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Research Article
An Investigation of the Effects of Lifting Quarantine Conditions after the Peak of COVID-19 Pandemic Using the Cellular Automata Approach
Mehrdad Ghaemi
Chemistry Department, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran
Corresponding Author
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
A cellular automata model for simulating the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 disease in a small city is given. In the model, people are allowed to leave and return to their homes, and the time of the peak in different quarantine conditions is estimated. It is shown that the removal of quarantine conditions, even one month after reaching the peak, increases the number of total infected and total dead cases significantly.
Keywords
COVID-19, cellular automata model, epidemic dynamics
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Anita Abedi
commented on 03 June, 2020
I found the results of this article very informative. I hope the governmental decisions against the covid 19 virus are upon these kinds of scientific investigations. With many thanks of the author
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Statistical Epidemiology
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This is a preprint. It has not completed peer review.
Research Article
An Investigation of the Effects of Lifting Quarantine Conditions after the Peak of COVID-19 Pandemic Using the Cellular Automata Approach
Mehrdad Ghaemi
Chemistry Department, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran
Corresponding Author
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
History
CURRENT STATUS: Posted
Version 1
Posted 27 May, 2020
Community comments: 1
Metrics
Comments: 1
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
Subject Areas
Statistical Epidemiology
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
A cellular automata model for simulating the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 disease in a small city is given. In the model, people are allowed to leave and return to their homes, and the time of the peak in different quarantine conditions is estimated. It is shown that the removal of quarantine conditions, even one month after reaching the peak, increases the number of total infected and total dead cases significantly.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Anita Abedi
commented on 03 June, 2020
I found the results of this article very informative. I hope the governmental decisions against the covid 19 virus are upon these kinds of scientific investigations. With many thanks of the author