Patients
Between July 2020 and July 2022, a total of 1,098 patients from six referral centers in Lombardy were tested with Oncotype DX. Among these patients, 642 (58.5%) were older than 50 years old, 655 (59.7%) had tumors < 2 cm, 577 (52.6%) were node-negative, 419 (38.2%) had G3 tumors, and 244 (22.2%) had a Ki67 > 30%. Overall, the requests for patients with tumors > 5 cm or with G1 tumors were rare (3.1% and 3%, respectively) (Table 1).
The clinicopathologic features of patients who have received a genomic test prescription were significantly different between node-negative and node-positive patients.
Genomic test requests for T1, T2 and T3 tumors were 63.6%, 33.8% and 2.6%, respectively, in the node-negative group, and 55.3%, 41.1% and 3.6%, respectively, in the node-positive group (p = 0.018). Regarding tumor grade, G1, G2 and G3 tumors were 0.7%, 48.5% and 50.8%, respectively, in the node-negative group, and 5.6%, 70.2% and 24.2%, respectively, in the node-positive group (p < 0.001). Requests for tumors with Ki67< 20%, Ki67 21-30% and Ki67> 30% were 23%, 45.6% and 31.4%, respectively, in the node-negative group, and 58.2%, 29.8% and 12%, respectively, in the node-positive group (p < 0.001) (Figure 1).
The distribution of clinicopathologic features of patients who were tested with Oncotype DX was significantly different between age groups, except for tumor size. In patients with 50 years or younger, genomic test requests for T1, T2 and T3 tumors were 55.7%, 41.4% and 2.9%, respectively, while in patients older than 50 years, they were 62.5%, 34.3% and 3.2%, respectively (p = 0.053). The requests for G1, G2 and G3 tumors were 3.5%, 64% and 32.5%, respectively, in patients with 50 years or younger, and 2.6%, 55.1% and 42.2%, respectively, in patients older than 50 years (p = 0.004). Tumors with Ki67< 20%, Ki67 21-30% and Ki67> 30% were 44%, 36.4% and 19.6%, respectively, in patients with 50 years or younger, while in patients older than 50 years, they were 36.6%, 39.3% and 24.1%, respectively (p = 0.032) (Figure 2).
Interestingly, we found that a significant proportion (42%) of node-positive patients who received a genomic test prescription were 50 years old or younger, which is also similar to the proportion in the node-negative group (41.1%). Overall, patients with node-positive tumors who were 50 years old or younger accounted for approximately 20% of the total population receiving a test prescription.
Correlation between clinicopathologic features and Recurrence Score
Overall, the Oncotype DX test identified 803 out of 1,098 patients (73.1%) who had a RS score of 0-25, suggesting potential benefits in terms of chemotherapy sparing and drug costs. The proportion of patients with low RS was similar between age groups (74.8% of patients with 50 years or younger, and 71.8% of patients older than 50 years, respectively, p = 0.27), as well as between subgroups stratified by tumor size (74.7%, 70.4% and 79.4% in patients with T1, T2 and T3, respectively, p = 0.22) (Table 1 and Figure 3).
There were significant differences in the distribution of RS risk groups when tumors were stratified by grading and Ki67 levels. Specifically, low RS was found in 93.9%, 83.3% and 55.6% of G1, G2 and G3 tumors, respectively (p < 0.001), and in 86.5%, 74.4% and 46.7% of tumors with Ki67< 20%, Ki67 21-30% and Ki67> 30%, respectively (p < 0.001) (Table 1 and Figure 3).
The proportion of patients with low RS in the node-negative group was significantly lower than in the node-positive group (65.7% vs 81.6%, p < 0.001) (Table 1 and Figure 3).
The correlation between clinicopathologic features and RS within node-negative and node-positive patients recapitulated what has been observed in the overall population: in both groups, RS significantly correlated with grade and Ki67 levels but not with age or tumor size (Supplementary Figure 1).
Of note, despite the significant correlation of RS with grade and Ki67, Oncotype DX identified a significant proportion of patients with clearly poor biological features having a low RS. Among 179 patients with G3 tumors and Ki67 > 30%, 69 (38.6%) had a RS 0-25 (Figure 4), and this proportion was even higher (50%) within the node-positive patients with these high-risk features (Supplementary Figure 2). On contrary, among 30 patients with G1 tumors and Ki67 < 20%, 2 (6.7%) had a RS higher than 25 (Figure 4).
Temporal trend of test prescription
We observed a progressive increase in genomic testing requests over the two years considered, with the number of requests increasing from 182 between July 2020 and December 2020, to 230 between January 2021 and June 2021, 322 between July 2021 and December 2021, and 364 between January 2022 and June 2022.
The distribution of clinicopathologic characteristics among patients who received a test prescription did not differ significantly between the four semesters, including age, tumor size, nodal status, and Ki67 (Supplementary Table 1). However, there was a trend towards an increase in Oncotype DX requests for node-positive patients after the presentation of RxPONDER trial data. The requests for node-positive patients increased from 41.2% between July 2020 and December 2020 to 49% between January 2021 and July 2022 (p=0.06).
We found a significant variability in the distribution of tumor grade over time. From July 2020 to July 2022, there was a progressive increase in the proportion of patients with G2 tumors who received a test prescription and a corresponding decrease in the proportion of patients with G3 tumors. Specifically, the requests for patients with G2 tumors were 48.9%, 55.2%, 60.2%, and 64.8% in the first to the fourth semester, respectively (p=0.002), while requests for patients with G3 tumors were 47.3%, 41.7%, 36%, and 33.2% in the same period, respectively (p=0.007) (Supplementary Table 1).
Comparison with TAILORx and RxPONDER data
The clinicopathologic characteristics of node-negative patients who underwent genomic testing in our study were significantly different from those of patients included in the TAILORx trial20.
We tested a higher percentage of patients aged 50 years or younger (41.1% vs 31.4%, p < 0.001), a lower percentage of patients with tumors < 2 cm (63.6% vs 74.8%, p < 0.001), a higher percentage of patients with G3 tumors (50.6% vs 17.8%, p < 0.001), and a lower percentage of patients with G1 tumors (0.7% vs 26.6%, p < 0.001) (Table 2). As expected, given the poorer biological characteristics of node-negative patients in our series, the proportion of low RS was also significantly lower than that observed in TAILORx (65.7% vs 85.7%, p < 0.001).
We also observed significant differences in the distribution of patients age and tumor grade within the node-positive group of patients tested in our series compared to patients enrolled in the RxPONDER trial21. We found a higher proportion of node-positive patients who were 50 years of age or younger (42% vs 24.4 %, p < 0.001), a lower proportion of patients with G1 tumors (5.6% vs 24.7%, p < 0.001) and, a higher proportion of patients with G3 tumors (24.2% vs 10.3%, p < 0.001) (Table 2). However, it should be noted that the distribution of tumor grade in RxPONDER refers to patients enrolled in the trial (therefore, with RS 0-25). Considering the total population screened for RxPONDER, the proportion of node-positive patients with low RS was similar to that observed in our series (83.1% vs 81.6%, p=0.38) (Table 2).