We utilized current data on hepatic ultrasound in the diagnosis of NAFLD to construct a mathematical model aimed at improving the diagnostic process and reducing interobserver variability. Our study employed ultrasound equipment and settings commonly used in clinical practice to assess hepatic tissue echogenicity, and the findings from our study demonstrated that liver echogenicity levels, measured on a grayscale of 0 to 256, can provide valuable information for the diagnosis and classification of NAFLD.
Mathematical modeling tools are a very useful instrument for exploring the interconnection between diagnostic imaging and metabolic diseases. A study was conducted to assess the level of liver fat in patients with NAFLD using ultrasound, and a mathematical model based on the geometry of Bezier curves was employed (9). Considering the intricate aspects of NAFLD, the utilization of mathematical models has emerged as a valuable asset in comprehending its fundamental mechanisms and forecasting the progression of the disease. These models encompass multiple factors including genetic predisposition, metabolic disturbances, and lifestyle choices to simulate the evolution and advancement of the disease across time. By incorporating detailed patient data, mathematical models offer a holistic structure for analyzing the interplay between these factors, allowing for tailored treatment approaches (10). Furthermore, they facilitate the detection of biomarkers and potential targets for therapeutic intervention, ultimately contributing to the development of effective strategies for managing NAFLD.
The emergence of advanced mathematical models has significantly improved the assessment of grayscale ultrasound imaging. In a study conducted a mathematical modeling of clinical and sonographic variables was introduced for precise and accurate evaluation of the levels of grayscale in ultrasound images. The algorithm employed a combination of statistical analysis and image processing methods, enabling a quantitative measurement of grayscale intensity. This innovative approach has the capacity to transform the interpretation of ultrasound images and enhance diagnostic precision across diverse medical fields (11). In our study, we conducted an estimation of echogenicity levels in NAFLD through the development of a mathematical model. By combining imaging data and advanced mathematical algorithms, we were able to create a robust model for predicts echogenicity levels in NAFLD.
The human eye demonstrates the ability to discern up to 35 levels of gray in dynamic images. When examining ultrasound images taken from the subcostal perspective of the liver, the typical parenchyma exhibits a spectrum of 80 to 100 gray levels (12). In our research, we observed that the typical liver demonstrated an echogenicity level between 120 and 150 on a grayscale, utilizing the ultrasound equipment and settings utilized. Liver tissue exhibiting NAFLD Grade I, with slightly increased echogenicity, showed values between 150 and 180 on the grayscale. In contrast, liver tissue with NAFLD Grade II, featuring a moderate increase in echogenicity, displayed values between 180 and 210 on the grayscale. Finally, liver tissue with NAFLD Grade III, which is associated with a severe increase in echogenicity, exhibited values above 210 on the grayscale.
In the field of healthcare, decision-analytic and mathematical modeling are considered forms of comparative effectiveness research. These methods combine the best available evidence in a structured manner to inform clinical and health policy decisions. While randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often considered the gold standard for evidence generation, mathematical models can provide valuable insights when direct experimentation is not feasible or ethical. Additionally, mathematical models can complement RCTs by bridging the gap between RCT data and real-world clinical scenarios. By incorporating evidence from RCTs, meta-analyses, and observational studies, modeling studies can simulate the natural history of a disease and its response to interventions. This provides a mathematical framework for replicating real-world experiences and informing complex clinical decisions (13, 14).
It is crucial to develop a mathematical model to quantify the grayscale in different grades of NAFLD due to several reasons. Firstly, a precise quantification of grayscale levels allows for a more objective and consistent assessment of NAFLD severity across different medical professionals. This helps in reducing subjectivity and potential discrepancies that might arise from visual interpretation alone. Additionally, a mathematical model provides a standardized framework to monitor disease progression and response to treatment over time. By quantifying grayscale levels, it becomes possible to detect subtle variations and track even small changes in NAFLD, allowing for early intervention and management (15). Moreover, a mathematical model enables researchers and clinicians to investigate potential correlations between grayscale levels and various clinical outcomes, facilitating a deeper understanding of the disease and potentially leading to the identification of novel prognostic markers or treatment targets. Thus, our mathematical model may improve sonographic diagnosis and control monitoring of subsequent examinations with a diagnosis of NAFLD.