From October 2019 to December 2022, 232 AIS patients that underwent intravenous thrombolysis were screened in this study. A total of 42 patients were excluded, due to severe liver and kidney dysfunction, and metastasized tumors (n=18), bridging treatments after intravenous thrombolysis (n=10), and incomplete follow-up data (n=14). Ultimately, a total of 190 subjects were included for the final analysis.
Patient Characteristics
Compared to the good prognosis group, the poor prognosis group had higher age, baseline NIHSS scores, neutrophil counts, discharge mRS scores, and Random Blood Glucose (RBG), NLR, SIRI, IPI, and SII values but lower lymphocyte counts.
Table 1 Demographics and clinical characteristics of AIS patients with different prognoses.
Characteristics
|
Total (n=190)
|
Good Prognosis Group (n=157)
|
Poor Prognosis Group (n=33)
|
p
|
Gender(male ,n,%)
|
122(64.211)
|
102(64.968)
|
20(60.606)
|
0.635
|
Age, mean(±SD)
|
70.389±11.675
|
69.854±11.201
|
72.939±13.416
|
0.100
|
Vascular risk factors
|
|
|
|
|
Smoking, n (%)
|
yes
|
51(26.842)
|
45(28.662)
|
6(18.182)
|
0.217
|
no
|
139(73.158)
|
112(71.338)
|
27(81.818)
|
Drinking, n (%)
|
yes
|
28(14.737)
|
26(16.561)
|
2(6.061)
|
0.122
|
no
|
162(85.263)
|
131(83.439)
|
31(93.939)
|
Diabetes, n (%)
|
yes
|
56(29.474)
|
46(29.299)
|
10(30.303)
|
0.908
|
no
|
134(70.526)
|
111(70.701)
|
23(69.697)
|
Hypertension, n (%)
|
yes
|
128(67.368)
|
104(66.242)
|
24(72.727)
|
0.470
|
no
|
62(32.632)
|
53(33.758)
|
9(27.273)
|
CHD, n (%)
|
yes
|
33(17.368)
|
25(15.924)
|
8(24.242)
|
0.252
|
no
|
157(82.632)
|
132(84.076)
|
25(75.758)
|
AF, n ( %)
|
yes
|
13(6.842)
|
11(7.006)
|
2(6.061)
|
0.845
|
no
|
177(93.158)
|
146(92.994)
|
31(93.939)
|
Medical history
|
|
|
|
|
Antiplatelet, n (%)
|
yes
|
44(23.158)
|
37(23.567)
|
7(21.212)
|
0.771
|
no
|
146(76.842)
|
120(76.433)
|
26(78.788)
|
Statins, n (%)
|
yes
|
27(14.211)
|
22(14.013)
|
5(15.152)
|
0.865
|
no
|
163(85.789)
|
135(85.987)
|
28(84.848)
|
Antihypertensive, n (%)
|
yes
|
117(61.579)
|
95(60.510)
|
22(66.667)
|
0.509
|
no
|
73(38.421)
|
62(39.490)
|
11(33.333)
|
Hypoglycemic drug, n(%)
|
yes
|
52(27.368)
|
42(26.752)
|
10(30.303)
|
0.677
|
no
|
138(72.632)
|
115(73.248)
|
23(69.697)
|
TOAST, n(%)
|
LAA
|
110(57.895)
|
92(58.599)
|
18(54.545)
|
0.029
|
CE
|
25(13.158)
|
16(10.191)
|
9(27.273)
|
SAO
|
47(24.737)
|
43(27.389)
|
4(12.121)
|
Unclassified
|
8(4.211)
|
6(3.822)
|
2(6.061)
|
OCSP, n(%)
|
TACI
|
34(17.895)
|
25(15.924)
|
9(27.273)
|
0.142
|
PACI
|
63(33.158)
|
52(33.121)
|
11(33.333)
|
LACI
|
69(36.316)
|
62(39.490)
|
7(21.212)
|
POCI
|
24(12.632)
|
18(11.465)
|
6(18.182)
|
NIHSS, median[IQR]
|
4.000[3.000,6.000]
|
3.000[2.000,5.000]
|
7.000[6.000,10.000]
|
<0.001
|
SBP, mean(±SD)
|
153.000±23.806
|
152.204±23.473
|
156.788±24.983
|
0.317
|
DBP, mean(±SD)
|
85.637±14.868
|
84.701±14.799
|
90.091±14.381
|
0.056
|
Laboratory data
|
|
|
|
|
LDL, median[IQR]
|
2.750[2.130,3.320]
|
2.750[2.130,3.320]
|
2.810[2.140,3.280]
|
0.875
|
HDL, median[IQR]
|
1.260[1.080,1.500]
|
1.260[1.100,1.500]
|
1.220[1.060,1.390]
|
0.458
|
RBG, median[IQR]
|
6.180[4.920,8.650]
|
6.050[4.910,7.680]
|
7.420[5.820,10.570]
|
0.024
|
Lymphocyte, median[IQR]
|
1.750[1.260,2.350]
|
1.830[1.330,2.410]
|
1.450[0.930,1.770]
|
<0.001
|
Monocyte, median[IQR]
|
0.500[0.390,0.660]
|
0.510[0.390,0.660]
|
0.460[0.400,0.670]
|
0.946
|
Neutrophil, median[IQR]
|
4.420[3.290,5.550]
|
4.320[3.210,5.210]
|
4.970[4.130,8.250]
|
0.001
|
Platelet, median[IQR]
|
186.000[153.000,224.000]
|
188.000[154.000,224.000]
|
177.000[153.000,209.000]
|
0.372
|
MPV, median[IQR]
|
10.300[9.700,11.200]
|
10.300[9.700,11.200]
|
10.400[9.700,11.200]
|
0.818
|
NLR, median[IQR]
|
2.368[1.596,3.893]
|
2.159[1.463,3.566]
|
3.509[2.838,7.237]
|
<0.001
|
CRP, median[IQR]
|
0.500[0.500,1.740]
|
0.500[0.500,1.500]
|
0.740[0.500,4.260]
|
0.107
|
Albumin, median[IQR]
|
40.600[37.700,42.900]
|
40.400[37.700,42.600]
|
41.600[37.700,43.500]
|
0.176
|
IPI, median[IQR]
|
0.047[0.025,0.136]
|
0.043[0.023,0.113]
|
0.109[0.041,0.522]
|
<0.001
|
SII, median[IQR]
|
451.644[293.248,715.759]
|
413.571[264.923,654.741]
|
636.842[461.159,1088.124]
|
<0.001
|
SIRI, median[IQR]
|
1.179[0.732,2.036]
|
1.083[0.707,1.844]
|
1.912[1.298,3.726]
|
<0.001
|
Abbreviations: CHD, Coronary heart disease; AF, Atrial fibrillation; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; MPV, Mean Platelet Volume; NLR, Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio; CRP, C-reactive protein; IPI, Inflammatory Prognosis Index; SII, Systemic Immune-inflammation Index; SIRI, System Inflammation Response Index; RBG, Random Blood Glucose.
Correlation Between IPI, SII, and SIRI Level and Admission NIHSS Score in different groups of AIS Patients
Spearman correlation analysis revealed a significant correlation between IPI, SII, and SIRI values with NIHSS score (r=0.338, 0.356, and 0.427, respectively, P<0.05) (Figure 2A, 2C, and 2E). IPI, SII, and SIRI levels in moderate to severe AIS patients (NIHSS score <5=0) remained higher than in mild AIS patients (NIHSS score≥5=1) (median:0.101 vs. 0.034, 675.669 vs. 377.752, 1.685 vs. 1.010), according to the Mann-Whitney U-test (Figure 2B, 2D, and 2F).
Levels of composite inflammatory indicators with different prognosis
Figure 3 shows the violin plots of SIRI, IPI, and SII between the two groups. Patients in the good prognosis group had lower SIRI, IPI, and SII levels than in the poor prognosis group (P<0.05).
Prognostic value of SIRI, IPI, and SII in AIS Patients
ROC analysis revealed that a SIRI cut-off value of 1.298×109 /L demonstrated a sensitivity of 0.758 and a specificity of 0.618 for poor 3-month outcome, with an AUC of 0.720 (95% CI=0.612-0.751, P<0.05)(Figure 4). The SII index's predictive accuracy was poor. A 3-month poor outcome was differentiated by the SII cut-off value of 392.903×109 /L, which had a sensitivity of 0.879, a specificity of 0.465, and an AUC of 0.715 (95% CI: 0.546 to 0.826; P < 0.05). An IPI cut-off value of 0.223 yielded a sensitivity of 0.424 and specificity of 0.873 for a poor 3-month outcome, with an AUC of 0.701 (95% CI = 0.604 to 0.826, P < 0.05).
Univariate and Multivariate Logistic Analysis of SIRI, SII, IPI, and Poor 3-Month Outcome in AIS Patients
During univariate regression analysis, the admission NIHSS scores, NLR, SIRI, SII, and IPI were significantly associated with poor outcomes at three months (P <0.05). To ascertain whether elevated SIRI, SII, and IPI were independent prognostic markers of poor outcomes within three months, variables with P <0.05 during the binary analysis were included in multivariate analysis.
The presence of comorbidities were considered as potential risk factors for AIS. These factors were included as confounding variables, despite not showing a statistically significant difference between age, smoking, alcohol history and prognosis. However, based on multivariate logistic regression analysis using the optimal threshold determined by ROC analysis, it was found that high SIRI, SII, and IPI values were independently associated with poor prognosis at three months (OR=2.867, 3.721, 2.877; P <0.05) (Table 2).
Table 2 Univariate and Multivariate Logistic Analysis of SIRI, SII, IPI, and Poor 3-Month Outcome in AIS Patients
|
Model 1
|
Model 2
|
Model 3
|
|
OR(95%CI )
|
P-value
|
OR(95%CI)
|
P-value
|
OR(95%CI)
|
P-value
|
SIRI
|
4.788(2.030,11.293)
|
<0.001
|
5.283(2.158,12.930)
|
<0.001
|
2.867(1.062,7.740)
|
0.038
|
SII
|
6.301(2.115,18.766)
|
0.001
|
6.447(2.139,19.436)
|
0.001
|
3.721(1.123,12.335)
|
0.032
|
IPI
|
5.047(2.191,11.629)
|
<0.001
|
5.338(2.281,12.495)
|
<0.001
|
2.877(1.064,7.782)
|
0.037
|
Model 1 was univariate analysis. SIRI, SII, and IPI were associated with different outcomes at three months (P <0.05)
Model 2 was adjusted for gender and age.
Model 3 was adjusted for gender, age, Random Blood Glucose, neutrophil, lymphocyte, admission NIHSS scores, smoking, drinking history, and comorbidities. High SIRI, SII, and IPI (P<0.05) were independent predictors of poor 3-month prognosis, according to multivariate logistic regression analysis (OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval).
Kaplan-Meier survival curve of each indicator
This study also investigated whether each indicator was associated with 90-day recurrence or mortality. As shown in Figure 5, SIRI>1.298×109, SII>392.903×109, and IPI>0.223 were associated with the risk of 90-day recurrence or mortality.