4.1 Potential of biofuels for the maritime sectors with regard to climate impact goals
Albeit biofuels are currently increasing their share on the road and aviation energy mix their use on the maritime sector is still limited due to a myriad of technical and policy drawbacks, e.g., engine incompatibility to combust the novel fuels in current vessels. Historically, cargo ships have been fueled by low-quality HFO, which are bottom-of-the-barrel leftover from the refining of petrol [47] entailing low costs. Accordingly, the current fleet has been designed with slow-speed propulsion systems with limited suitability to different fuels [28]. Since emissions regulations had not been put in action before the last decade [29], the maritime industry actors have continued to favor the low-cost low-quality HFO and new vessels and engines capable to carry and burn new alternative fuels are still under research and development [32]. However, the latest GHG emission reduction target set by the IMO [30] along with the 0.5% sulfur limit and the latest inclusion of the maritime industry within the emissions target of European call for immediate action to transition to renewable fuels.
The IEA [32] has estimated that lignocellulosic fuels have the potential to supply all the maritime fuel demand (455–805 Mt oil equivalent potential vs 330 Mt oil equivalent demand) while reducing the industry emissions, otherwise expected to increase by 30% in 2050 [30] Yet, there are also multiples competing demands on lignocellulosic resources, as discussed in e.g. [70]. All the environmental impacts addressed showed a better environmental performance for the SMFs scenarios than the BAU. In summary, the CC, EUM, and WS impacts were better performing for the bio-LNG, while the EUF and PM presented the most pronounced emissions reduction in the HPO scenario.
Approximately 137% and 162% GHG emission reduction can be attained if crop residues are harvested and transformed to HPO and bio-LNG, and used to substitute HFO and LNG, respectively. These tremendous emissions savings are mainly related to the avoided mineralization of crop residues on fields, which would else be released as CO2, and by the replacement of the fossil counterpart fuel as well as the marginal heat, electricity and fertilizer/pesticides currently used. In this study, we considered an optimistic energetic performant future, where all the energy services (heat and electricity) are electrified. If more conventional sources of heat would else be used (and replaced), the emission reduction would be even larger, as more heat is produced than used.
In fact, compared to the fossil alternatives the SMF represent over 90% less CO2 − eq emissions. The HPO combustion represents a 98% reduction of GHG emissions as compared to the HFO. Likely, the combustion of bio-LNG represents 92% less CO2eq emissions than the fossil alternative. Our results are in accordance with previous studies, where it has been reported that approximately 50 to 90% of the life cycle impacts are related to the avoided fossil alternative [71], highlining the ability of bio-LNG to reduce 90% of the fossil LNG GHG emissions [72].
Besides GHG emissions, the maritime industry is responsible for NOx, SOx, and PM emissions [33], which represents a main environmental risk. Therefore, the marine water eutrophication (N) and particulate matter (NOx, SOx, and PM) impacts are of key importance in the maritime transport’s context. Replacing HFO with HPO, reduces the PM impact by 67% and the marine eutrophication by 33%. Likely, transitioning to bio-LNG shows 36% less PM impact and 24% less marine eutrophication.
4.2 Trade-offs with SOC sequestration
Both the HPO and bio-LNG allow recovering a C-rich coproduct, deemed as recalcitrant [66,73], that can be applied on soils as C amendment, namely biochar and digestate, respectively. Nonetheless, the different nature of both products was considered within the modeled LCA, producing contrasting results for each. Biochar, which is composed by 95% recalcitrant carbon (i.e., degradation resistant carbon) is expected to heavily remain in soils, i.e. 75% of its C after 100 years [66]. This represented 82% of the GHG emission reduction for the HPO scenario. However, it does not affect any of the other four impact categories.
On the other hand, digestate has been reported to have a behavior similar to crop residues [74,75] with the difference that the labile fraction responsible of the major share of CO2 emissions in the BAU has been removed and converted to biogas. The recalcitrant carbon fraction of digestate has a short mean residence time (ca. 1.2 years) associated [66]. Moreover, the nitrogen content in the digestate is concentrated during the AD process (as other fractions are lost to the gas phase), while the ratio inorganic : organic N is enhanced as a result of the process, granting fertilizing properties [76]. Results show that digestate is the major contributor in four of the five impacts investigated for the bio-LNG scenario. For instance, the digestate mineralization during storage and on field is responsible of 55% of the positive CO2eq emissions (not through CO2, but CH4 and N2O losses), 58% of the eutrophication of marine water, 75% eutrophication of freshwater, and 73% of particulate matter formation in the bio-LNG scenario. These emissions are directly related to either the high N and P content of digestate.
However, although digestate contribute to the major share of emissions in the bio-LNG scenario, these are offset by the reduced and avoided overall emissions along the whole supply chain. Aligned with the aim of this study, we have compared the trade-off of the C-neutral harvest of the crop residues to produce the SMFs and the full environmental impacts associated.
Scaling the environmental impacts of one wet tonne of crop residues to the national C-neutral harvest potential of each technology in France (Table 1), shows that HPO is the most environmentally performant scenario both in terms of emissions and SOC sequestration. Interestingly, the bio-LNG potential to offset water scarcity and freshwater eutrophication is 5.5-and 1.15-fold that of HPO, even when harvesting only half the same amount of crop residues. Overall, Table 1 does not show any trade-offs between the addressed environmental impacts and SOC stocks maintenance for the investigated SMFs scenarios. The C-neutral harvest of crop residues thus pose major environmental savings if the recalcitrant coproducts are returned to soils, allowing to not simply maintain SOC stocks, but to improve them.
The LCA results reveal, that the precautionary practice of leaving the crop residues on soils results in higher GHG emissions than valorizing the residues for biofuel production. This also applies for all other environmental impacts addressed. Harvesting crop residues to produce biofuels, here HPO and bio-LNG for maritime use, while ensuring the return of the C-rich coproducts to soils is a win-win option because it allows to sequester C in soils, provide the energy service to displace fossil fuels, and consequently reduce the overall GHG emissions along with other environmental impacts of the system.
Despite the bio-LNG scenario is environmentally performant to reduce C-related emissions, digestate is held responsible of major N losses, including N2O, NH3, and nitrate losses to water. This is critically detrimental for the overall scenario performance because N2O represent almost 300 times the global warming potential of CO2. It is also detrimental to other impacts, most importantly the marine eutrophication (Table 1), being one of the two impacts where a net positive impact is observed. Therefore, measures to reduce the soil-denitrification induced by digestate application need to be addressed. As the N2O result from the nitrification and oxidation of ammonium, already existing techniques such as nitrification inhibitors can be used [77]. Other techniques regarding microbial enrichment [78] and farming management activities (e.g., tillage, irrigation) [79] can be implemented in order to offset the N-flux contribution from digestate. Techniques such as digestate acidification at the spreading stage can also limit nitrogen losses (here NH3) and hence reduce the marine eutrophication impact. Moreover, biochar has well recognized N-offset properties [80] and could be applied in tandem with digestate to create synergies from the nutrient-fertilizer effect of digestate and reduced C and N mineralization from biochar.
4.3 Key aspects to consider
Though comparing the renewable fuels vs the fossil ones, HPO shows a better environmental performance than fossil HFO, bio-LNG exhibits less overall emission along the whole supply chain, per wet tonne of crop residue. This is in part explained because the system modeled in this study considers that the cryogenic upgrading allows separating a CO2 stream, which can then be recovered to avoid the production of fossil derived CO2 for the chemical industry. In fact, avoiding this fossil-derived CO2 has a significant impact (~ 0.9 kgCO2e per kg fossil CO2 avoided). However, it remains unclear to which extent a 100% recovery can be considered representative of future biogas plants as the recovery efficiency could be lower. Moreover, the biogas injection to the cryogenic liquefaction process may entail some gas slips [64] that were considered negligible herein (yet, losses were considered at the moment to inject the non-upgraded biogas to the biogas pipelines transporting the gas to the upgrading site).
In fact, fossil LNG has been promoted to reduce GHG emissions in the maritime sector compared to other fossil fuels. However, this characteristic is counterpoised by the risk of slipping CH4 while processing the natural gas, which has a global warming potential 30 times that of CO2. It has been determined that a 3.5% natural gas slip on ship operation, may result in 3 to 9% higher emissions than HFO. Therefore, it is crucial to evaluate the possible fugitive losses during the LNG production process [81]. The fossil LNG used from Ecoinvent 3.9.1, assumes an 8.6% natural gas consumption to run the liquefaction process, a 0.05% gas leakage, and that all the CO2 separated is emitted. These assumptions are fundamentally different than those consider in the bio-LNG scenario, where we have considered an optimized future in terms of energy performance, and the full recovery of the separated CO2. However, as we considered a bio-LNG driven future where the biogas is transported through a dedicated pipeline to the upgrading facilities located next to the harbor port, we penalized the upgrading process by assuming a total 1.70% leakage due to the pipeline injection, and upgrading operation. In order to have transparent comparisons, it is necessary to consider the same leakage assumptions for the fossil and biofuel scenarios, which could be considered in further sensitivity analyses.
The cryogenic upgrading of biomethane is still limited due to technology development issues, high costs, and high energy consumption to comply with the cryogenic process requirements [82]. However, according to the Danish Energy Agency [64], this technology may develop in future years due to the lower energy costs envisioned at commercial scale, high purity of the biomethane, expected leakages below 1%, and possibility to recover coproducts such as CO2 and N.
Regarding the HPO process, pyrolysis oil is not considered a drop-in fuel due to the lack of compliance with fuels standards (e.g., high water content, high O2 content, acidity). However, when upgraded, the stabilized oil, here HPO, is an attractive biofuel for the sea transport able to replace HFO with notorious reduced emissions in multiple impact categories. Nonetheless, fast pyrolysis remains at a pioneer stage and the potential development of this technology at commercial scale is still uncertain [64]. Moreover, one critique that detracts the hydrodeoxygenation performance is the high requirement of H2, which can represent 15% [49,52] of the produced biofuel and is mainly supplied by steam reforming of fossil fuels [55]. Here, we modeled the production of the H2 by means of alkaline electrolysis [41]. One consequential benefit of using electrolysis-derived H2 is the ability to recover O2, which can reach up to 95% of efficiency. However, to remain conservative, we considered no O2 recovery in this study. Recovering and substituting conventional O2 could increase the environmental performance of the HPO scenario and could be analyzed in further sensitivity analyses.