A reasonable analysis of flood season staging is significant to the utilization of flood and the alleviation of water shortage. For a case study of the Chengbi River reservoir in China. Based on fractal theory, the flood season is divided into several sub-seasons by using four indexes (multi-year average daily rainfall, multi-year maximum rainfall, multi-year average daily runoff, and multi-year maximum daily runoff) in this study. The Cubic spline interpolation function is then used to determine the flood limit water levels of each sub-season. And the Benefit-Risk theory is applied to evaluate the effects of staged dispatching. The results show that the flood season of Chengbi River basin should be divided into the pre-flood season (13 April-6 June), the main flood season (7 June-9 September) and the post-flood season (10 September-31 October). Adjustment of flood limit water level for sub-season and benefit evaluation. When the risk rate after reservoir flood season operation increases by 0.13×10 -5 , the average annual expected risk is 0.2264 million RMB, and the average annual benefit increases by 0.88-1.62 million RMB. The benefits obtained far outweigh the risks, indicating the importance of staging the flood season.

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Posted 30 Mar, 2021
Posted 30 Mar, 2021
A reasonable analysis of flood season staging is significant to the utilization of flood and the alleviation of water shortage. For a case study of the Chengbi River reservoir in China. Based on fractal theory, the flood season is divided into several sub-seasons by using four indexes (multi-year average daily rainfall, multi-year maximum rainfall, multi-year average daily runoff, and multi-year maximum daily runoff) in this study. The Cubic spline interpolation function is then used to determine the flood limit water levels of each sub-season. And the Benefit-Risk theory is applied to evaluate the effects of staged dispatching. The results show that the flood season of Chengbi River basin should be divided into the pre-flood season (13 April-6 June), the main flood season (7 June-9 September) and the post-flood season (10 September-31 October). Adjustment of flood limit water level for sub-season and benefit evaluation. When the risk rate after reservoir flood season operation increases by 0.13×10 -5 , the average annual expected risk is 0.2264 million RMB, and the average annual benefit increases by 0.88-1.62 million RMB. The benefits obtained far outweigh the risks, indicating the importance of staging the flood season.

Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 3

Figure 4
The full text of this article is available to read as a PDF.
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