Globally, climate variability, together with the rapid increase in world population and degrading soils, threatens agricultural production, which is central to the global food supply (Maja et al., 2021; Ortiz et al., 2021; FAO, 2022). In mid-November 2022, the world's human population reached approximately 8.0 billion and is expected to rise to 9.8 and 10.4 billion by 2050 and 2100, respectively (United Nations, 2022). In the Southern African region, the population is anticipated to increase from 224 million in 2021 to 241 million by 2050, which will exert more pressure on agricultural land (FAO, 2018; Weldearegay and Tedla, 2018; SADC, 2020). However, the effects of climate variability and degraded soils in many developing countries hinder agricultural food production. In South Africa, Huntley et al. (1989) estimated that 300–400 million tons of soil are lost annually. According to du Preez et al. (2011), land degradation poses a serious threat to the sustainability of agricultural production.
The accelerated climate variability, such as temperature and precipitation variability, flooding, and drought frequency, are climatic conditions detrimental to agricultural production (Jordaan et al., 2019; Ngarava et al., 2021; Nciizah et al., 2021; FAO, 2022). The projections by the Jia et al. (2019) show an increased likelihood that the impacts of climate variability on agriculture may become severe. Climate change perpetuates climate variability, and as such, in South Africa, temperatures are expected to rise from 5°C to 8°C by 2050 (Popoola et al., 2020). The country has been experiencing severe flooding events, for example, the 2015, 2019, and 2021 floods that resulted in the loss of land for agricultural production (Archer et al., 2022; Ngarava et al., 2021; FAO, 2022). Subsequently, the negative impacts of climate variability will primarily affect smallholder farmers in marginal communities. Because smallholder farmers are at the center of agricultural mismanagement in many marginal communities (Mekonnen et al., 2021; Chari et al., 2022).
In the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa, the mixed farming system of crop and livestock production is the oldest and most dominant farming system among smallholder farmers (Aliber, 2009). The region has a semi-arid climate with low and variable rainfall; the soils are predominantly duplex and occur on a marginal A horizon, which is unfavourable for agricultural production (Parwada & Van Tol, 2019). Due to prolonged drought periods, the Amathole District municipality within the Eastern Cape Province was declared a disaster area in the years 2008, 2014, and 2017 (Mahlalela et al., 2020; Poopola et al., 2020). According to Ropo and Ibraheem (2017), drought lowers rainfall and soil moisture and consequently limits crop growth, yield, and quality. Consequently, this hinders the attainment of Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 13 of Climate Action, which calls for urgent action to mitigate climate change and its negative effects, and SDG 15 of Life on Land, which seek to save soils and preserve the environment (United Nations, 2020). Therefore, there is an urgent need to understand the impacts of climate variability and the resultant soil quality changes on farming productivity and opportunities for future sustainable soil utilization, particularly in marginal communities. Despite several reports on the degradation of rangelands in rural communities of the Eastern Cape Province, cropland, and crop adaptation strategies to ensure sustainable production have been given more research attention compared to rangelands (Manjoro et al., 2012; Mhangara & Kakembo, 2012; Masiza et al., 2021). Moreover, understanding of the interactive impact of climate variability and soil quality changes on agricultural productivity among smallholder farmers in the Eastern Cape Province are relatively unknown. Indigenous knowledge is critical in generating and managing local issues involving ecosystem services, management actions, and local communities (Peter, 2008). It is also an important fact in increasing the probability of management adoption. Research that focuses on Indigenous Knowledge Systems (IKS), community development, and involvement is encouraged and supported by funding from the Department of Higher Education, Science, and Innovation (DHESI) and the National Research Foundation (NRF) of South Africa (NRF, 2018). This is because local people and rural communities are closely associated with the day-to-day necessities of utilizing and managing local ecosystems.
Such information is required for introducing strategies on sustainable land use management needed to enhance the quality of soils and agricultural produce in rangelands (Muzangwa et al., 2022; Oduniyi et al., 2022). Therefore, it is critical to study farmer insights into the interactions between soil quality, climate change, and agricultural changes in cropland and rangeland. As such, the current study assessed local knowledge about the impact of climate variability on soil quality as well as crop and livestock production. Furthermore, the land use strategies perceived to mitigate climate variability were also investigated.