In this population-based study, among breast cancer patients treated with multimodal approaches in the adjuvant setting, a higher risk for hypothyroidism was found only to those patients treated with radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes irrespective of the use of chemotherapy or not whereas no impact of systemic oncological treatment on hypothyroidism was observed. The considerably higher cumulative incidence of hypothyroidism in this patient group (8.7% in 10 years) supports the consideration of thyroid gland as organ-at-risk during treatment planning and the potential need for thyroid function screening as a part of follow-up strategy.
The higher risk for hypothyroidism in breast cancer patients treated with radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes is in accordance with previous studies [6, 7, 19]. The pathophysiological mechanism of this association, through direct thyroid cell injury or indirect due to damage in small thyroid vessels, has been described [20] and is further supported by dosimetric data showing higher mean radiation dose to the thyroid gland in patients treated with radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes compared to patients with radiotherapy only to breast / chest wall [19] and a dose-dependent association between dose to the thyroid gland and decreased thyroid volume [11]. The present study strengthens the current evidence by overcoming some of the main limitations of previous studies [21]. First, previous studies included a relatively small sample size [7, 22, 23], thus reducing their validity to provide reliable results on potential associations. Second, several studies lacked information on important risk factors for hypothyroidism, thus increasing the risk for confounding bias [7, 24]. Although we were not able to adjust for lifestyle factors as potential confounders, we could consider confounders related to co-morbidities and other medications. Third, previous studies were prone to an upward biased estimation of incidence of hypothyroidism since they often did not account for competing events [25]. By applying suitable statistical approaches for competing events as emigration and death, our estimates might better reflect the expected incidence of hypothyroidism in this clinical situation.
An additional strength of the present study is the inclusion of systemic oncological treatment approaches in the analyses enabling the interrogation of the interplay and potential synergistic effect of systemic therapy and radiation therapy on thyroid dysfunction. Neither endocrine therapy nor chemotherapy were found to be associated with increased risk for hypothyroidism whereas radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes remained a risk factor when accounting for systemic treatment approaches.
In terms of endocrine therapy, a recent systematic review suggested a mild and transient thyroid dysfunction in patients treated with tamoxifen [8]. However, this transient thyroid dysfunction seems not to be translated into a clinical hypothyroidism that would need thyroid hormone replacement therapy according to our study results. In fact, our definition of hypothyroidism was solely based on the prescription of thyroid hormones after breast cancer diagnosis, thus reflecting only the occurrence of hypothyroidism that would be captured and treated.
Considering the potential impact of chemotherapy on the development of hypothyroidism, some preclinical evidence supports a potential association, mainly through altering the levels of thyroid hormone-binding proteins [26] or serving as radiosensitizer in the thyroid gland [27] does exist. However, the clinical evidence on this potential association is rather limited and uncertain with few studies suggesting some transient changes in thyroid hormone levels with questionable clinical relevance [28]. Our study results did not support either the potential direct impact of chemotherapy on hypothyroidism (no increased risk for hypothyroidism in chemotherapy-treated patients) or the hypothesis that chemotherapy might serve as radiosensitizer in the thyroid gland (similar magnitude of risk between patients treated with radiotherapy in regional lymph nodes with and without chemotherapy).
In our study cohort, the cumulative incidence of hypothyroidism at 10 years was found to be 8.7% in the cohort treated with radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes. It should be noted that this estimate is difficult to be compared with previous studies because of the various definitions used across the studies and the fact that we applied suitable statistical approaches to deal with competing events for calculation of cumulative incidence. Our estimate reflects the incidence of the occurrence of a clinical hypothyroidism required thyroid hormone replacement therapy but it does not consider overt hypothyroidism or hypothyroidism not requiring therapy. As a result, misclassification bias cannot be mitigated through our study design or method and should be considered as a potential limitation. However, one could argue that capturing hypothyroidism requiring therapy is a clinically relevant outcome with stronger clinical impact compared to subclinical hypothyroidism.
Apart from the above-mentioned limitations of misclassification bias and lack of information about lifestyle-related confounders, some additional limitations should be discussed. First, we lack volumetric and dosimetric data regarding radiotherapy. As a result, our results rely on the intended irradiated volume (breast/chest wall +/- regional lymph nodes) and the translation of the national guidelines on target volume delineation during the study period. According to the guidelines, target volume for regional lymph nodes included level IV (supraclavicular area) using the caudal to the cricoid cartilage as cranial border. As radiation techniques are evolving and target volume delineation strategies are refined, 2015 ESTRO-guidelines recommended the subclavian artery arch for the cranial edge of level IV [29], thus reducing the mean dose to thyroid gland compared to the previous recommendation [19]. Our study results can, therefore, be applied to patients treated with radiotherapy to regional lymph nodes including level IV up to the cricoid cartilage whereas the potential impact of the 2015 ESTRO-recommendation on the risk of hypothyroidism should be further studied. An additional limitation is the fact that the treatment-related information captured in the BCBaSe refers to the planned treatment. Although some discrepancy between planned and given treatment can be anticipated, this proportion is expected to be low. Furthermore, we lack information on adherence to endocrine therapy among patients treated with this treatment strategy. However, two recent Swedish studies investigating the adherence to adjuvant endocrine therapy showed that more than 80% of the patients followed the prescribed medication 5-years after initiation [30, 31], thus supporting the notion that most of the patients included in our study cohort might also have followed the prescribed treatment. Finally, our study cohort lacks reliable information on trastuzumab use so this treatment strategy was not included into the analyses. Considering some case reports suggesting a potential association between trastuzumab and thyroid dysfunction [32], further studies including patients treated with anti-HER2 treatment strategies are required.
In conclusion, our study results confirm the increased risk of hypothyroidism in breast cancer patients treated with radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes as target volume. We found no association between systemic oncological treatment as endocrine therapy or chemotherapy and risk of hypothyroidism. Given the considerably high cumulative incidence of clinical hypothyroidism requiring thyroid hormone replacement therapy in the cohort of irradiated patients, it is motivated to incorporate thyroid gland as organ-at-risk during the treatment planning in order to gain detailed information on the radiation dose to the thyroid and evaluate dose-response associations. The high cumulative incidence also suggests a potential role of implementing regular monitoring of thyroid function as a part of the follow-up strategy in patients treated with radiotherapy including regional lymph nodes.