Recovery expectations are a well-known predictor of pain and disability following musculoskeletal pain conditions. Initial work in this area prompted the development of several rigorous and comprehensive questionnaires. However, as research and practice have continued to evolve, the use of measures of recovery expectations has fallen behind. At present, most researchers and clinicians use single-item measures rather than multi-item measures of recovery expectations. In a recent meta-analysis, Carrière et al. identified a single measure of recovery expectations that can effectively predict return to work, for example, “How likely is it that you will return to work?”[6]. The objective of the present study was to assess the reliability and validity of this single-item measure of recovery expectations and assess the question’s predictive value in relation to future return to work.
The findings of this study provide further support for the use and single-item measures of recovery expectations as a predictive tool for work disability following musculoskeletal pain conditions. The present study utilized two samples of individuals with musculoskeletal pain conditions (Sample 1: Work-related musculoskeletal injury; Sample 2: Whiplash injury) to estimate the reliability and validity of a single-item measure of recovery expectations in the prediction of work disability. First, we examined the extent to which single-item measures of recovery expectations predict return to work in both samples. By verifying the consistency of the prospective predictive value of recovery expectations on return to work across samples, we were able to estimate the test-retest reliability of single-item measures of recovery expectations. Second, we examined parallel-form reliability by evaluating the correlation between two similar single-item measures of recovery expectations, and determined the two measures were significantly strongly correlated. Third, we examined how the single-item measure of recovery expectations corresponds to established theories by examining the associations between recovery expectations and pain-related psychological variables in both samples. Correlations between recovery expectations and depressive symptoms, catastrophizing, fear of movement and perceptions of injustice were consistent with conceptual models [2; 22; 23; 25; 32; 33; 38] and did not differ significantly between individuals with work-related musculoskeletal injury and whiplash injury. Finally, we examined predictive validity by testing the association between the single-item measure of recovery expectations and return to work, as used in previous research. Together, these results demonstrate the validity and reliability of a single-item measure of recovery expectations and provide evidence to support its use to predict work disability following musculoskeletal pain conditions.
The findings of this study have implications for clinicians in the field of pain and rehabilitation. The results suggest that single-item measures of recovery expectations (e.g., “How likely is it that that you will return to work?”) provide a brief tool to identify individuals at risk for prolonged work disability. Single-item measures offer seamless clinical workflow as they can be administered in a matter of seconds by clinicians or personal with little training in primary care. Single-item measures of recovery expectations can be used to alert clinicians to potential obstacles or challenges that an individual could be facing [30]. In fact, several studies substantiated the need for screening and, if necessary, for quick intervention by providing information directly after pain onset [21; 29]. There is evidence that targeting early psychosocial risk factors in at-risk patients by healthcare providers leads to better health outcomes than standard care [27]. Our results indicate that following a musculoskeletal pain condition, recovery expectations should be assessed to prevent prolonged work disability, and that this can be done using a single-item measure.
Although single-item measures may serve as a red flag, they do not, however, provide any details on the biopsychosocial aspects within the individual’s pain experience that may need further investigation. It is important to consider that psychological factors are but one domain of barriers to successful rehabilitation. In the context of work disability, several aspects of an individual’s pain experience may lead them to form negative/low recovery expectations (See Carrière et al. for a review on recovery expectations [6]). For example, aspects of the work environment, such as margin of manoeuvre, workplace accommodations and employer support may need to be addressed [13; 20]. Interventions aimed at return to work will likely also need to address risk factors within the systems (personal system, workplace system, healthcare system, compensation system) to yield the most promising outcomes [24].
The findings of this study also have implications for researchers in the field of rehabilitation. Experimental scientists have expressed concern regarding the reliability of single-item measures, which is generally treated as a necessary condition for experimental credibility by researchers, reviewers and editors. However, many researchers opt for single-item measures due to their numerous practical advantages. For example, single-item measures have fewer survey administration costs, are completed easily by respondents of varying education levels, do not contain redundant items that can contribute to participant burden, and require a shorter time commitment, thereby leading to lower refusal and less incomplete data. In this study we were able to estimate the reliability and validity of a single-item measure of recovery expectations using two prospective datasets. Based on our results, it is acceptable to use this single-item measure of recovery expectations when the research question or assessment goal is to predict work disability.
Strengths and limitations
The strengths of this study are the use of two large prospective samples of individuals of musculoskeletal pain conditions, which allowed us to make inference and generalize to a same population. In both samples, the outcome was assessed at 1-year follow-up which allowed us to evaluate the prospective validity of the single-item measure of recovery expectations. This study also opted for a statistical approach that allowed us to utilize collected data to quickly address a relevant scientific question. The present research effort does have several limitations. First, the samples of individuals with work-related musculoskeletal injury and whiplash injury may limit the generalizability of the findings to other musculoskeletal pain conditions. Other sociodemographic variables may also limit the generalizability of the findings since the samples were relatively homogenous and similar in age. Second, it is possible bias exists due to the self-report data. Third, there was no opportunity to compare the ratings on the single-item measure of recovery expectations over time (as a measure of test-retest reliability). Last, internal consistency cannot be computed for a single-item measure. We believe our assessments of test-retest and parallel reliability, as well as construct and predictive validity provide a sufficient analysis of the psychometric properties of this single-item measure of recovery expectations.