This timely study was conducted during the end phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in China from January 11 to 29, 2023. At the end of 2022, the government announced that COVID-19 infectious disease status was changed from Category A to Category B, effective on January 8, 2023 [46]. Since then, all measures were lifted in mainland China. Before lifting all the measures, China’s infection rate was less than 1% [47], indicating very low exposure of the public to COVID-19 infection. With the very rapid ease in prevention and control policies, majority of the Chinese population was suddenly exposed to and also unprepared for the risk of infection [48]. At the same time, China also faced a shortage of medical resources including medication, hospital beds, medical staff, etc. In such situations, increasing demand for drugs and other medical supplies as well as reduction in healthcare workers due to infection made obtaining treatment extremely difficult [49], which subsequently contributed to the rise of mental distress.
Our study found high prevalence of moderate to severe depression (PHQ-9 ≥ 10 = 23.7%) and prevalence of moderate to severe anxiety (GAD-7 ≥ 10 = 9.5%) in Chinese adult general population. This was much higher than that of a survey conducted from 2014–2016 which represent pre-pandemic periods (depression: 23.7% versus 2.9%; anxiety: 9.5% versus 1.5%) [50]. But this finding was consistent with previous research conducted during the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in Wuhan, with 20.3% depression rate using the same instruments and cut-off value [38]. Our prevalence rate was also close to, only slightly higher, what is reported in a recent study conducted in a similar period (December 21–28, 2022) with prevalence of moderate to severe depression and anxiety being 19.7% and 7.3%, respectively. However, the prevalence of moderate to severe anxiety in our study was much lower than the reported anxiety rate of 18.9% in Wuhan [38]. Variations may be explained by numerous factors such as the different features of the different phases of the pandemic and participants characteristics. Additionally, risk factors for mental health problems may vary at different stages of COVID-19 pandemic [51, 52]. It seems that the end phase of COVID-19 still caused high levels of mental distress.
In line with published literature, those aged over 40 or are unmarried, divorced or separated, or with chronic disease, pregnancy, serious illness were more likely to have depression and anxiety [51, 52]. Interestingly, sex and religious belief status were not significant factors. Consistent with finding of a meta-analysis [6], no significant sex differences was found in the prevalence of depression and anxiety. Possible reason was that during such special period, males and females were equally mentally-distressed. Religious belief was found as a protective factor against mental health problems in COVID-19 pandemic in previous study [53, 54], but not in the current study. Some of the background factors seemed non-significant in affecting depression and anxiety in the Chinese general population.
The present study revealed significantly positive associations among COVID-19 perceived risk, fear of COVID-19, depression and anxiety. This suggests that public’s risk perception towards COVID-19 and the fear of COVID-19 deserve more attention on account of their roles in mitigating depression and anxiety. Similar positive associations were found among Saudi nursing students during the COVID-19 pandemic [17]. The results showed that COVID-19 perceived risk had positive direct effect on depression and anxiety, which was consistent with previous findings on epidemic risk perception and mental health [13, 16]. The emergence of epidemic creates lots of uncertainty, poses threats to individuals and sharply increases individuals’ perceived risks, which resulted in anxiety and depression [55]. People also experience loss of control and powerlessness during great pandemic and felt that they could only wait passively through the development of the epidemic, which brought to them higher levels of depression and anxiety [13].
One of the key findings was that fear of COVID-19 partially mediated the associations between COVID-19 perceived risk and depression/anxiety. It supported the hypotheses that fear of COVID-19 was both associated with COVID-19 perceived risk and depression/anxiety. Beck’s cognitive theory proposed that cognitive content (including individuals’ belief systems, expectations, assumptions, and evaluations) is activated by events and driven by subjective meaning that interacts with their affective systems [56]. Therefore, exaggerated interpretations of threats, including fear of COVID-19 [57], may lead to inappropriate or excessive anxiety and depression [58]. Yıldırım et al.’s finding supported the mediation role of coronavirus fear between coronavirus risk and parental coronavirus anxiety was among healthcare workers. Notably, in the current study, the mediation effect size was 35.17% for depression and 14.10% for anxiety. It suggests that the decrease in COVID-19 fear could reduce depression and anxiety. As individual’s COVID-19 perceived risk and fear of COVID-19 could change over time, future longitudinal studies would provide valuable insights to the dynamics among perceived risk and fear and mental distress and also discover other potential mediators.
Another key finding was that resilience weakened the impact of fear of COVID-19 on depression/anxiety. Consistent with previous findings, high resilience was a protective factor against depression and anxiety [60]. Individuals with higher resilience may be more positive and more likely to use active coping strategies which help reduce the impact of fear on how much depression/anxiety they develop [61]. More resilient people may also possess more effective emotion regulation skills to weaken the effect of fear on depression and anxiety, despite the existence of subjective fear of COVID-19 [62]. Zhou et al. showed that resilience moderated the association between fear and depression among middle school students after earthquake [61]. Besides resilience, which has been widely studied as a positive psychological resource, research could also examine other potential moderators such as self-compassion, which is a caring, nonjudgmental lens in the face of personal suffering [63] and is another resistance factor for mental health problems [64].
In sum, the present study supported the hypotheses and had great implications. Firstly, it facilitated a better understanding of how COVID-19 perceived risk resulted in depression and anxiety. It thus provides theoretical guidance for future epidemic intervention [13]. Secondly, an important reminder is that fear of COVID-19 has emotional components. According to CSM, emotional components would affect mental health [26, 27]. To reduce depression and anxiety among the public, interventions are needed for such components. Fear of COVID-19 was an important mediation mechanism by which the perceived risk of unexpected epidemic affected individuals’ mental health. Coping with the fear of COVID-19 was an important means to reduce mental distress during such crisis. It is well known that fear stems from uncertainties and the unknown. Thus, intervention and measures need to focus on helping individuals gain more knowledge about COVID-19 and increase availability of drug and treatment. Thirdly, the mediation and moderation relationship found in the current study allow us to explore various ways to attenuate mental distress in pandemics, rather than taking a single approach. For example, as resilience is a resistance factor to mental health problems, especially in pandemics, efforts could be directed to increase public’s resilience, through actions via well-suited online resilience-based interventions or adding psychological counseling and mental health services [65, 66].
Despite its strengths, this study has some limitations. Firstly, social desirability bias could exist. For instance, fear of COVID-19, depression and anxiety may be underreported due to potential stigma and discrimination [67]. Secondly, given the feature of cross-sectional design, no causal inferences can be made. Future longitudinal studies are needed to verify the such associations as COVID-19 perceived risk and fear of COVID-19 would change over time. Thirdly, the distribution of participants characteristics was not representative of the Chinese population as convenience sampling was used. For instance, the majority of our participants was female (79.3%). Cautions are warranted to generalize the results to the entire Chinese population and to other countries. However, through adjusting the models with demographic variables they current study aimed to maximize its generalizability.