The aim of this study consists of reporting the current entomological parameters relating to the quantification of human-vector contact and to the parasite transmission at Kafolo, after observation of the disease prevalence increase in both sides of the Ivorian-Burkinabe border. A retrospective analysis of onchocerciasis transmission in Kafolo during and after vector control is also done. This longitudinal entomological study will help take up this challenge by determining several entomological indicators that are discussed.
Monthly Bitting Rates (MBR) and Annual Bitting Rates (ABR)
It is observed that the bite rates are now very high compared to those found during vector control, 25,335 bites/person/year and 20,235 bites/person/year respectively at Kafolo Aval and Kafolo Amont in 2019, compared to fluctuations ranging between 9 bites/man in 1983 and 12,220 bites/man/in 1992, thus showing that the black fly populations returned to their natural density in the absence of larviciding pressure. The maximum rates of monthly bites in 2019 were recorded during the rainy season, from July to October with a peak of 3,795 bites/person/month in October at Kafolo–Aval and 4,065 bites/person/month at Kafolo-Amont in September. As a matter of fact, during the rainy seasons, the watercourse level increases. This results in an increase of immersed vegetation with abundant organic nutritive material. This establishes the most conducive conditions to the development of the fly preimaginal stages. That is the justification of the population growth and the increase of bite rates.
These observations corroborate the conclusions of a previous study carried out on the upper course of the Comoé River with density peaks in rainy seasons (April to October) at Bolibana, Badara Karaboro, and Badara Dogossè [10].
At Kafolo-Amont, the MBR (February and April put aside) exceeds the threshold of 1,000/bites/person/year. The same is valid for Kafolo–Aval where the MBR exceeds 1,000 (March, April, May, and November, excepted).
The tolerable threshold for annual bites rate (ABR) is 1,000 bites/person/year, as pre-defined by WHO [22,23]. ABRs at Kafolo–Amont and Kafolo–Aval were 25,335 and 20,235 bites/person/year respectively; that exceeds 20 to 25 times the threshold established by WHO [22,23]. This shows how serious the nuisance and the disease transmission risk are for the population of Kafolo.
It is known that in West Africa, there are large movements of blackflies which take place under the prevailing winds: a movement from the South-West to the North-East under the influence of the monsoon winds and a reverse movement from North-East to South-West thanks to harmattan winds [24-27]. The analysis of the OCP data seems to indicate that Kafolo and probably all this northern part of the Ivorian territory is under the influence of these movements of blackflies. Indeed, the south-western extension of vector control operations in Côte d'Ivoire has significantly impacted the densities and transmission rates in Kafolo. The beginning of the southwestern extension coincides with the fall of the ABR, ATP and AIBR at Kafolo, indicating that a large proportion of Kafolo blackflies come from breeding sites located in the southwestern extension area, figures 3 and 5, thus demonstrating the appropriate and rational decision of this extension which had precisely been put in place to protect the initial area from blackfly invasions [28]. Similarly, the cessation of vector control in 1989 on the rivers of Burkina Faso located north and north-east of Kafolo (Leraba, lower course of the Mouhoun and its tributaries) figure 3, coincided with increase in blackfly densities in Kafolo, also suggesting that a proportion of blackflies present in Kafolo would come from breeding sites located on these waterways figure 5. The scientific approach to highlight these movements of blackflies would be to characterize them by genetic markers that can discriminate local populations from migrant populations. Failing this, the opportunity to deploy then stop larviciding on a large scale makes it possible to put highlight these movements.
Analyzes of past OCP data also show that vector control operations continued in Kafolo for four years after the ATP was zero. In addition, the entomological studies of post controls carried out in the initial area of OCP in Côte d'Ivoire had confirmed the good results obtained when vector control ceased [29].
This study shows that the onchocerciasis area in Kafolo is not isolated but rather under the permanent influence of blackfly movements over relatively long distances. The delineation of transmission zones in West Africa would therefore be complicated by this phenomenon of black fly movements.
Black fly Infectivity rates
Raw infectivity rates, calculated based on these data, amounted to 4.91 IF/1,000 pares and 5.89 IL/1,000 pares for Kafolo–Amont; and to 8.05 IF/ 1,000 pares and 13.42 IL/1,000 pares for Kafolo-Aval.
The number of adjusted IF/1,000 pares at Kafolo-Amont is 3.93 IF/ 1,000 pares; that means about 4 times the tolerable threshold set up by WHO [22,23]. It is the same situation at Kafolo–Aval where an adjusted infectivity rate of 4.03 IF/1,000 pares dissected was reported. The adjusted number of infective larvae (IL)/1,000 pares follows the same trend of increase with 4.91 and 6.71 IL/1,000 pares at Kafolo–Amont and Kafolo–Aval respectively.
The adjusted infectivity rates of 3.93 IF/1,000 pares found at Kafolo-Amont and 4.03 IF/1,000 pares at Kafolo–Aval in 2019 certainly exceed those found at Bolibana (2IF/1,000 pares), but are quite below the rates at Bodadiougou (7 IF/1,000 pares) and at Badara Karaboro (11 IF/1,000 pares) [10].
Thanks to the vector control carried out by OCP, the vector infectivity rates in the entire initial area, including Kafolo, were below 1 infectious female fly/1,000 pares [6]. Additionally, post-control studies helped confirm this trend [29]. Updated transmission rates therefore indicate the resurgence of onchocerciasis transmission at Kafolo. It is therefore necessary to redo the study in the initial OCP area in Côte d’Ivoire to have a better understanding of the challenge.
Monthly and Annual Transmission Potential (MTP and ATP)
At Kafolo–Amont, the raw MTPs were 15, 30, 30 and 15 for May, June, July and October respectively. MTPs of the other months were null. After identification of collected infective larvae, the conclusion was that O. volvulus infective larvae were found only in June, July and October with adjusted MTPs of 30, 30 and 15 IL/person/year for these months respectively Hence, the raw ATP of this site dropped from 90 IL/person/year to an adjusted ATP of 75 IL/person/year. The ATP found at Kafolo-Amont is below the tolerated threshold of 100 IL/person/year, however this threshold significantly exceeds the rate of 20 IL/person/year set as the threshold for the interruption of the parasite transmission [30].
At Kafolo–Aval, raw MTPs were 60, 15, 15, and 60 for January, June, July, and October respectively. After adjustment, the MTPs were 15 and 60 IL/person//month for July and October respectively. Hence, the ATP at Kafolo–Aval dropped from 150 IL/person/year to 75 IL/person/year after adjustment by the means of molecular identification of collected IL. As a consequence, the adjusted ATP at Kafolo-Aval remains quite below the threshold of 100 IL/person/year but it significantly exceeds the threshold of 20 IL/person/year.
The ATP of 75 IL/person/year on both sites of Kafolo in 2019 is below that of Bolibana (30 IL/person/year), but it remains quite below those of Badara Karaboro (255 IL/person/year) and Bodadiougou (771 IL/person/year), evidenced in the Comoé focus in Burkina Faso [10].
Observations made for one-year help conclude that at Kafolo, onchocerciasis transmission generally takes place from May to October in the rainy season. As a matter of fact, it is in this time period that adjusted infection rates and MTPs were most significant, with a peak of 35.40 IL/1,000/pares and 60 Onchocerca volvulus IL /person noted in October at Kafolo–Aval, and 19.42 IL/1,000 pares and 30 Onchocerca volvulus IL /person observed in June and July at Kafolo –Amont.
As a reminder, at Kafolo as well as in the entire initial area, ivermectin had never been distributed during the OCP time period. CDTi really started in this area, following the increase of onchocerciasis prevalence in 2010. The first ivermectin distribution happened in 2012, with one administration per year. According to data provided by the National Programme for Eye Health and Onchocerciasis control (NPEHOC), the average therapeutic coverage at Kafolo for the first five-year-treatment was 69%; which is quite below the recommended 80% threshold for onchocerciasis elimination [30].