Schizophrenia is a disabling group of brain disorders characterized by symptoms such as hallucinations, delusions, disorganized communication, poor planning, reduced motivation, and blunted affect. While the incidence of the disorder is relatively low (median value 15.2 per 100,000 persons per year), the condition is one of the major contributors to the global burden of disease . The substantial burden of disease is a reflection of two features of schizophrenia: (a) the disorder usually has its onset in early adulthood, and (b) despite optimal treatment, approximately two-thirds of affected individuals have persisting or fluctuating symptoms [5].In Chinese psychiatric hospitals, nearly half of the hospitalized patients are schizophrenic patients. Therefore, understanding the prevalence and regularity of schizophrenia is conducive to the prevention and treatment of schizophrenia.There is a wealth of data available on the prevalence of schizophrenia—a total of 154815 estimates from 28 studies in China were identified in this systematic review. These estimates were drawn from 28 province in China, and were based on an estimated 76273830 potentially overlapping prevalent cases.
This study comprehensively and systematically analyzed the epidemiological data of schizophrenia in China by means of meta-analysis.The results showed that the time point prevalence rate of schizophrenia in China was 3.72 ‰ (95%: 3.30 ‰ - 4.22 ‰). These estimates are congruent with an earlier review of 188 studies by Saha [4], who reported an overall prevalence estimate of 3.3 ‰(1.3‰-8.2‰) by meta-analysis and also congruent with last review narrative review of 42 studies by Global Health Epidemiology Reference Group,who reported an overall prevalence estimate of 3.9 ‰ in 1990 by meta-analysis of China data[9/38].But it is lower than the time point prevalence rate of 5.44 ‰ in report by Long, who reported an overall prevalence estimate of 5.44‰ by meta-analysis of mainland China data[39]
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The result from comprehensive analysis of systematic review is different from epidemiological data.The last result from CMHS was reported by Huang[8],who reported time point prevalence rate of schizophrenia is 6.1‰,which is higher 5.31 ‰ at 1993 in China[ 8].This result not only was higher than the highest rate of 5.04 ‰ in Henan province[23 ],but also higher than that 4.0-5.2‰ of South Korea in Asian[40].And it is similar to prevalence of schizophrenia varied from 0.6% to 1.9% in the United States[41].These difference may be related to race, region, economic and cultural level, as well as the improvement of cognition and diagnostic methods of schizophrenia.But result from systematic review and meta-analysis was comprehensive and systematic.
The results of this study show that there is no difference in the prevalence of schizophrenia between men and women in China, which is similar to two meta-analysis of other result [38,39] and congruent with another studies[2,3,4,5].The epidemiological survey find also no sex differences were observed in prevalence of schizophrenia[42]. The incidence rate of male schizophrenia is higher than that of females, and the median ratio is 1.4:1. McGrath find incidence rate of male schizophrenia is higher than that of females, and the median ratio is 1.4:1 ,but the no difference in prevalence between male and female was found by meta-analysis of 55 studies[5].They explain that part of the reason is that schizophrenia incidence rate in men is higher than that in women, and the mortality rate in men is higher than that in women[43,44].
This study also shows that there is no difference in the prevalence of schizophrenia between rural and urban areas in China, which is congruent with some studies[4,5],but different from other study by Long,who reported 6.6‰ in urban was higher than 4.73‰ in rural[39]. However, with the popularization of the disease and the increase of awareness rate, the stigma of schizophrenia in rural areas decreases, which makes the disease found and treated early. It may also be related to the improvement of treatment level and cultural level.In fact, neither investigation nor systematic analysis has found no difference in urban and rural of prevalence of schizophrenia[4,39].In the previous epidemiological survey,the urban sites had significantly higher prevalence of schizophrenia than rural by Shi[18].And Long also fond that 5.15‰ in urban is higher than 4.44 ‰ in rural[38]. At present,there were too few pure rural sites to make the direct urban versus rural comparison . Contrary to our expectations, the prevalence of schizophrenia did not differ according to urbanicity. While still
result suggests that mixed urban/rural sites have higher prevalence estimates than pure urban and rural sites, this study found, in fact, that there was no significant difference between urban, rural, and mixed sites[5]. Perhaps the inclusion of many sites from the
developing world in this review has confounded the expected urban/rural gradient. This will be examined in more detail in future analyses.
Changes in the years will cause changes in the prevalence of diseases, which is true for most mental disorders. Schizophrenia, as a serious mental illness, does not seem to show such a difference. This study found that the prevalence of schizophrenia was increasing from 2000-2010 to 2011-2020. This is congruent with two epidemiological survey about prevalence of schizophrenia in 1982 and 1993 in China,with slight increasing of 4.75‰ in 1982 and 5.31‰ in 1993,without statistic significance.But in another Chinese systematic review,3.9‰ in 1990 ,5.7‰ in 2000,in 8.3‰ in 2010 of schizophrenic prevalence in urban is increasing according to years[39]. But our result have not difference according to years.There was no significant difference between the two different time periods, indicating that there was no significant change in the prevalence of schizophrenia in recent 20 years.
The global age-standardized point prevalence of schizophrenia in 2016 was estimated to be 0.28% (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 0.24-0.31)[13/42]. This result is an important conclusion of this study. Different from most systematic analysis on the prevalence of schizophrenia [1,2,4,5,6,7,39], this study systematically evaluated the prevalence of schizophrenia in different age groups. And difference in prevalence of schizophrenia was found, it strengthened the concept and theory that there is age-effect in the prevalence of schizophrenia. The highest prevalence of schizophrenia show that 35-44 years is 0.58‰,45-54 years is 0.87‰,55-64‰ years is 0.73‰.Because within studies,age-adjusted estimates were higher than crude estimates by 17%-138%[1], which suggested that age-adjusted estimates of prevalence of schizophrenia may exist obvious variation[42].The main age range of risk for schizophrenia is 20 to 35 years. It is still unclear whether schizophrenia-like late-onset psychoses (for example, late paraphrenia) after age 60 should be classified as schizophrenia either psychopathologically or etiologically. In 75% of cases, first admission is preceded by a prodromal phase with a mean length of 5 years and a psychotic prephase of one year's duration. On average, women fall ill 3 to 4 years later than men and show a second peak of onset around menopause. Consequently, late-onset schizophrenia are more frequent and more severe in women than in men. The sex difference in age of onset is smaller in cases with a high genetic load and greater in cases with a low genetic load[45].
The advantage of the study is that it systematically evaluates the prevalence of schizophrenia in China, provides reference for the prevalence of schizophrenia in China, and also provides basis for relevant departments to jointly allocate health resources and formulate relevant health policies.
In addition to the shortcomings of meta-analysis itself, this study also has several deficiencies: Firstly, the number of subgroup analysis literature on factors such as diagnostic methods, publication years and sampling methods of schizophrenia is too small, so there is a lack of effective trend research, and the impact of other factors such as age of onset on the prevalence rate is not fully considered. Secondly,The study only assessed and analyzed the prevalence at time point, but did not study and analyze the year prevalence and lifetime prevalence, which is due to the failure to report the lifetime prevalence in the relevant literature. Thirdly, Among the results of meta-analysis of prevalence at the time point of this study, I²= 100%, with high heterogeneity, suggesting that the research results need to be carefully considered.Lastly,The thoroughness of literature search may affect the results of analysis. The literature used in our search and analysis is Chinese literature, but it does not include the English literature of published Chinese data, such as the newly published CMHS.