The average creatinine levels (mean and standard deviation (SD)) were 1.65 ± 1.46 mg/dl, 1.63 ±1.29 mg/dl, 1.37±0.69 mg/dl and 1.37±0.66 mg/dl one week, one month six months and one year post-transplant, respectively. The mean eGFR was 58.2±22.2 cm3/min in the first month, 62.0±21.4 cm3/min after six months and 62.15 ± 21.1 cm3/min one years after transplant. These decreasing trends in the amount of serum creatinine and the increasing trend in serum eGFR was meaningful (p-value = 0.039). Table 1 is the characteristics of both graft donors - recipients and table 2 the numbers of patients in each gender match groups. Additional data on serum creatinine and eGFR levels of transplant recipients and hemoglobin of donors are shown in table 3 over several times of sampling before and after transplantation.
Table 1: Characteristics considered for both graft donors and recipients.
|
Kidney transplant Donor
|
Kidney transplant Recipient
|
Mean age (year)
|
28.20 ± 5.34
|
35.02 ± 15.63
|
Female (percent)
|
202 (18.2%)
|
438 (39.4%)
|
BMI
|
24.02 ± 4.40
|
23.29 ± 5.41
|
Dialysis Before Graft
|
-
|
852 (76.6 %)
|
Arterial anastomosis
|
-
|
972 (87.4%)
|
Venous anastomosis
|
-
|
1101 (99.2%)
|
DGF
|
-
|
103 (9.3%)
|
Table 2: The numbers of patients in each gender match groups.
Donor-Recipient Gender
|
Number
|
Percent
|
Male to Male
|
1123
|
53/1%
|
Male to Female
|
557
|
26.9%
|
Female to Female
|
179
|
8.8%
|
Female to Male
|
213
|
9.5%
|
Total
|
2072
|
100%
|
Table 3: Fluctuation of recipients’ serum creatinine and eGFR vs. donors’ hemoglobin
|
Time
|
Male to Male (Means ± SD)
|
Male to Female (Means ± SD)
|
Female to Female (Means ± SD)
|
Female to Male (Means ± SD)
|
Total
|
p-value
|
Serum Creatinine in Graft Recipients
|
One week after transplant
|
1.72 ±1.48
|
1.60 ± 1.46
|
1.59 ± 1.66
|
1.65 ± 1.56
|
1.67 ±1.66
|
0.474
|
One month after transplant
|
1.72 ± 1.41
|
1.51 ± 1.23
|
1.53 ± 1.40
|
1.56 ± 0.89
|
1.63 ± 1.32
|
0.009*
|
Six months after transplant
|
1.42 ± 0.65
|
1.24 ± 0.69
|
1.21 ± 0.45
|
1.61 ± 0.93
|
1.37 ± 0.69
|
0.000*
|
One year after transplant
|
1.42 ± 0.58
|
1.22 ± 0.56
|
1.32 ± 0.91
|
1.57 ± 0.92
|
1.37 ± 0.66
|
0.000*
|
eGFR in Graft Recipients
|
One month after transplant
|
61.64 ± 21.76
|
53.16 ± 21.58
|
52.69 ± 22.04
|
58.78 ± 21.73
|
58.31 ±22.08
|
0.000*
|
Six months after transplant
|
66.35 ± 21.28
|
57.10 ±19.68
|
55.23 ± 19.35
|
57.69 ± 23.07
|
62.04 ± 21.39
|
0.000*
|
One year after transplant
|
66.12 ± 19.99
|
57.59 ±20.39
|
55.44 ± 22.65
|
58.85 ± 22.60
|
62.18 ± 21.05
|
0.000*
|
Hemoglobin of Graft Donors
|
Before surgery
|
15.10 ± 1.28
|
15.05 ± 1.30
|
12.89 ± 1.24
|
12.83 ± 1.17
|
14.66 ± 1.54
|
0.000*
|
After surgery
|
14.00 ± 1.33
|
13.92 ± 1.42
|
12.10 ± 1.30
|
12.03 ± 1.26
|
13.61 ± 1.54
|
0.000*
|
Two days after surgery
|
13.86 ± 1.49
|
13.82 ± 1.34
|
11.83 ± 1.32
|
11.71 ± 1.21
|
13.45 ± 1.63
|
0.000*
|
*p-value<0.05 is considered as significant. P-value is estimated by Anova.
Side effects and complications after surgery were just seen in 4.6% of the patients. Graft rejection was reported in about 51 cases (4.6%) of graft recipients, and 130 (11.7%) of the patients were made to have dialysis after transplantation. There were 41 (3.7%) post-transplant death cases. Consequences of surgery, side effects, graft rejection, dialysis return, and death in transplant in recipients are presented in table 4 based on donor-recipient gender.
Table 4: Consequences of surgery like side effects, graft rejection, dialysis return, and death in transplant recipients
Consequence
|
Frequency
|
p-value
|
Side Effects
|
|
|
Male to Male
|
2.3 %
|
0.068
|
Male to Female
|
4.0 %
|
Female to Male
|
3.8 %
|
Female to Female
|
4.5 %
|
Graft Rejection
|
|
|
Male to Male
|
4.0 %
|
0.087
|
Male to Female
|
6.4 %
|
Female to Male
|
3.8 %
|
Female to Female
|
4.0 %
|
Dialysis Return
|
|
|
Male to Male
|
10.5 %
|
0.009*
|
Male to Female
|
15.0 %
|
Female to Male
|
8.4 %
|
Female to Female
|
12.1 %
|
Death
|
|
|
Male to Male
|
3.4 %
|
0.517
|
Male to Female
|
4.3 %
|
Female to Male
|
3.6 %
|
Female to Female
|
3.2 %
|
*p-value<0.05 is considered as significant. Chi 2 test is used for earning p-value.
Based the results of Kaplan-Meier test, the survival percentage was 97.3%, 95.7%, 95.1%, 94.8%, 94.4% and 93.7% one year, two, three, four, five , and 10 years post-transplant, respectively (figure 1). The distribution of patients in our four defined groups based on donor-recipient gender was 606 (54.4%) in group 1, 304 (27.4%) in group 2, 105 (99.4%) in group 3, and 98 (8.8%) in group 4.
Predictive factors for mortality, graft rejection, and back to dialysis in both genders of donor and recipient were age (esp. in transplant recipients), serum creatinin, eGFR, level of donor hemoglobuline, history and duration of dialysis before kidney transplant. The result of multiple logistic regression analysis of graft rejection, dialysis return, and death recipients are presented in table 5. The multiple logistic regression model for graft rejection indicated female recipient (p-value: 0.035), delayed graft function (DGF) (p-value: 0.001), age of recipients (p-value: 0.050), primary serum level of creatinine and eGFR (p-value: 0.001), and donor hemoglobin levels (p value: 0.043) are critical elements of graft rejection.
Table 5: Multiple logistic regression models for several factors and graft rejection requiring dialysis return and death.
|
Candidate Variable
|
Beta coefficient
|
p-value
|
Probability Ratio
|
Graft Rejection
|
Recipient’s Gender
|
-0.437
|
0.040
|
0.646
|
Age of Recipient
|
0.019
|
0.010*
|
1.019
|
Creatinine/eGFR
|
-0.341
|
0.001*
|
0.711
|
Donor’s hemoglobin level
|
0.019
|
0.001*
|
1.019
|
|
Dialysis Return
|
Recipient’s Gender
|
-0.602
|
0.002*
|
0.548
|
Age of Recipient
|
0.038
|
0.001*
|
1.039
|
Creatinine/eGFR
|
-0.275
|
0.001*
|
0.760
|
Donor’s hemoglobin level
|
0.148
|
0.016*
|
1.159
|
Arterial Anastomosis
|
0.171
|
0.650
|
1.187
|
DGF
|
0.564
|
0.146
|
1.758
|
Donor’s Age
|
-0.022
|
0.177
|
0.978
|
|
Death
|
History of Dialysis
|
0.417
|
0.453
|
1.518
|
Age of recipient
|
-0.042
|
0.010*
|
1.959
|
Creatinine/eGFR
|
-0.305
|
0.001*
|
0.749
|
BMI of Recipient
|
0.009
|
0.009*
|
0.959
|
Creatinine/eGFR
|
-0.067
|
0.642
|
0.935
|
The multiple regression models showed that kidney transplant recipients with history of dialysis, older age, higher Creatinine/eGFR and higher hemoglobin levels in their donors are more susceptible to return of dialysis after transplantation. In addition, higher Creatinine/eGFR, BMI and older age of recipients (≥35 years) can decrease the risk of transplant survival and increase the risk of death in graft recipients. Figure 2 represent the frequency of death, back to dialysis, graft rejection and other complications based on gender math.