% of patients were male. Among the patients, 402 (71.0%) patients met the criteria for severe COVID-19 and 164 (29.0%) patients were moderate cases. There were 102 (18.0%), 157 (27.7%) and 307 (54.2%) patients in younger, middle-aged and older groups, with corresponding median age of 37, 54 and 69 years, respectively. Compared with younger and middle-aged groups, systolic blood pressure and the incidence of any coexisting medical condition were higher in the older group, like the occurrence of hypertension, diabetes and coronary artery disease (CAD). There was no difference of sex and symptoms among the three groups, including the neurologic manifestations (Table 1).
Table 1. Demographic and baseline characteristics of COVID-19 patients among 3 groups.
|
Younger (n=102)
|
Middle-aged (n=157)
|
Older (n=307)
|
Age (years)
|
37.0 (32.0-41.3)
|
54.0 (49.5-57.0)
|
69.0 (65.0-76.0)
|
Sex
|
|
|
|
Male
|
54 (52.9%)
|
60 (38.2%)
|
153 (49.8%)
|
Female
|
48 (47.1%)
|
97 (61.8%)
|
154 (50.2%)
|
Typical symptoms
|
Fever
|
71 (69.6%)
|
126 (80.3%)
|
248 (80.8%)
|
Dry cough
|
63 (61.8%)
|
108 (68.8%)
|
183 (59.6%)
|
Fatigue
|
38 (37.3%)
|
76 (48.4%)
|
144 (46.9%)
|
Dyspnea
|
12 (11.8%)
|
26 (16.6%)
|
41 (13.4%)
|
Neurological symptoms
|
Dizziness
|
3/102 (2.9%)
|
9/156 (5.8%)
|
16/302 (5.3%)
|
Headache
|
5/102 (4.9%)
|
13/156 (8.3%)
|
10/302 (3.3%)
|
Impaired consciousness
|
0 (0.0%)
|
0 (0.0%)
|
3 (1.0%)
|
Comorbidity
|
Any
|
18 (17.6%)
|
66 (42.0%)*
|
222 (72.3%)*#
|
Hypertension
|
6 (5.9%)
|
52 (33.1%)*
|
158 (51.5%)*#
|
Diabetes
|
3 (2.9%)
|
19 (12.1%)*
|
52 (16.9%)*
|
CAD
|
0 (0.0%)
|
8 (5.1%)
|
50 (16.3%)*#
|
Cerebral infarction
|
0 (0.0%)
|
1 (0.6%)
|
21 (6.8%)*
|
Cancer
|
1 (1.0%)
|
2 (1.3%)
|
9 (2.9%)
|
CKD
|
2 (2.0%)
|
1 (0.6%)
|
7 (2.3%)
|
COPD
|
0 (0.0%)
|
1 (0.6%)
|
7 (2.3%)
|
SBP (mmHg)
|
122.0 (116.0-130.0)
|
129.0 (120.0-140.0)*
|
134.0 (121.0-148.0)*#
|
DBP (mmHg)
|
78.0 (70.0-85.0)
|
80.0 (70.0-87.5)
|
80.0 (70.0-87.0)
|
Heart rate (bpm)
|
85.0 (76.0-98.0)
|
86.0 (77.5-96.0)
|
85.0 (77.0-98.0)
|
Data were presented as n (%) or median (IQR). *P<0.05 vs younger group; #P<0.05 vs middle-aged group. CAD, coronary artery disease; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure.
Laboratory findings among 3 groups
When compared with younger and middle-aged groups, older patients exhibited higher counts of neutrophils and serum levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), AST, LDH, blood glucose, urea nitrogen and creatinine as well as lower numbers of lymphocytes, hemoglobin and platelet (P<0.05). More severe lymphopenia occurred in older individuals where 101 (32.9%) patients had lymphocyte counts below 0.8×109/L, while only 13 (12.7%) and 29 (18.5%) in younger and middle-aged groups, respectively (Table 2).
Table 2. The laboratory findings, complications, treatment and clinical outcome of patients with COVID-19 among 3 groups.
|
Younger (n=102)
|
Middle-aged (n=157)
|
Older (n=307)
|
White blood cells (109/L)
|
5.57 (4.16-7.18)
|
5.37 (4.28-7.07)
|
5.73 (4.53-7.56)
|
Neutrophils (109/L)
|
2.93 (2.11-4.66)
|
3.14 (2.55-4.59)
|
3.87 (2.73-5.56)*#
|
Lymphocytes (109/L)
|
1.52 (1.09-2.02)
|
1.31 (0.90-1.73)
|
1.01 (0.68-1.57)*#
|
<0.8
|
13 (12.7%)
|
29 (18.5%)
|
101 (32.9%)*#
|
Hemoglobin (g/L)
|
133.0 (122.8-145.0)
|
125.0 (116.5-135.5)*
|
121.0 (111.0-132.0)*#
|
Platelet (109/L)
|
220.5 (177.3-272.3)
|
231.0 (178.0-295.5)
|
208.0 (155.0-261.0)#
|
<100
|
0 (0.0%)
|
2 (1.3%)
|
19 (6.2%)*#
|
CRP (mg/L)
|
2.53 (0.50-11.88)
|
5.60 (0.71-37.40)
|
27.70 (2.64-72.85)*#
|
ALT (U/L)
|
26.0 (17.8-48.0)
|
27.0 (18.0-51.0)
|
23.0 (16.0-36.0)#
|
AST (U/L)
|
23.0 (17.0-33.3)
|
25.0 (19.0-37.0)
|
27.0 (19.0-39.0)*
|
ALP (U/L)
|
57.0 (45.0-69.3)
|
64.5 (52.0-81.3)*
|
66.0 (55.0-81.0)*
|
GGT (U/L)
|
23.0 (15.0-39.3)
|
29.5 (18.0-51.0)
|
27.0 (17.0-47.0)
|
Total bilirubin (μmol/L)
|
10.1 (7.2-13.0)
|
10.2 (7.5-13.7)
|
11.1 (8.4-15.2)*#
|
Albumin (g/L)
|
41.5 (38.4-44.7)
|
39.4 (36.6-42.1)*
|
36.6 (33.1-39.3)*#
|
<30
|
0 (0.0%)
|
0 (0.0%)
|
18 (5.9%)*#
|
Urea nitrogen (mmol/L)
|
4.11 (3.10-5.42)
|
4.53 (3.40-5.61)
|
5.40 (4.28-7.41)*#
|
Creatinine (μmol/L)
|
61.0 (48.8-72.0)
|
55.0 (46.5-67.5)
|
63.0 (52.0-75.0)#
|
Blood glucose (mmol/L)
|
4.99 (4.59-5.87)
|
5.36 (4.83-6.76)*
|
5.80 (5.04-7.43)*#
|
Creatine kinase (U/L)
|
61.0 (44.0-108.0)
|
56.0 (35.0-82.5)
|
60.0 (42.0-94.5)
|
LDH (U/L)
|
189.0 (164.8-298.5)
|
227.0 (187.0-281.0)
|
265.0 (210.0-363.0)*#
|
CK-MB (ng/mL)
|
0.64 (0.44-0.88)
|
0.75 (0.54-1.05)
|
1.27 (0.90-2.25)*#
|
cTnI (ng/mL)
|
0.006 (0.006-0.006)
|
0.006 (0.006-0.006)
|
0.008 (0.006-0.025)*#
|
Complications
|
ARDS
|
15 (14.7%)
|
35 (22.3%)
|
88 (28.7%)*
|
Acute cardiac injury
|
4/91 (4.4%)
|
5/154 (3.2%)
|
66/306 (21.6%)*#
|
With history of cardiovascular disease
|
0/5 (0.0%)
|
0/53 (0.0%)
|
56/178 (31.5%)#
|
Without history of cardiovascular disease
|
4/86 (4.7%)
|
5/101 (5.0%)
|
10/128 (7.8%)
|
Heart failure (elevated BNP)
|
1/72 (1.4%)
|
5/132 (3.8%)
|
39/269 (14.5%)*#
|
Novel or worsening arrhythmia
|
21 (20.6%)
|
26 (16.6%)
|
71 (23.1%)
|
Acute liver injury
|
9 (8.8%)
|
11 (7.0%)
|
35 (11.4%)
|
Acute kidney injury
|
2 (2.0%)
|
1 (0.6%)
|
13 (4.2%)
|
Skeletal muscle injury
|
9/102 (8.8%)
|
8/150 (5.3%)
|
20/285 (7.0%)
|
Treatment
|
Antiviral therapy
|
97 (95.1%)
|
150 (95.5%)
|
295 (96.1%)
|
Antibiotic therapy
|
66 (64.7%)
|
114 (72.6%)
|
230 (74.9%)
|
Glucocorticoids
|
27 (26.5%)
|
42 (26.8%)
|
127 (41.4%)*#
|
Oxygen support
|
Nasal cannula
|
71 (69.6%)
|
111 (70.7%)
|
220 (71.7%)
|
Non-invasive ventilation (ie, face mask)
|
9 (8.8%)
|
25 (15.9%)
|
65 (21.2%)*
|
Invasive mechanical ventilation
|
1 (1.0%)
|
4 (2.5%)
|
12 (3.9%)
|
Severe
|
49 (48.0%)
|
99 (63.1%)*
|
254 (82.7%)*#
|
Clinical outcome
|
Discharge
|
100 (98.0%)
|
150 (95.5%)
|
250 (81.4%)*#
|
Death
|
2 (2.0%)
|
7 (4.5%)
|
57 (18.6%)*#
|
*P<0.05 vs younger group; #P<0.05 vs middle-aged group. CRP, C-reactive protein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; GGT, gamma-glutamyl transferase; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; CK-MB, creatine kinase-myocardial isoenzyme; cTnI, cardiac troponin I; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome.
Common complications were assessed and we observed that 28.7% of older patients suffered the ARDS, while the proportion of individuals exhibiting ARDS in younger and middle-aged patients were 14.7% and 22.3%, respectively. Elevated cTnI and BNP levels were found in the older group when compared with those in younger and middle-aged groups, suggesting a higher rate of acute cardiac injury and heart failure. Surprisingly, older patients with preexisting cardiac comorbidity were more likely to suffered cardiac injury, while there was no difference of the incidence of acute cardiac injury among patients without cardiovascular diseases. On admission, there was decreased level of albumin in the older group with 18 (5.9%) older patients developing hypoalbuminemia (albumin <30g/L), suggesting a poor nutrition status of older patients. There was no difference of novel or worsening arrhythmia, acute liver injury, acute kidney injury and skeletal muscle injury among the three groups (Table 2).
Among the total of 566 patients, 95.8% of individuals received antiviral agents (including arbidol, ribavirin, oseltamivir and ganciclovir) and more than half of patients received antibacterial therapy. 34.6% of patients received glucocorticoids therapy (methylprednisolone, 40-80mg/day for 5-7 days). More glucocorticoids were used in older patients (41.4%) than younger and middle-aged patients (26.5% or 26.8%, P<0.05). 82.7% of older patients were severe and 18.6% of them died eventually, which was higher than that in younger and middle-aged patients (P<0.05). There was no significant difference of treatment and mortality between younger and middle-aged groups (Table 2).
The subgroup analysis of older patients
In subgroup analysis, older patients were further divided into two groups: younger old and oldest-old groups. Among the 307 older patients, there were 216 (70.4%) younger old patients and 91 (29.6%) oldest-old patients. The incidence of hypertension and CAD was more frequent in oldest-old patients. Compared with the younger old, oldest-old patients had higher counts of neutrophils and serum levels of CRP, AST, urea nitrogen, creatinine, LDH, CK-MB and cTnI, while lower counts of lymphocytes and platelet and serum albumin levels (P<0.05). Oldest-old patients exhibited higher incidence of extrapulmonary organ damage, including acute cardiac injury, heart failure, skeletal muscle injury and kidney injury than those in younger old patients (P<0.05). Importantly, the mortality of the oldest-old patients was much higher than younger old patients (P<0.001, Table 3).
Table 3. The laboratory findings, complications, treatment and clinical outcome in the older patients.
|
Younger old (n=216)
|
Oldest-old (n=91)
|
P
|
Age (years)
|
66.0 (63.0-69.0)
|
79.0 (76.0-82.0)
|
<0.001
|
Male
|
96 (44.4%)
|
57 (62.6%)
|
0.004
|
Comorbidity
|
Any
|
143 (66.2%)
|
79 (86.8%)
|
<0.001
|
Hypertension
|
96 (44.4%)
|
62 (68.1%)
|
<0.001
|
Diabetes
|
37 (17.1%)
|
15 (16.5%)
|
0.890
|
CAD
|
27 (12.5%)
|
23 (25.3%)
|
0.006
|
Cerebral infarction
|
8 (3.7%)
|
13 (14.3%)
|
0.001
|
Cancer
|
6 (2.8%)
|
3 (3.3%)
|
1.000
|
CKD
|
3 (1.4%)
|
4 (4.4%)
|
0.233
|
COPD
|
3 (1.4%)
|
4 (4.4%)
|
0.233
|
Laboratory findings
|
White blood cells (109/L)
|
5.72 (4.34-7.39)
|
5.96 (4.74-8.12)
|
0.155
|
Neutrophils (109/L)
|
3.70 (2.54-5.47)
|
4.30 (3.37-6.54)
|
0.006
|
Lymphocytes (109/L)
|
1.18 (0.73-1.68)
|
0.85 (0.59-1.29)
|
<0.001
|
<0.8
|
58 (26.9%)
|
43 (47.3%)
|
0.001
|
Hemoglobin (g/L)
|
121.0 (112.0-131.0)
|
121.0 (109.0-133.0)
|
0.660
|
Platelet (109/L)
|
213.0 (165.3-269.5)
|
197.0 (134.0-242.0)
|
0.011
|
<100
|
10 (4.6%)
|
9 (9.9%)
|
0.081
|
CRP (mg/L)
|
18.90 (1.37-73.09)
|
53.55 (12.28-73.03)
|
0.001
|
ALT (U/L)
|
24.0 (16.0-35.8)
|
23.0 (16.0-39.0)
|
0.829
|
AST (U/L)
|
25.0 (18.0-35.8)
|
30.0 (21.0-48.0)
|
0.002
|
Albumin (g/L)
|
37.1 (33.6-40.0)
|
35.0 (32.0-37.7)
|
<0.001
|
<30
|
11 (5.1%)
|
7 (7.7%)
|
0.376
|
Urea nitrogen (mmol/L)
|
5.10 (4.00-6.51)
|
7.70 (4.80-11.31)
|
<0.001
|
Creatinine (μmol/L)
|
60.0 (50.0-70.0)
|
68.0 (57.0-100.0)
|
<0.001
|
Blood glucose (mmol/L)
|
5.80 (5.06-7.74)
|
5.79 (4.90-7.01)
|
0.658
|
Creatine kinase (U/L)
|
59.0 (42.0-86.5)
|
62.0 (42.5-150.0)
|
0.103
|
LDH (U/L)
|
252.0 (200.0-346.0)
|
289.0 (230.0-452.0)
|
0.001
|
CK-MB (ng/mL)
|
1.12 (0.83-1.63)
|
2.27 (1.32-4.43)
|
<0.001
|
cTnI (ng/mL)
|
0.006 (0.006-0.014)
|
0.027 (0.010-0.193)
|
<0.001
|
Complications
|
ARDS
|
56 (25.9%)
|
32 (35.2%)
|
0.102
|
Acute cardiac injury
|
23/215 (10.7%)
|
43/91 (47.3%)
|
<0.001
|
With history of cardiovascular disease
|
19/108 (17.6%)
|
37/70 (52.9%)
|
<0.001
|
Without history of cardiovascular disease
|
4/107 (3.7%)
|
6/21 (28.6%)
|
0.001
|
Heart failure (elevated BNP)
|
21/185 (11.4%)
|
18/84 (21.4%)
|
0.030
|
New or worsening arrhythmia
|
54 (25.0%)
|
17 (18.7%)
|
0.230
|
Acute liver injury
|
20 (9.3%)
|
15 (16.5%)
|
0.069
|
Acute kidney injury
|
4 (1.9%)
|
9 (9.9%)
|
0.004
|
Skeletal muscle injury
|
9/204 (4.4%)
|
11/81 (13.6%)
|
0.006
|
Clinical outcome
|
Discharge
|
191 (88.4%)
|
59 (64.8%)
|
<0.001
|
Death
|
25 (11.6%)
|
32 (35.2%)
|
In addition, the older patients were divided into two sub-groups: survivors (n=250) and non-survivors (n=57). Compared with survivors, non-survivors were older, and had higher comorbidity rates including hypertension and CAD (P<0.05). Non-survivors were more likely to suffer ARDS (68.4% vs. 19.6%), acute myocardial injury (71.9% vs. 10.0%), heart failure (43.4% vs. 7.4%), skeletal muscle injury (26.7% vs. 3.3%) and acute kidney injury (10.5% vs. 2.8%, all P<0.05) as compared with survivors. Among all 57 non-survivors, 53 patients (93.0%) had ARDS and/or cardiac complications (Table S1).
The predictors for the prognosis of elderly patients
Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed and we found that age was an independent risk factor for the prognosis of older COVID-19 patients, and the risk of death increased by 8.5% per year approximately in elderly population. ARDS, acute cardiac injury, heart failure, skeletal muscle injury and lymphopenia were all independent risk factors associated with death. Disappointedly, glucocorticoids were associated with an increased mortality in older patients with COVID-19 (OR: 3.990; 95%CI: 1.364-11.668; P=0.011, Table 4).
Table 4. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis for predicting the risk of death in older patients with COVID-19.
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
OR (95%CI)
|
P
|
OR (95%CI)
|
P
|
Age (years)
|
1.111 (1.069-1.155)
|
0.000
|
1.085 (1.017-1.158)
|
0.014
|
History of cardiovascular disease
|
3.299 (1.665-6.535)
|
0.001
|
|
|
ARDS
|
8.888 (4.687-16.853)
|
0.000
|
8.576 (3.084-23.850)
|
0.000
|
Acute cardiac injury
|
22.960 (11.284-46.717)
|
0.000
|
3.690 (1.233-11.042)
|
0.020
|
Heart failure
|
9.583 (4.552-20.178)
|
0.000
|
4.782 (1.543-14.817)
|
0.007
|
New or worsening arrhythmia
|
1.384 (0.722-2.652)
|
0.328
|
|
|
Acute liver injury
|
1.915 (0.862-4.253)
|
0.111
|
|
|
Acute kidney injury
|
4.084 (1.317-12.661)
|
0.015
|
|
|
Skeletal muscle injury
|
10.545 (4.013-27.709)
|
0.000
|
7.330 (1.453-36.977)
|
0.016
|
Leukocytosis
|
10.635 (4.897-23.094)
|
0.000
|
|
|
Lymphopenia
|
4.435 (2.427-8.105)
|
0.000
|
2.793 (1.030-7.578)
|
0.044
|
Hypoalbuminemia
|
3.042 (1.124-8.231)
|
0.028
|
|
|
Antiviral therapy
|
1.146 (0.244-5.378)
|
0.863
|
|
|
Antibiotic therapy
|
7.714 (2.338-25.450)
|
0.001
|
|
|
Glucocorticoids
|
3.989 (2.155-7.384)
|
0.000
|
3.990 (1.364-11.668)
|
0.011
|