Patient characteristics
Out of the 343 patients treated with first-line afatinib included in the analysis, the majority (n = 336) had adenocarcinoma, while squamous cell carcinoma was observed in 6 cases and adenosquamous cell carcinoma in one case. The patient characteristics are described in detail in Table 1. The average age of the patients in the study was 63.2 ± 9.7 years. Overall, 56.6% of patients were male, 93.1% had good performance status (PS 0–1), 72.6% were nonsmokers or former smokers, and 91.0% were in stage IV. Most patients had adenocarcinoma histology (98.0%), while a small percentage had squamous cell carcinoma (1.7%) or adenosquamous carcinoma (0.3%). The number of patients with brain metastases and liver metastases was 87 (25.4%) and 33 (9.6%), respectively. Common mutations, including exon 19 deletion (Del19) and L858R mutation (L858R), were observed in 251 patients (73.2%), with Del19 mutation in 161 patients (46.9%) and L858R mutation in 90 patients (26.2%). The patients who received < 40 mg daily as the initial dose tended to be older than those who received 40 mg daily (64.0 ± 9.6 vs. 61.9 ± 9.8 years); however, this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.056). There were no significant differences in sex, smoking history, performance status, stage, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, or EGFR mutations (Del19/L858R/uncommon mutations) between the two groups of starting doses.
Table 1. Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients
As shown in Table 2, most of the patients started with afatinib 30 mg once daily (58.6%), followed by 40 mg once daily (39.9%) and 20 mg once daily (1.5%). After one month of treatment, most of them could be maintained with the starting dose (81.9%). The number of patients requiring dose increases and dose reductions after one month was 25 (7.3%) and 37 (10.8%), respectively. Dose reductions due to tolerance were needed by 23.6% during the treatment. The optimal afatinib dosage, determined as the dose that could effectively manage the patient's disease while maintaining tolerable side effects, was most prescribed at 30 mg once daily (62.1%), followed by 40 mg once daily (33.2%) and 20 mg once daily (4.7%). Among the patients with baseline brain metastases, 27.6% had concurrent whole brain radiation, and 16.1% had gamma knife radiosurgery.
Table 2
Afatinib dosage and treatment features
Objective response
The overall objective response rate (ORR) was 78.1% in all patients, with 12.2% achieving a complete response and 65.9% achieving a partial response (Table 3).
Among the common mutation group, the ORR for the Del 19 group was higher than that for the L858R group, although the difference did not reach statistical significance (82.6% vs. 73.3%, p = 0.082). The ORR for the uncommon mutation group (including compound mutations) was 75.0%, which tended to be lower than that of the common mutation group; however, this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.419).
The ORR for the 87 patients with brain metastases was 71.3%, with 24 patients receiving whole-brain radiation therapy and 14 patients undergoing gamma knife radiosurgery (Table 2). This response rate was lower than that of the group without brain metastases (80.5%), but the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.073).
Univariate analysis was performed for factors influencing the objective response rate, such as age (≥ 65 years, < 65 years old), sex, performance status (PS), smoking status, mutation type, disease stage, and brain metastases. However, no statistically significant differences were found in these factors (Table 3).
We utilized multivariable logistic binary regression with a forward selection approach to examine factors associated with ORR. Two factors were identified as related to ORR: performance status (PS 0–1 vs. PS 2–3) and starting dose (40 mg vs. <40 mg). (Table 3)
Table 3. Overall Response Rate and Related Factors
Time to treatment failure
The median follow-up time was 26.2 months (95% CI 24.1 to 28.3 months) from the start of afatinib treatment. At the time of analysis in January 2023, 205 (59.8%) patients had an event of time to treatment failure (TTF). Among the censored patients, 103 patients were still receiving afatinib, while 34 patients had to switch to another TKI due to financial problems or drug supply issues. The median TTF (mTTF) was 16.7 months in all patients (Fig. 1a).
Figure 1. Kaplan–Meier curve of the TTF of the study population (A), the TTF stratified by EGFR mutations (B) and the TTF stratified by brain metastasis at baseline. Abbreviations: TTF: time-to-failure treatment, EGFR: Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor
The mTTF was 17.5 months in the common mutation group and 13.8 months in the uncommon mutation group (p = 0.045) (Fig. 1b). In the group of patients with brain metastases, the mTTF was 15.1 months, which was significantly lower than that (17.5 months) in patients without brain metastases at baseline (p = 0.049) (Fig. 1c).
When analyzing the factors influencing TTF using Cox regression multivariate analysis, we observed that the mutation type (common or uncommon) and the presence or absence of brain metastases were independent prognostic factors affecting TTF (Table 4).
Table 4. Time to Treatment Failure and Related Factors
Dose Adjustment
The response rates in patients receiving an initial dose of 40 mg and < 40 mg were 83.9% and 74.3%, respectively, with a statistically significant difference (p = 0.034) (Table 3). On univariate analysis, the only factor found to have an influence on ORR was the starting dose, and it remained a prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis. However, there was no significant difference in mTTF between the two initial doses (16.7 months vs. 16.9 months, p = 0.755) (Fig. 2a).
Figure 2. Kaplan–Meier curve of TTF among patients stratified by dosage factors: starting dose (A), dose reduction (B), dose adjustment after one month (C) and optimal dose (D). Abbreviations: TTF: time-to-failure treatment.
The mTTF was significantly longer in patients with dose reduction than in those without dose reduction (22.0 months vs 15.7 months, p < 0.001) (Fig. 2b). However, there was no significant difference in mTTF between the patients who needed dose adjustment, either through escalation or reduction, after one month of treatment and those who maintained their initial dose after one month (19.4 months vs 16.1 months, p = 0.192) (Fig. 2c). Analyzing patients maintaining different optimal doses revealed that those with a tolerable dose of < 40 mg had a significantly longer mTTF than those with a tolerable dose of 40 mg (18.5 months vs. 15.2 months, p = 0.003) (Fig. 2d). Multivariate analysis indicated that dose reduction status and tolerable dose maintained during the treatment could result in different mTTFs (Table 4).
Side effects
The most commonly observed adverse events included diarrhea (55.4%), rash (51.9%), paronychia (35.3%), stomatitis (22.2%), and dry skin (14.9%). Most of them were grades 1 and 2, and grade 3 was reported only with diarrhea (3.5%), rash (3.2%), paronychia (5.0%), and stomatitis (1.2%) (Table 5). No patients had grade 4 adverse events. The incidence of liver enzyme elevation was also low (9.9%), and no patients experienced interstitial lung disease. Diarrhea (any grade and grade 3) was more common in the group with a starting dose of 40 mg than in the group with a starting dose < 40 mg (p = 0.027 and p = 0.016, respectively). Stomatitis of any grade was more prevalent in the group with a starting dose of 40 mg (p = 0.047); however, there was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of grade 3 stomatitis.
Table 5. Most common treatment-related adverse events