Over a median of 11.3 years follow-up, 1,680 incident dementia were recorded among 273,265 women. At the study baseline, the mean age of women was 56 years; the mean age at menarche and age at first live birth was 13 and 26 years, respectively; 85% reported they have been pregnant at least once, and 44% reported having two children. Sixty-one percent of the women were postmenopausal, and the mean age at natural menopause was 50 years. The percentage of women who reported a history of hysterectomy and oophorectomy were 19% and 8%, respectively; 81% reported ever used oral contraceptive pills, and 38% reported ever used HRT, with a mean age of 47 years for HRT initiation, and a mean duration of 6.0 years.
Among 228,966 men, 2,021 incident cases of dementia were recorded. The mean age for men at baseline was 57 years, with 41% reported fathering two children (Table 1).
Table 1
Baseline characteristics of study participants in the UK Biobank.
|
Women (n = 273 265)
|
Men (n = 228 966)
|
Dementia, n %
|
1 680 (0.6)
|
2 021 (0.9)
|
Age, years
|
56.3 (8.0)
|
56.7 (8.0)
|
Socioeconomic status, %:
|
|
|
Highest (≤ -2.08)
|
138 675 (50.7)
|
115 580 (50.5)
|
Middle (-2.08–1.40)
|
81 867 (30.0)
|
66 667 (29.1)
|
Lowest (≥ 1.40)
|
52 396 (19.2)
|
46 423 (20.3)
|
Smoking status, %:
|
|
|
Never smoker
|
161 981 (59.3)
|
111 406 (48.7)
|
Former smoker
|
85 413 (31.3)
|
87 535 (38.2)
|
Current smoker
|
24 359 (8.9)
|
28 593 (12.5)
|
Blood pressure:
|
|
|
Systolic blood pressure (Mean (SD))
|
135.3 (19.2)
|
140.9 (17.5)
|
Diastolic blood pressure (Mean (SD))
|
80.7 (10.0)
|
84.1 (10.0)
|
Body Mass Index (Mean (SD))
|
27.1 (5.2)
|
27.8 (4.2)
|
Diabetes, %:
|
|
|
Type 1 diabetes
|
564 (0.2)
|
652 (0.3)
|
Type 2 diabetes
|
9 946 (3.6)
|
15 514 (6.8)
|
Total cholesterol (Mean (SD))
|
5.87 (1.1)
|
5.48 (1.1)
|
Antihypertensive drugs
|
38 406 (14.1)
|
47 966 (20.9)
|
Lipid lowering drugs
|
29 503 (10.8)
|
45 731 (20.0)
|
Age at menarche, years
|
13.0 (1.6)
|
-
|
Ever pregnant, %
|
231 372 (84.7)
|
-
|
Number of children, %
|
|
|
None
|
51 086 (18.7)
|
47 100 (20.6)
|
One child
|
36 459 (13.3)
|
28 636 (12.5)
|
Two children
|
119 121 (43.6)
|
94 267 (41.2)
|
Three children
|
48 277 (17.7)
|
38 129 (16.7)
|
Four or more children
|
17 494 (6.4)
|
16 562 (7.2)
|
Age at first live birth, years
|
25.9 (5.1)
|
-
|
Number of miscarriages, %:
|
|
|
None
|
171 528 (62.8)
|
-
|
One
|
40 044 (14.7)
|
-
|
Two or more
|
15 876 (5.8)
|
-
|
Number of stillbirths, %:
|
|
|
None
|
220 602 (80.7)
|
-
|
One
|
6 074 (2.2)
|
-
|
Two or more
|
963 (0.4)
|
-
|
Number of abortions, %:
|
|
|
None
|
180 114 (69.2)
|
-
|
One
|
30 544 (11.2)
|
-
|
Two or more
|
7 351 (2.7)
|
-
|
Number of reproductive years
|
37.3 (4.8)
|
-
|
Menopause:
|
|
|
Postmenopausal, %
|
165 865 (60.7)
|
-
|
Age at menopause, years
|
50.3 (4.5)
|
-
|
Surgical menopause:
|
|
|
History of hysterectomy, %
|
51 233 (18.7)
|
-
|
Age at hysterectomy, years
|
43.9 (8.0)
|
-
|
History of oophorectomy, %
|
21 938 (8.0)
|
-
|
Age at oophorectomy, years
|
47.4 (7.8)
|
-
|
History of both hysterectomy and oophorectomy
|
20 904 (7.6)
|
|
Exogenous hormone use:
|
|
|
Oral contraceptive pills use:
|
|
|
Ever used oral contraceptive pills, %
|
220 367 (80.6)
|
-
|
Age first taken oral contraceptive pills, years
|
21.5 (4.7)
|
-
|
Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use:
|
|
|
Ever used HRT, %
|
104 142 (38.1)
|
-
|
Age initiated HRT, years
|
47.4 (5.4)
|
-
|
HRT duration, years
|
6.3 (5.3)
|
-
|
Dementia rates
The crude incidence rate for dementia was 5.48 (5.23, 5.75) for women and 7.99 (7.65, 8.35) for men per 10,000 person-years.
The multiple-adjusted rates of dementia per 10,000 person-years were the highest among those with shorter reproductive span (< 33 years: 7.36 (5.86, 8.87); 33–35 years: 7.46 (5.99, 8.94)); and earlier age at menopause (< 47 years: 7.45 (6.09, 8.81)) (Table 2). For the number of children, the rates were higher among men than women across all the categories, especially among men with four or more children, the multiple-adjusted rate was 11.32 (9.75, 12.89) for men, and 5.67 (4.56, 6.77) for women [See Additional file 1].
Table 2
Unadjusted and multiple-adjusted rates of incident dementia for reproductive risk factors in women.
Risk factors
|
Unadjusted rates/10 000 person years (95% CI)
|
Multiple-adjusted rates/10 000 person years (95% CI) *
|
Age at menarche
|
|
|
<12
|
5.75 (5.14, 6.36)
|
5.09 (4.38, 5.81)
|
12
|
5.32 (4.72, 5.92)
|
4.98 (4.25, 5.71)
|
13
|
4.57 (4.08, 5.07)
|
4.58 (3.95, 5.21)
|
14
|
5.02 (4.45, 5.59)
|
4.82 (4.13, 5.51)
|
≥15
|
6.34 (5.64, 7.03)
|
5.81 (4.99, 6.62)
|
Ever been pregnant
|
|
|
No
|
4.72 (4.09, 5.35)
|
5.93 (4.95, 6.91)
|
Yes
|
5.60 (5.31, 5.89)
|
5.04 (4.70, 5.37)
|
Number of live births
|
|
|
0
|
4.45 (3.90, 4.99)
|
5.73 (4.84, 6.62)
|
1
|
4.85 (4.17, 5.52)
|
5.61 (4.63, 6.60)
|
2
|
5.19 (4.81, 5.58)
|
4.77 (4.31, 5.23)
|
3
|
6.49 (5.82, 7.17)
|
5.07 (4.38, 5.76)
|
4 or more
|
8.82 (7.50, 10.13)
|
5.67 (4.56, 6.77)
|
Parous
|
|
|
No
|
4.45 (3.90, 4.99)
|
5.73 (4.84, 6.63)
|
Yes
|
5.71 (5.41, 6.00)
|
5.05 (4.71, 5.39)
|
Age at first live birth
|
|
|
<21
|
7.78 (6.86, 8.70)
|
6.97 (5.89, 8.06)
|
21–22
|
7.62 (6.65, 8.58)
|
5.35 (4.46, 6.25)
|
23–24
|
7.55 (6.67, 8.45)
|
6.09 (5.20, 6.99)
|
25–26
|
4.88 (4.19, 5.58)
|
3.95 (3.21, 4.69)
|
27–29
|
4.46 (3.87, 5.04)
|
4.71 (3.92, 5.51)
|
>29
|
3.35 (3.04, 4.04)
|
4.97 (4.06, 5.88)
|
Number of miscarriages
|
|
|
0
|
5.76 (5.42, 6.10)
|
5.42 (5.02, 5.83)
|
1
|
4.80 (4.16, 5.44)
|
4.72 (3.90, 5.55)
|
2 or more
|
5.41 (4.33, 6.49)
|
4.32 (3.06, 5.59)
|
Number of stillbirths
|
|
|
0
|
5.47 (5.17, 5.76)
|
5.23 (4.88, 5.59)
|
1
|
9.04 (6.77, 11.31)
|
5.49 (3.58, 7.40)
|
2 or more
|
9.49 (3.61, 15.37)
|
6.98 (1.39, 12.58)
|
Number of abortions
|
|
|
0
|
5.99 (5.66, 6.32)
|
5.31 (4.94, 5.69)
|
1
|
3.95 (3.29, 4.62)
|
5.10 (3.94, 6.26)
|
2 or more
|
1.59 (0.73, 2.46)
|
3.51 (1.33, 5.69)
|
Reproductive years
|
|
|
<33
|
7.89 (6.69, 9.10)
|
7.36 (5.86, 8.87)
|
33–35
|
7.03 (5.94, 8.12)
|
7.46 (5.99, 8.94)
|
36–37
|
5.48 (4.58, 6.37)
|
5.70 (4.52, 6.88)
|
38–39
|
4.88 (4.09, 5.68)
|
4.84 (3.82, 5.86)
|
40–42
|
5.46 (4.65, 6.27)
|
5.16 (4.18, 6.14)
|
>43
|
7.18 (5.91, 8.44)
|
5.28 (4.04, 6.53)
|
Age at menopause
|
|
|
<47
|
8.22 (7.11, 9.32)
|
7.45 (6.09, 8.81)
|
47–49
|
5.78 (4.83, 6.74)
|
6.44 (5.07, 7.80)
|
50
|
6.52 (5.51, 7.52)
|
6.68 (5.42, 7.93)
|
51–52
|
4.98 (4.20, 5.76)
|
4.59 (3.62, 5.57)
|
53–54
|
4.51 (3.60, 5.41)
|
4.71 (3.53, 5.90)
|
>54
|
7.23 (6.17, 8.31)
|
5.57 (4.51, 6.64)
|
Hysterectomy
|
|
|
No
|
4.77 (4.50, 5.05)
|
4.96 (4.60, 5.33)
|
Yes
|
8.46 (7.71, 9.21)
|
5.63 (4.99, 6.28)
|
Oophorectomy
|
|
|
No
|
5.15 (4.88, 5.41)
|
4.99 (4.65, 5.32)
|
Yes
|
7.89 (6.77, 9.00)
|
5.43 (4.45, 6.41)
|
Ever taken oral contraceptive pills
|
|
|
No
|
10.37 (9.53, 11.20)
|
5.90 (5.30, 6.50)
|
Yes
|
4.31 (4.05, 4.57)
|
4.76 (4.38, 5.14)
|
Ever used HRT
|
|
|
No
|
4.04 (3.75, 4.33)
|
5.31 (4.84, 5.78)
|
Yes
|
7.69 (7.19, 8.20)
|
4.93 (4.50, 5.36)
|
* Analyses were adjusted for age, Townsend index, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, diabetes, total cholesterol, antihypertensive drugs, lipids lowering drugs. |
Age at menarche
Overall, the relationship between age at menarche and dementia appeared to be U-shaped (Table 3, Fig. 1A): the multiple-adjusted HRs (95% CI) of the age at menarche < 12 associated with dementia was 1.20 (1.08, 1.35), and at the age of ≥ 15 was 1.24 (1.10, 1.39), compared to women who had their menarche at 13.
Table 3
Multiple-adjusted hazard ratios for reproductive factors in association with incident dementia.
Risk factors
|
No. of events
|
Multiple-adjusted HR (95% CI)*
|
Age at menarche
|
|
|
<12
|
341
|
1.20 (1.08, 1.35)
|
12
|
299
|
1.08 (0.96, 1.23)
|
13 (ref)
|
331
|
1.00 (0.89, 1.12)
|
14
|
294
|
0.95 (0.84, 1.08)
|
≥15
|
317
|
1.24 (1.10, 1.39)
|
Ever been pregnant
|
1454
|
0.86 (0.74, 1.00)
|
Number of live births
|
|
|
0
|
254
|
1.16 (1.02, 1.33)
|
1
|
198
|
1.09 (0.94, 1.26)
|
2 (ref)
|
695
|
1.00 (0.92, 1.08)
|
3
|
352
|
1.03 (0.92, 1.15)
|
4 or more
|
172
|
1.14 (0.96, 1.34)
|
Parous vs not
|
1417
|
0.89 (0.77, 1.03)
|
Per live birth
|
-
|
0.99 (0.95, 1.03)
|
Age at first live birth
|
|
|
<21
|
192
|
1.47 (1.29, 1.68)
|
21–22
|
239
|
1.25 (1.09, 1.43)
|
23–24
|
280
|
1.34 (1.19, 1.52)
|
25–26 (ref)
|
222
|
1.00 (0.86, 1.16)
|
27–29
|
276
|
1.16 (1.01, 1.33)
|
>29
|
194
|
1.15 (0.99, 1.34)
|
Per additional year of age at first live birth
|
-
|
0.98 (0.97, 0.99)
|
Number of miscarriages
|
|
|
0 (ref)
|
1108
|
1.00 (0.94, 1.06)
|
1
|
216
|
0.86 (0.74, 0.99)
|
2 or more
|
96
|
1.01 (0.81, 1.25)
|
Miscarriage vs not
|
312
|
0.90 (0.79, 1.03)
|
Per miscarriage
|
-
|
1.00 (0.93, 1.08)
|
Number of stillbirths
|
|
|
0 (ref)
|
1353
|
1.00 (0.94, 1.06)
|
1
|
61
|
1.21 (0.92, 1.58)
|
2 or more
|
10
|
1.10 (0.52, 2.31)
|
Stillbirth vs not
|
71
|
1.20 (0.92, 1.55)
|
Per stillbirth
|
-
|
1.09 (0.90, 1.32)
|
Number of abortions
|
|
|
0 (ref)
|
1272
|
1.00 (0.94, 1.07)
|
1
|
135
|
0.92 (0.77, 1.10)
|
2 or more
|
13
|
0.37 (0.20, 0.70)
|
Abortion vs not
|
148
|
0.83 (0.69, 1.00)
|
Per abortion
|
-
|
0.80 (0.69, 0.93)
|
Reproductive years
|
|
|
<33 (ref)
|
165
|
1.00 (0.85, 1.18)
|
33–35
|
160
|
1.00 (0.85, 1.18)
|
36–37
|
144
|
0.77 (0.65, 0.92)
|
38–39
|
145
|
0.69 (0.58, 0.82)
|
40–42
|
174
|
0.72 (0.61, 0.84)
|
>43
|
123
|
0.82 (0.68, 0.98)
|
Age at menopause
|
|
|
<47
|
214
|
1.29 (1.12, 1.49)
|
47–49
|
141
|
1.05 (0.88, 1.25)
|
50 (ref)
|
162
|
1.00 (0.85, 1.18)
|
51–52
|
156
|
0.81 (0.68, 0.96)
|
53–54
|
95
|
0.78 (0.63, 0.96)
|
>54
|
176
|
0.95 (0.81, 1.11)
|
Hysterectomy vs not
|
483
|
1.13 (1.01, 1.27)
|
Oophorectomy vs not
|
192
|
1.05 (0.89, 1.23)
|
Ever taken oral contraceptive pills
|
1067
|
0.80 (0.72, 0.90)
|
Age started oral contraceptive pills (per year)
|
-
|
1.01 (1.00, 1.03)
|
Ever used HRT
|
895
|
1.56 (1.40, 1.73)
|
Age started HRT (per year)
|
-
|
0.96 (0.95, 0.98)
|
Duration of HRT use (per year)
|
-
|
0.99 (0.98, 1.01)
|
*Analyses were adjusted for age, Townsend index, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, diabetes, total cholesterol, antihypertensive drugs, lipids lowering drugs |
Parity-related factors
The HR for dementia who had ever been pregnant was 0.86 (0.74, 1.00) compared with never pregnant. Younger age at first live birth was associated with a higher dementia risk (Fig. 1B). Compared with women who never had an abortion, the HR for dementia in women who had two or more abortions was 0.37 (0.20, 0.70). Stillbirth and miscarriage were not associated with dementia risk.
Number of children
Compared with those who had two children, the associations between the number of children and dementia were similar for women and men and were U-shaped (Fig. 2). Some heterogeneity by SES was observed, where each additional child was associated with lower dementia risk in women of higher SES (0.92 (0.87, 0.98)), but a greater risk in women of lower SES (1.07 (1.01, 1.14)) (Table 4); this difference by SES was not observed in men.
Menopause-related factors
A longer reproductive lifespan and an older age at menopause had inverse log-linear associations with dementia risk (Table 3, Fig. 1C, Fig. 1D). The HR of dementia associated with menopause before the age of 47 was 1.29 (1.12, 1.49) compared to women who had their menopause at the age of 50. For women who reported a history of hysterectomy, the HR for dementia was 1.13 (1.01, 1.27) compared with women who never had a hysterectomy. Oophorectomy was not significantly associated with dementia; the HR was 1.05 (0.89, 1.23)). Younger age at hysterectomy was associated with increased dementia risk (Fig. 1E), whereas the relationship for age at oophorectomy and dementia was U-shaped (Fig. 1F). In addition, the timing of hysterectomy and oophorectomy did not appear to be associated with dementia risk, although some exposure categories were based on a small number of events [See Additional file 2]. For early menopause, hysterectomy and oophorectomy, there was some evidence of heterogeneity by SES, such that women of relatively lower SES had a greater dementia risk, but not for women of high SES (Table 4).
Exogenous hormone use
The HR for dementia in women who reported oral contraceptive pill use was 0.80 (0.72, 0.90) (Table 3). There was some evidence of heterogeneity by age, such that the lower risk was only statistically significant in women younger than 65 years at study baseline (Table 4). The HR for dementia associated with a 1-year increment in the age first taking oral contraceptive pills was 1.01 (1.00, 1.03)) (Table 3, Fig. 1G). The HR for dementia in women who reported HRT use was 1.56 (1.40, 1.73) compared with those who never used HRT. The HR for dementia associated with a 1-year increment in the age at HRT initiation was 0.96 (0.95, 0.98) (Table 3, Fig. 1H). There was no evidence for HRT duration affecting dementia risk (0.99 (0.98, 1.01) per year) (Table 3, Fig. 1I).
Table 4
Multiple-adjusted hazard ratios for incident dementia associated with reproductive factors, by age, SES, smoking, BMI.
Risk factors
|
Age
|
Socioeconomic status
|
< 65 years
|
≥ 65 years
|
P-value
|
Higher SES
|
Lower SES
|
P-value
|
Early menarche* vs. not
|
1.14 (0.95, 1.37)
|
1.14 (0.96, 1.36)
|
0.91
|
1.13 (0.96, 1.34)
|
1.13 (0.90, 1.43)
|
0.78
|
Age at first live birth per year
|
0.98 (0.96, 1.00)
|
0.98 (0.97, 1.00)
|
0.35
|
0.99 (0.97, 1.01)
|
0.97 (0.95, 1.00)
|
0.12
|
Each child†
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women
|
0.97 (0.91, 1.03)
|
1.00 (0.95, 1.06)
|
0.47
|
0.92 (0.87, 0.98)
|
1.07 (1.01, 1.14)
|
< 0.001
|
Men
|
1.05 (1.01, 1.09)
|
1.01 (0.97, 1.06)
|
0.19
|
1.02 (0.97, 1.08)
|
1.04 (1.01, 1.08)
|
0.54
|
Stillbirth vs. not
|
1.08 (0.69, 1.70)
|
1.26 (0.92, 1.74)
|
0.70
|
1.17 (0.82, 1.68)
|
1.24 (0.83, 1.86)
|
0.79
|
Miscarriage vs. not
|
0.93 (0.76, 1.14)
|
0.88 (0.73, 1.05)
|
0.64
|
0.84 (0.70, 1.00)
|
1.07 (0.85, 1.36)
|
0.07
|
Abortion vs. not
|
0.77 (0.59, 1.00)
|
0.89 (0.69, 1.15)
|
0.54
|
0.75 (0.58, 0.98)
|
0.91 (0.69, 1.21)
|
0.16
|
Early menopause‡ vs. not
|
1.57 (1.23, 2.00)
|
1.30 (1.04, 1.62)
|
0.16
|
1.19 (0.96, 1.49)
|
1.80 (1.37, 2.38)
|
0.02
|
Hysterectomy vs. not
|
1.14 (0.95, 1.36)
|
1.13 (0.97, 1.30)
|
0.81
|
0.98 (0.85, 1.14)
|
1.32 (1.08, 1.61)
|
0.03
|
Oophorectomy vs. not
|
1.12 (0.87, 1.43)
|
1.01 (0.81, 1.24)
|
0.47
|
0.81 (0.64, 1.02)
|
1.37 (1.06, 1.79)
|
< 0.001
|
Oral contraceptive pill use vs. not
|
0.66 (0.55, 0.79)
|
0.93 (0.81, 1.06)
|
< 0.001
|
0.88 (0.76, 1.02)
|
0.71 (0.59, 0.87)
|
0.37
|
HRT use vs. not
|
1.08 (0.92, 1.28)
|
0.94 (0.82, 1.08)
|
0.25
|
0.94 (0.82, 1.07)
|
1.14 (0.94, 1.38)
|
0.26
|
Risk factors
|
Smoking status
|
BMI
|
Never
|
Ever
|
P-value
|
≤ 25 kg/m2
|
> 25 kg/m2
|
P-value
|
Early menarche* vs. not
|
1.06 (0.89, 1.26)
|
1.22 (1.02, 1.47)
|
0.33
|
1.22 (0.97, 1.53)
|
1.10 (0.94, 1.28)
|
0.61
|
Age at first live birth per year
|
0.98 (0.96, 0.99)
|
0.99 (0.97, 1.01)
|
0.46
|
0.98 (0.96, 1.00)
|
0.98 (0.97, 1.00)
|
0.74
|
Each child†
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women
|
0.96 (0.91, 1.02)
|
1.02 (0.96, 1.09)
|
0.13
|
1.02 (0.95, 1.09)
|
0.98 (0.93, 1.03)
|
0.46
|
Men
|
1.05 (0.99, 1.11)
|
1.03 (0.99, 1.07)
|
0.70
|
1.01 (0.95, 1.07)
|
1.05 (1.01, 1.08)
|
0.33
|
Stillbirth vs. not
|
1.05 (0.71, 1.54)
|
1.35 (0.95, 1.93)
|
0.30
|
1.27 (0.80, 2.01)
|
1.15 (0.84, 1.58)
|
0.71
|
Miscarriage vs. not
|
0.79 (0.65, 0.95)
|
1.04 (0.86, 1.25)
|
0.05
|
0.77 (0.61, 0.98)
|
0.97 (0.82, 1.14)
|
0.12
|
Abortion vs. not
|
0.79 (0.59, 1.04)
|
0.87 (0.68, 1.11)
|
0.60
|
0.93 (0.69, 1.24)
|
0.77 (0.60, 0.97)
|
0.34
|
Early menopause‡ vs. not
|
1.40 (1.11, 1.77)
|
1.42 (1.13, 1.78)
|
0.90
|
1.38 (1.06, 1.81)
|
1.41 (1.15, 1.74)
|
0.88
|
Hysterectomy vs. not
|
1.18 (1.01, 1.37)
|
1.08 (0.91, 1.28)
|
0.43
|
1.01 (0.83, 1.24)
|
1.20 (1.05, 1.38)
|
0.16
|
Oophorectomy vs. not
|
1.08 (0.87, 1.34)
|
1.01 (0.80, 1.29)
|
0.69
|
0.97 (0.73, 1.30)
|
1.08 (0.89, 1.31)
|
0.52
|
Oral contraceptive pill use vs. not
|
0.79 (0.68, 0.91)
|
0.82 (0.70, 0.98)
|
0.84
|
0.83 (0.69, 1.00)
|
0.80 (0.70, 0.92)
|
0.90
|
HRT use vs. not
|
0.93 (0.81, 1.07)
|
1.05 (0.90, 1.23)
|
0.26
|
0.87 (0.73, 1.03)
|
1.08 (0.94, 1.23)
|
0.08
|
Analyses were adjusted for age, Townsend index, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, diabetes, total cholesterol, antihypertensive drugs, lipids lowering drugs. P-values are the interaction between subgroups. |
*Early menarche was defined as age at first menstrual period before the age of 12 years. |
†Each livebirth in women and each child fathered in men. |
‡Early menopause was defined as the permanent absence of menstrual periods before the age of 47 years. |
Sensitivity analysis
After excluding women who underwent hysterectomy or oophorectomy, the associations for age at menarche, reproductive years and age at menopause in relation to dementia risk were similar to the main results [See Additional file 3].