The WiSE study was a cross-sectional study conducted among Singapore residents who are aged 60 years and above. A random representative sample was selected from a national registry that contains the names and socio-demographic details such as the age, gender, ethnicity, and addresses of all residents in Singapore. Respondents were approached at their residential address provided by the registry, and interviews were conducted using an online Computer Assisted Personal Interviewing (CAPI) application. The survey data was weighted to the 2011 resident population. For confidentiality, all personal identifiers were removed before analysis. Written informed consent was obtained from respondents. When respondents were unable to answer the questions or unsure of their answers, information may be collected from their nominated informant as proxy. Methodologies were described in detail elsewhere2. The study was approved by the National University of Singapore Institutional Review Board (IRB), National Healthcare Group Domain Specific Review Board and Singhealth Centralised IRB.
Assessment of depression
The Geriatric Mental State (GMS) examination was used in the assessment of depression and comprised a semi-structured interview with a rating section that assess psychopathology and cognition.The Automated Geriatric Examination for Computer Assisted Taxonomy (AGECAT) was used to diagnose depression. The validity of AGECAT has been established with an agreement of 0.88 (Kappa score) with the psychiatrist’s diagnoses of depression. Details were explained in previous studies2,17.
Data collection
Socio-demographics data such as age, gender, ethnicity, marital status and education were collected. Data on common medical conditions including history of heart trouble (myocardial infarction, cardiac failure, and valvular heart disease), stroke and diabetes were also collected. Heart trouble, stroke, and diabetes were defined as a dichotomous variable for answering ‘yes’ to the question of whether a doctor had ever told them that they had any of the conditions.
Healthcare utilisation data were obtained from respondents and their informants using an adapted version of the Client Service Receipt Inventory (CSRI)2,17. The CSRI was shown to be a well-validated scale that has been widely adopted in 10/66 population-based studies among the older adult population18. Respondents were asked if they used specific services during the three months before the interview. Details on the number of visits, average time spent on visits, time spent on travelling and out-of-pocket expenses were collected. These services include care from polyclinic doctors, private general practitioners (GP), restructured hospital doctors/healthcare workers, and inpatient care.
Cost calculation
Healthcare cost was calculated by multiplying each service unit (i.e., consultations per minute, number of visits) by the unit cost price. The 3-month healthcare expenditure for each service was multiplied by four to obtain annualised cost. Due to sparse local data, extrapolation of United Kingdom (UK) unit cost was used to estimate the unit cost of selected health services in Singapore (primary care doctor, restructured hospital doctor, and healthcare workers). Ratios were generated using data from the World Health Organisation Choosing Interventions that are Cost-Effective (WHO-CHOICE) database17,19. The ratios were then applied to with the UK’s unit cost of each selected services to generate Singapore unit costs. Reliable sources such as the Unit Cost of Health and Social Care 201317,20 and NHS Reference Costs17,21 were used. Unit cost per bed day was calculated for inpatient care. These calculations were based on the assumption that the unit costs for health services were fixed and had remained unchanged between both countries. Figures were converted to local currency. Average out-of-pocket expenses were used if UK unit cost data were not available. This method was adopted by previous population-based cost evaluation studies using the WiSE study17,18. Appendix Table 1 presents the unit costs for health services in Singapore. Cost will be reported in Singapore Dollars in this paper.
Table 1
Distribution of socio-demographic characteristics by chronic disease and depression, n = 2510
Characteristic | No depression and no chronic diseases (n = 1,364) | No depression and has chronic diseases (n = 975) | Depression and no chronic diseases (n = 74) | Depression and chronic diseases (n = 97) | |
| n | Weighted % | n | Weighted % | n | Weighted % | n | Weighted % | P |
Age group | | | | | | | | | |
60–74 | 846 | 78.9 | 530 | 70.0 | 42 | 60.3 | 53 | 62.1 | < 0.0001 |
75–84 | 309 | 16.1 | 295 | 24.0 | 23 | 34.2 | 28 | 31.3 | |
85+ | 209 | 4.98 | 150 | 6.08 | 9 | 5.49 | 16 | 6.62 | |
Gender | | | | | | | | | |
Male | 573 | 41.1 | 468 | 50.4 | 18 | 29.0 | 31 | 37.4 | 0.0027 |
Female | 791 | 58.9 | 507 | 49.6 | 56 | 71.0 | 66 | 62.6 | |
Ethnicity | | | | | | | | | |
Chinese | 623 | 86.4 | 332 | 79.5 | 17 | 67.8 | 14 | 55.2 | < 0.0001 |
Malay | 406 | 8.38 | 273 | 10.3 | 28 | 20.1 | 29 | 18.8 | |
Indian | 318 | 4.05 | 353 | 8.28 | 29 | 12.1 | 52 | 21.5 | |
Others | 17 | 1.15 | 17 | 1.99 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.54 | |
Marital status | | | | | | | | | |
Single | 87 | 9.12 | 35 | 5.87 | 3 | 2.32 | 4 | 6.34 | 0.309 |
Married | 808 | 64.1 | 573 | 64.5 | 34 | 65.0 | 47 | 64.2 | |
Divorced/Separated/Widowed | 469 | 26.8 | 367 | 29.6 | 37 | 32.7 | 46 | 29.4 | |
Education | | | | | | | | | |
None | 255 | 15.0 | 193 | 18.2 | 24 | 21.5 | 27 | 32.7 | 0.0968 |
Up to primary | 662 | 47.5 | 502 | 51.1 | 33 | 50.8 | 44 | 40.4 | |
Completed Secondary | 296 | 24.6 | 187 | 19.5 | 9 | 13.0 | 18 | 15.6 | |
Completed tertiary | 151 | 13.0 | 93 | 11.2 | 8 | 14.6 | 8 | 11.2 | |
Employment | | | | | | | | | |
Paid Work | 451 | 39.3 | 208 | 25.9 | 13 | 19.0 | 14 | 23.5 | < 0.0001 |
Unemployed | 18 | 1.75 | 10.0 | 1.20 | 2 | 1.53 | 2 | 1.07 | |
Homemaker | 418 | 25.7 | 318 | 26.7 | 31 | 40.1 | 39 | 33.4 | |
Retired | 477 | 33.3 | 439 | 46.2 | 28 | 39.4 | 42 | 42.1 | |
Weighted row percentages included. |
Productivity loss was calculated using the human capital approach22 by multiplying the total number of visits (absent from work) and time spent on visits by the hourly income. The median national gross income 23 and average national working hours24 for 2013 published by the Ministry of Manpower (MOM) were used to estimate productivity loss. The median income in 2013 was $3700 (including Employer CPF contributions)23, and the average national working hours for a week was 45.3 hours24. We acknowledge that majority of the older population may not be in the workforce, labour participation rate was taken into account in the calculation of productivity loss among older adults. The labour participation rate was reported to be 67.1% for those aged between 55–64 and 23.8% for 65 years and above as published by MOM Research and Statistics Department’s “Singapore Workforce 2013” report25. Primary care expenditure was derived from polyclinic doctors and GP services. Specialists’ Outpatient Clinics (SOC) expenditure was derived from visits to specialists in the restructured hospital. Total health care expenditure was derived from the sum of primary health care, SOC and inpatient costs.
Statistical analysis
All estimates were analysed using survey weights to adjust for oversampling, non-response and post-stratification according to age and ethnicity of the Singapore older adult population to ensure a better representation of the population. The dependent variables were healthcare expenditures (total healthcare, primary care, SOC & inpatient) and productivity loss. The primary independent variable of interest was depression with chronic disease. Categorical variables were expressed in frequencies and percentages, by depression status. Continuous variables were expressed in mean ± SD. Pearson’s Chi-Square test was used to compare categorical variables. Age was categorised into three groups: 60–74, 74–85 and 85 years and above with 60–74 years old being the reference group. Ethnicity was categorised into four groups: Chinese (reference group), Malay, Indian and Others. Marital status was categorised into three groups: married (reference group), single and divorced/separated/widowed. Education level was categorised into four groups: no education (reference group), up to primary level, completed secondary level and completed tertiary level. Income was categorised into four groups: paid work, unemployed, homemaker and retired. Gender and medical condition were dichotomised. Participants who reported yes to any of the following conditions – heart trouble, stroke and diabetes were considered to have chronic disease in the analysis. Incomplete data on demographics and medical conditions were not included in the analysis.
We used two-part models to estimate annual health care expenditures and productivity loss associated with depression and chronic medical conditions, controlling for individual characteristics as well as accounting for sampling design. The two-part models are widely used in health economics and health services research when the outcome of interest has a large number of zero outcomes and a group of nonzero outcomes that are discrete or highly skewed26,27. Before deciding on the two-part models, histograms were plotted to show the sample distribution of cost data. The histogram was presented in Appendix Fig. 1.
Given that the distribution of costs in the dataset was skewed with many zeros, and both assumptions of normality and homoscedasticity of residuals were violated, we applied a probit model for the first part of the model to predict the probability of incurring any healthcare expenditures. For the second part, we modelled the positive cost using a generalised linear model (GLM) with the log link and gamma distribution. Individual components of the total healthcare expenditures were modelled to look at the cost of depression in the older adult population with chronic disease in different sectors of the healthcare system in Singapore: primary care, specialist outpatient clinics, inpatient. Socio-demographic factors were adjusted in the multivariable regression.
Statistical analysis was performed with STATA ver16 (STATA Corp, College Station, Tx, USA). The ‘twopm’ command was used to execute the two-part models in Stata 28. Two-sided p-values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant.