This retrospective study aimed to unravel the relationship between preoperative radiographic measurements of the pancreas and postoperative outcomes in patients who underwent laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy (DP). Our findings demonstrate a significant correlation between pancreatic thickness and amylase levels in the drain fluid, with the pancreatic thickness being a reliable indicator of postoperative pancreatic pseudocysts. However, no significant relationship was found between the cross-sectional area of the pancreas and either drain amylase levels or postoperative pseudocyst formation.
Limited data are available on the preoperative prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP). However, objective information obtained through a preoperative radiological workup regarding the risk of POPF could assist surgeons in making informed decisions regarding tailored perioperative procedures, strategies, and pathways [7].
Previous studies have attempted to predict postoperative POPF using preoperative MRI to evaluate pancreatic fat [8, 9]; however, the link between fat accumulation and POPF is still uncertain [10-12]. The fact that MRI is performed in limited facilities and that evaluating fat preoperatively using MRI is not cost-effective might be responsible for this uncertainty. Regarding pancreaticoduodenectomy, the utilization of MRI in clinical practice is also constrained by its low frequency of use, with MRI assessments conducted in less than 10% of patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) [13]. Therefore, we attempted to use the thickness and cross-sectional area of the pancreas, which could be easily obtained using preoperative CT.
Regarding DP, there have been few studies on the prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistulas using CT. These studies have suggested that the pancreatic thickness-to-main pancreatic duct diameter ratio [14] and the remnant volume of the pancreas [15] can be significant predictors of POPF. Our results align with those of previous studies that have suggested a correlation between pancreatic thickness and the risk of POPF after DP [16, 17] but conflicted with studies that predicted that cross-sectional area is also a significant predictor of POPF after DP [12]. As the pancreatic thickness and volume decrease, driven by the occurrence of parenchymal atrophy-associated pancreatic fibrosis, there is also a potential decrease in pancreatic enzyme production, as well as in the likelihood of developing a postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and subsequent pseudocysts. We assume that, among patients with the same cross-sectional area of the pancreatic transection, a thick, round-shaped pancreas has a higher risk of POPF and subsequent pseudocyst formation than a thin, flat-shaped pancreas. In other words, we hypothesize that a flat-shaped pancreas is more likely to have parenchymal atrophy than a round-shaped pancreas, making the cross-sectional area an insignificant predictor of POPF and subsequent pseudocyst.
The observed correlation between pancreatic thickness and amylase levels in the drain fluid suggests that a thicker pancreas may be associated with a higher risk of POPF and pseudocysts. This finding has potential clinical implications as it may aid surgeons in identifying patients who are at an increased risk of developing this complication. By identifying high-risk individuals preoperatively, appropriate preventive measures can be implemented to minimize the incidence and severity of POPF. Further research is warranted to validate these findings and develop risk stratification models that incorporate radiographic evaluations and other clinical parameters.
This study has a few limitations of its own. First, the retrospective design may have introduced a selection bias and potential confounding factors. Second, the sample size was relatively small, which may limit the generalizability of our findings. Additionally, the analysis focused on a single institution, which may have limited the external validity of the results. Finally, this study did not explore other potential risk factors for POPF, such as patient comorbidities or operative techniques, which may have influenced the outcomes.