Overall, 147 eligible patients were included in the study. 70 patients were treated with SBRT (SBRT group) and 77 patients were treated with Lenvatinib (LEN group) (Fig. 1). The baseline characteristics of the SBRT group and the LEN group were shown in Table 1. Before PSM, the proportion of patients with adverse baseline characteristics was higher in the LEN group than in the SBRT group, including number of tumors >3, maximum tumor diameter ≥10 cm, and PVTT of Vp3-4. However, more patients in the SBRT group received previous local treatments. After PSM, 38 patients were matched in each of the two groups. In the SBRT group, there are 11(28.9%) patients combined with transcatheter arterial embolization. The patient characteristics were well balanced in the matched cohort. The changes in SMD between the two groups before and after the PSM was shown in supplementary Fig. 1.
The median follow-up time was 22.1 months (range 9.8–46.6 months). During follow-up, the median OS in the SBRT group (14.5 months, 95% CI: 10.1–18.9) was longer than in the LEN group (11.1 months, 95% CI: 9.3–12.9) (HR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.35–0.94, p = 0.014) (Fig. 2A). The OS rates at 1- and 2-years were 65.8% and 31.6% in the SBRT group and 39.5% and 10.5% in the LEN group, respectively. The median PFS in the SBRT group (6.8 months, 95% CI: 5.1–8.5) was longer than in the LEN group (5.0 months, 95% CI: 3.0–7.0) (HR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.36–0.92, p = 0.010) (Fig. 2B). The PFS rates at 6 and 12 months were 57.9% and 28.9% in the SBRT group and 44.7% and 10.5% in the LEN group, respectively.
Tumor response evaluated according to mRECIST criteria are shown in Table 2. CR, PR, SD, and PD were observed in 2 (5.3%), 18 (47.4%), 12 (31.6%), and 6 (15.9%) of cases in the SBRT group, respectively, whereas in the LEN group these parameters were 1 (2.6%), 8 (21.1%), 17 (44.7%), and 12 (31.6%), respectively. The ORR in the SBRT group were higher than those in the LEN group (52.6% vs. 23.7%, P=0.009). Furthermore, patients who showed treatment response in the SBRT group (p < 0.001, Fig. 3A) and LEN group (p < 0.001, Fig. 3B) had significantly higher OS than those who did not respond to treatment.
Table 2 Best tumor response evaluated by mRECIST
mRECIST
|
SBRT group
(n = 38)
|
LEN group
(n = 38)
|
Pa value
|
Complete response, n (%)
Partial response, n (%)
Stable disease, n (%)
Progressive disease, n (%)
ORR, n (%)
DCR, n (%)
|
2 (5.3)
18 (47.4)
12 (31.6)
6 (15.9)
20 (52.6)
32 (81.6)
|
1 (2.6)
8 (21.1)
17 (44.7)
12 (31.6)
9 (23.7)
26 (68.4)
|
1.000
0.016
0.238
0.106
0.009
0.106
|
mRECIST, modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; ORR, objective response rate = complete response rate + partial response rate; DCR, disease control rate = complete response rate + partial response rate + stable disease rate.
a. Bold values indicate statistical significance.
|
Forest plot analysis of OS related factors showed that the benefit of SBRT exceeded that of lenvatinib in the patients of male, age ≥55, HBV infection, Child-Pugh class A, ECOG score 1, number of tumors ≤3, tumor size ≥5 cm and <10 cm, PVTT Vp3-4, ALBI grade 1, and AFP ≤200 (Fig. 4A). PFS was significantly longer in the SBRT group than in the LEN group for patients of male, HBV infection, Child-Pugh class A, number of tumors ≤3, tumor size ≥5 cm and <10 cm, PVTT Vp3-4 and ALBI grade 1 (Fig. 4B).
The incidence of all AEs in both groups is shown in Table 3. No treatment-related deaths were observed in either group. The most frequently observed AEs in the LEN group were hypertension (34.2%), abdominal pain (26.3%) and diarrhea (21.1%), while in the SBRT group were anorexia (25.7%), nausea/vomiting (21.1%) and AST/ALT elevation (21.1%). In the LEN group, 2 patients (5.3%) occurred with grade ≥3 hypertension, 1 patient (2.6%) with grade ≥3 nausea/vomiting, 1 patient (2.6%) with grade ≥3 abdominal pain and 1 patient (2.6%) with grade ≥3 AST/ALT elevation. In the SBRT group, 2 patients (5.3%) occurred with grade ≥3 thrombocytopenia/leukopenia, 1 patient (2.6%) occurred with RILD. No other serious treatment-related toxicity was reported during follow-up.
Table 3 Treatment-Related Adverse Events
Adverse events
|
LEN(n=38)
|
SBRT(n=38)
|
Pa value
|
Hypertension, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Grade ≥3
Diarrhea, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Nausea/vomiting, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Grade ≥3
Proteinuria, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Fatigue, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Anorexia, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Abdominal pain, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Grade ≥3
Rash, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Hand-foot syndrome, n (%)
Grade 1–2
AST/ALT elevation, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Grade ≥3
Thrombocytopenia/Leukopenia, n (%)
Grade 1–2
Grade ≥3
Patients with RILD, n (%)
|
11 (28.9)
2 (5.3)
8 (21.1))
6 (15.8)
1 (2.6)
4 (10.5)
6 (15.8)
5 (13.2)
9 (23.7)
1 (2.6)
2 (5.3)
2 (5.3)
5 (13.2)
1 (2.6)
3 (7.9)
0 (0)
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
0 (0)
2 (5.3)
8 (21.1)
0 (0)
0 (0)
6 (15.8)
9 (23.7)
4 (10.5)
0 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
8 (21.1)
0 (0)
6 (15.8)
2 (5.3)
1 (2.6)
|
0.001
0.493
0.090
0.554
1.000
0.115
1.000
0.375
0.223
1.000
0.493
0.493
0.542
1.000
0.478
0.493
1.000
|
AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; SBRT, Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy; LEN, lenvatinib. RILD, radiation-induced liver disease.
a. Bold values indicate statistical significance.
|
The results of the univariable and multivariable analyses of probable prognostic factors for survival outcomes are shown in Table 4. Univariate analysis showed that treatment modality (p = 0.015), number of tumors (p < 0.001) and degree of PVTT (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with OS, and treatment modality (p = 0.012), number of tumors (p < 0.001) and degree of PVTT (p = 0.001) were also significantly associated with PFS. In multivariate cox regression analysis, treatment modality (HR = 0.38, p < 0.000), number of tumors (HR = 3.00, p < 0.000) and degree of PVTT (HR = 2.39, p < 0.000) were independent predictors of OS, and treatment modality, number of tumors and degree of PVTT were independent predictors of PFS (HR = 0.46, p = 0.002; HR = 2.58, p = 0.001; HR = 1.62, p = 0.002, respectively).
Table 4 Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis on OS and PFS.
Variable
|
OS (N =76, events = 70)
|
PFS (N = 76, events = 76)
|
Univariable model
|
Multivariable model
|
Univariable model
|
Multivariable model
|
HR (95% CI)
|
Pa
|
HR (95% CI)
|
pa
|
HR (95% CI)
|
pa
|
HR (95% CI)
|
pa
|
Group (refer to LEN)
|
0.54(0.32-0.89)
|
0.015
|
0.38(0.22-0.65)
|
0.000
|
0.54(0.33-0.87)
|
0.012
|
0.46(0.28-0.75)
|
0.002
|
Gender (refer to Male)
|
1.04(054-2.00)
|
0.901
|
|
|
1.13(0.60-2.11)
|
0.702
|
|
|
Age (refer to < 55 years)
|
1.12(0.70-1.80)
|
0.635
|
|
|
1.18(0.75-1.87)
|
0.476
|
|
|
Etiology (refer to HBV)
|
2.08(0.64-6.74)
|
0.223
|
|
|
2.99(0.91-9.82)
|
0.071
|
2.55(0.74-8.78)
|
0.138
|
Child-Pugh classification
(refer to A)
|
1.57(0.67-3.66)
|
0.297
|
|
|
1.28(0.55-2.98)
|
0.567
|
|
|
ECOG PS (refer to 0)
|
1.39(0.86-2.25)
|
0.174
|
|
|
1.30(0.82-2.06)
|
0.261
|
|
|
Number Of Tumors
(refer to < 3)
|
3.00(1.77-5.07)
|
0.000
|
3.00(1.72-5.26)
|
0.000
|
2.75(1.64-4.60)
|
0.000
|
2.58(1.51-4.40)
|
0.001
|
Tumor size (refer to < 5cm)
|
1.41(0.98-2.02)
|
0.065
|
1.34(0.91-1.98)
|
0.136
|
1.15(0.83-1.59)
|
0.416
|
|
|
PVTT (refer to Vp1)
|
2.45(1.71-3.50)
|
0.000
|
2.39(1.62-3.53)
|
0.000
|
1.63(1.21-2.20)
|
0.001
|
1.62(1.19-2.20)
|
0.002
|
ALBI grade (refer to 1)
|
1.43(0.87-2.37)
|
0.164
|
|
|
1.34(0.83-2.17)
|
0.236
|
|
|
AFP (refer to ≤ 200 ng/mL)
|
0.75(0.47-1.22)
|
0.244
|
|
|
0.88(0.56-1.39)
|
0.586
|
|
|
PLT (refer to < 100 × 109/L)
|
0.68(0.39-1.20)
|
0.188
|
|
|
0.68(0.40-1.17)
|
0.165
|
|
|
WBC (refer to < 4 × 109/L)
|
0.98(0.56-1.72)
|
0.945
|
|
|
0.97(0.57-1.66)
|
0.924
|
|
|
Previous local treatment
(refer to Absence)
|
0.73(0.39-1.37)
|
0.324
|
|
|
0.62(0.34-1.13)
|
0.115
|
|
|
HBV, hepatic B virus; HCV, hepatic C virus; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; PS, performance status; MVI, macrovascular invasion; ALBI, grade albumin-bilirubin grade; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; PLT, platelet; WBC, white blood cell; LEN, lenvatinib; TAE, transcatheter arterial embolization; SBRT, Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy; LEN, lenvatinib. PFS, progression-free survival; OS, overall survival; IHPFS, intrahepatic progression-free survival.
a. Bold values indicate statistical significance.
|
All patients in both groups showed tumor progression during the follow-up period. The subsequent treatments received by the patients in both groups are shown in Table 5. In the LEN group, 14 patients (36.8) received best supportive care, 13 patients (34.2) received single treatment, and 11 patients (28.9) received multiple treatments. In the SBRT group, 13 patients (34.2) received best supportive care, 16 patients (42.1) received single treatment, and 9 patients (23.7) received multiple treatments. Overall, there was no statistically significant difference in the subsequent treatment between the two groups.
Table 5 Subsequent treatment
Subsequent therapies
|
Groups
|
P value
|
LEN group (n = 38)
|
SBRT group (n = 38)
|
Single treatment, n (%)
TACE, n (%)
RFA, n (%)
SBRT, n (%)
Argon–Helium cryosurgical, n (%)
lenvatinib, n (%)
ICIs, n (%)
Multiple treatments, n (%)
SBRT+TACE, n (%)
SBRT + ICIs, n (%)
TACE+ ICIs, n (%)
lenvatinib + ICIs, n (%)
TACE + Lenvatinib + ICIs, n (%)
SBRT + Lenvatinib + ICIs, n (%)
Best Supportive Care, n (%)
|
13 (34.2)
8 (21.1)
0 (0)
2 (5.3)
2 (5.3)
0 (0)
1 (2.6)
11 (28.9)
2 (5.3)
2 (5.3)
4 (10.5)
1 (2.6)
2 (5.3)
0 (0)
14 (36.8)
|
16 (42.1)
4 (10.5)
2 (5.3)
7 (18.4)
0 (0)
2 (5.3)
1 (2.6)
9 (23.7)
5 (13.2)
1 (2.6)
1 (2.6)
1 (2.6)
0 (0)
1 (2.6)
13 (34.2)
|
0.479
0.345
0.493
0.156
0.493
0.493
1.000
0.602
0.428
1.000
0.358
1.000
0.493
1.000
0.811
|
TACE, Transarterial chemoembolization; RAF, Radio-frequency ablation; ICIS, Immune checkpoint inhibitors; SBRT, Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy; LEN, Lenvatinib.
|