Background: Bladder cancer is the tenth most common cancer in the world, but existing biomarkers and prognostic models are limited.
Method: In this study, we used four bladder cancer cohorts from The Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus databases to perform univariate Cox regression analysis to identify common prognostic genes. We used selected genes to construct a prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier analysis, Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, and univariate and multivariate Cox analysis were used to evaluate the prognostic model for the four cohorts. Finally, a co-expression network, CIBERSORT, and ESTIMATE algorithm were used to explore the mechanism related to the model.
Results: A total of 11 genes were identified from the four cohorts to construct the prognostic model, including eight risk genes (SERPINE2, PRR11, DSEL, DNM1, COMP, ELOVL4, RTKN, and MAPK12) and three protective genes (FABP6, C16orf74, and TNK1). The model and the 11 genes have excellent performance in predicting overall survival and have been confirmed in 5 cohorts. The model's predictive ability is stronger than other clinical features and has practical significance in clinical application.
Through the analysis of the weighted co-expression network, the gene module related to the model was found, and the key genes in this module were mainly enriched in the items related to the tumor microenvironment. When comparing the level of immune cell infiltration in high-risk samples, B cell memory showed low infiltration in high-risk patients. Furthermore, in the case of low B cell memory infiltration and high-risk score, the prognosis of the patients was the worst.
Conclusion: The model we developed has strong stability and good performance and can stratify the risk of bladder cancer patients, to achieve individualized treatment.

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On 08 Aug, 2020
On 04 Aug, 2020
On 03 Aug, 2020
On 03 Aug, 2020
On 31 Jul, 2020
Received 27 Jul, 2020
On 27 Jul, 2020
On 27 Jul, 2020
Received 27 Jul, 2020
Invitations sent on 26 Jul, 2020
On 24 Jul, 2020
On 23 Jul, 2020
On 23 Jul, 2020
Posted 16 Jun, 2020
On 08 Jul, 2020
Received 07 Jul, 2020
On 29 Jun, 2020
Received 29 Jun, 2020
On 26 Jun, 2020
Received 25 Jun, 2020
Invitations sent on 23 Jun, 2020
On 23 Jun, 2020
On 17 Jun, 2020
On 16 Jun, 2020
On 12 Jun, 2020
On 11 Jun, 2020
On 08 Aug, 2020
On 04 Aug, 2020
On 03 Aug, 2020
On 03 Aug, 2020
On 31 Jul, 2020
Received 27 Jul, 2020
On 27 Jul, 2020
On 27 Jul, 2020
Received 27 Jul, 2020
Invitations sent on 26 Jul, 2020
On 24 Jul, 2020
On 23 Jul, 2020
On 23 Jul, 2020
Posted 16 Jun, 2020
On 08 Jul, 2020
Received 07 Jul, 2020
On 29 Jun, 2020
Received 29 Jun, 2020
On 26 Jun, 2020
Received 25 Jun, 2020
Invitations sent on 23 Jun, 2020
On 23 Jun, 2020
On 17 Jun, 2020
On 16 Jun, 2020
On 12 Jun, 2020
On 11 Jun, 2020
Background: Bladder cancer is the tenth most common cancer in the world, but existing biomarkers and prognostic models are limited.
Method: In this study, we used four bladder cancer cohorts from The Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus databases to perform univariate Cox regression analysis to identify common prognostic genes. We used selected genes to construct a prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier analysis, Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, and univariate and multivariate Cox analysis were used to evaluate the prognostic model for the four cohorts. Finally, a co-expression network, CIBERSORT, and ESTIMATE algorithm were used to explore the mechanism related to the model.
Results: A total of 11 genes were identified from the four cohorts to construct the prognostic model, including eight risk genes (SERPINE2, PRR11, DSEL, DNM1, COMP, ELOVL4, RTKN, and MAPK12) and three protective genes (FABP6, C16orf74, and TNK1). The model and the 11 genes have excellent performance in predicting overall survival and have been confirmed in 5 cohorts. The model's predictive ability is stronger than other clinical features and has practical significance in clinical application.
Through the analysis of the weighted co-expression network, the gene module related to the model was found, and the key genes in this module were mainly enriched in the items related to the tumor microenvironment. When comparing the level of immune cell infiltration in high-risk samples, B cell memory showed low infiltration in high-risk patients. Furthermore, in the case of low B cell memory infiltration and high-risk score, the prognosis of the patients was the worst.
Conclusion: The model we developed has strong stability and good performance and can stratify the risk of bladder cancer patients, to achieve individualized treatment.

Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 3

Figure 4

Figure 5

Figure 6
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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