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Research Article
Olivier Telle
French National Centre for Scientific Research
Corresponding Author
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The control of human mobility has quickly been targeted as a major leverage to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in a great majority of countries worldwide. Using more than 151 million anonymized movements registered by one of the major social media platforms combined with spatial and temporal Covid-19 data, the objective of this research is to understand how mobility patterns and SARS-CoV-2 diffusion during the first wave are connected in four different countries: the west coast of the USA, Colombia, Sweden and France. In this research, we could demonstrate that introducing movement improved considerably the model. It underlines as well that mobility played an important role in the diffusion of SARS-CoV-2, even during the lockdown, suggesting a moderate impact of lockdown on virus diffusion. However, it suggests that government could better locate where disease mitigation would be the most effective by systematically analyzing real-time movements of population. Lockdown strategies and vaccination campaigns could, for example, be prioritized according to spatial vulnerability and connectivity to hotspots of viral circulation.
Keywords
SARS-CoV-2, human mobility, viral circulation, west coast USA, Colombia, Sweden, France
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No competing interests reported.
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This preprint is under consideration at Scientific Reports. A preprint is a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Learn more about In Review
Research Article
Olivier Telle
French National Centre for Scientific Research
Corresponding Author
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
Peer Review Timeline
CURRENT STATUS: Under Review
Version 1
Posted 16 Mar, 2021
No community comments so far
Editor invited
On 15 Mar, 2021
Submission checks complete
On 15 Mar, 2021
First submitted
On 02 Mar, 2021
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
Subject Areas
Infectious Diseases
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
The control of human mobility has quickly been targeted as a major leverage to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in a great majority of countries worldwide. Using more than 151 million anonymized movements registered by one of the major social media platforms combined with spatial and temporal Covid-19 data, the objective of this research is to understand how mobility patterns and SARS-CoV-2 diffusion during the first wave are connected in four different countries: the west coast of the USA, Colombia, Sweden and France. In this research, we could demonstrate that introducing movement improved considerably the model. It underlines as well that mobility played an important role in the diffusion of SARS-CoV-2, even during the lockdown, suggesting a moderate impact of lockdown on virus diffusion. However, it suggests that government could better locate where disease mitigation would be the most effective by systematically analyzing real-time movements of population. Lockdown strategies and vaccination campaigns could, for example, be prioritized according to spatial vulnerability and connectivity to hotspots of viral circulation.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Figure 6
Figure 7
Figure 8
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