This meta-analysis with IPD is the first report to compare SP and XP regimens in a large sample. With PRISMA-IPD methods, we were able to evaluate efficacy in detail, especially with subgroup analyses. We showed that SP is associated with superior TTF compared to XP as well as non-significantly better OS and PFS. SP and XP achieved comparable ORR with acceptable toxicity levels. The overall DCR for SP was significantly higher than for XP.
Various factors could account for the discrepancy between OS and TTF results. In Japan, more than 70% of patients with AGC receive second-line chemotherapy. Demonstrating the superiority of a first-line regimen in terms of OS is difficult because OS is strongly affected by subsequent treatment. Takashima et al. reported strong correlations between the proportion of patients receiving with second-line chemotherapy and post-progression survival and OS, respectively [23]. Although the SP group was able to undergo primary treatment longer due to maintenance treatment with S-1 as a single agent after SP therapy, the XP group might have had more effective treatment after the shift to second-line treatment. Our subgroup analysis of OS revealed a significant interaction between treatment effect and PS > 1 (P = 0.036), primary U lesion (P = 0.040), measurable lesion (P = 0.049), and DIFF type (P = 0.019) (Fig. 3).
It is unknown why SP resulted in superior OS in patients with poor performance status. The major difference between SP and XP regimens other than S-1 and capecitabine is the initial dose and cisplatin schedule (SP, 60 mg/m2, every 5 weeks [12 mg/m2/week] vs. XP, 80 mg/m2, every 3 weeks [26.7 mg/m2/week]). In the SOS study, cisplatin 60 mg/m2 every 3 weeks in combination with S-1 (SP3) was compared to standard every 5 weeks S-1 plus cisplatin (60 mg/m2) [22]. In this trial, SP3 was slightly superior to standard SP in terms of PFS, but not in OS. However, there were significantly more ≥ grade 3 AEs in the SP3 arm than in the standard SP arm (73% vs. 51%). In our study, although AEs with SP and XP were comparable, better tolerability of cisplatin 60 mg/m2 every 5 weeks might have led to more treatment cycles and longer TTF than cisplatin 60 mg/m2 every 3 weeks. In addition, SP is more convenient because it can be administered less frequently in hospitals and partially on an outpatient basis given the lower dose of cisplatin. Thus, one possible reason for the favorable prognosis of patients with SP was the better tolerability against cisplatin.
Regarding primary U tumors, gastric cancer arising from the upper portion of the stomach, including the gastroesophageal junction and cardia, is associated with chromosomal instability [24], suggesting that precise biomarker analysis might facilitate the selection of patients most likely to benefit from SP. Further study of the clinical and molecular characteristics of AGC is needed to guide decisions on using SP or XP therapy.
We also showed that OS was significantly better with SP than with XP in patients with pathological DIFF tumors. There are few reports suggesting the use of S-1 or capecitabine based on histological type. Initially, in the subset analysis of the FLAGS trial, S-1 appeared to be superior to 5-FU in the diffuse gastric cancer subgroup [25], but the DIGEST trial following the FLAGS trial failed to demonstrate that S-1 was superior to 5-FU for diffuse-type gastric cancer [26]. A previous study showed that compared to diffuse-type tumors, intestinal-type tumors tend to have lower expression levels of excision repair cross-complementation group 1 (ERCC1), a nucleotide excision repair pathway gene that provides protection against platinum-based chemotherapy-induced DNA damage [27]. The better OS of SP compared with XP for differentiated-type tumors might be due to the fact that relatively low doses of platinum (SP: 12 mg/m2/week vs. XP: 26.7 mg/m2/week) are enough for tumors with low ERCC1 expression and SP is better tolerated than XP. Further molecular biology studies are needed to determine whether tumor differentiation can be used to select S-1 or capecitabine for AGC. SP yielded superior OS than XP in patients with measurable lesions. An analysis in populations with measurable disease is underway; the depth of tumor shrinkage associated with SP versus XP might contribute to the difference in survival [21].
This study has several limitations. This study only included Japanese patients and ethnic differences between Asian and Western patients could have affected the overall results; the results should be interpreted with caution. Second, the planned doses of concomitant cisplatin were different, so it is not possible to determine whether S-1 or capecitabine should be used. Lastly, as the platinum agent used in this study was cisplatin, it is unclear what the results would be with other platinum products. Recently, SOX or CAPOX has become more commonly used than SP or XP [28, 29]. Furthermore, the standard of care for HER2-negative AGC is an anti–programmed death receptor-1 antibody with oxaliplatin and fluoropyrimidine [29–31]. Whether SOX or CAPOX should be used as the base combination chemotherapy is debated.
In conclusion, the efficacies of XP were similar to those of SP. SP might be suitable in the differentiated subtype of AGC, although histological subtyping is not adequately sensitive for selecting S-1 or capecitabine. Further research that classifies AGC based on other biomarkers is necessary to enable individualized treatment.