3.1. The PFS and OS of the MM patients with or without the use of Dara treatment before ASCT
The characteristics of patients are summarized in Table 1. We divided the patients into two groups according to whether they did or did not use Dara before ASCT (Dara + group: 162 patients (6.2%); Dara- group: 2464 patients (93.8%)). There were no significant differences between the two groups in regard to patient age at ASCT, gender, performance status (PS) at ASCT, ISS categorization at diagnosis, and MM type of heavy or light chain (Table 1). However, the following characteristics differed significantly between the two groups: cytogenic abnormalities, the interval between the diagnosis and ASCT, and the follow-up period of survivors (Table 1). The median interval from the diagnosis of MM to ASCT was 210 days in the Dara + group and 275.5 days in the Dara- group. The median follow-up times of the survivors in the Dara- and Dara + groups were 680 days and 405 days, respectively.
We compared the PFS and OS of the Dara- group and Dara + group and found that the PFS and OS of the Dara- group were significantly superior to those of the Dara + group (Fig. 1A-B; p = 0.006 and p < 0.001, respectively). The 1-year PFS rates of the Dara- and Dara + groups were 87.4% (95%CI:85.9–88.7) and 77.3% (95%CI: 62.9–83.4), respectively, and the 1-year OS rates of the Dara- and Dara + groups were 96.7% (95%CI: 95.9–97.4) and 90.0% (95%CI: 83.2–94.1), respectively.
The other factors associated with superior PFS in the univariate analysis were age < 65 years at the time of ASCT (p = 0.010), low ISS stage (p < 0.001), good performance status (p = 0.046), absence of unfavorable cytogenic abnormalities (p < 0.001), and obtaining complete response (CR) or very good partial response (VGPR) before ASCT (p < 0.001; Table 2). When we performed the univariate analysis for OS, the following factors showed superior OS: age < 65 years at the time of ASCT (p = 0.029), female gender (p = 0.048), low ISS stage (p < 0.001), good performance status at ASCT (p = 0.032), absence of unfavorable cytogenic abnormalities (p < 0.001), and obtaining CR or VGPR before ASCT (p = 0.003; Table 3).
Next, we performed a multivariate analysis of PFS and OS in relation to all the baseline factors. The factors that were independently associated with superior PFS were age < 65 years (p = 0.015), low ISS stage (p < 0.001), absence of unfavorable cytogenic abnormalities (p < 0.001), no Dara use before ASCT (p = 0.037) and a good treatment response before ASCT (p < 0.001, Table 2). The factors that were independently associated with superior OS were age < 65 years (p = 0.033), low ISS stage (p < 0.001), absence of unfavorable cytogenic abnormalities (p < 0.001), no Dara use before ASCT (p = 0.007) and good treatment response before ASCT (p < 0.001, Table 3). These results demonstrated that the use of Dara before ASCT was associated with a worse prognosis independently of the traditional risk factors (such as older age, high ISS stage, unfavorable cytogenetic abnormalities, and poor pre-ASCT response).
3.2. Comparing the clinical outcome of the Dara + and Dara- groups by a matched pair analysis
To further clarify the impact of receiving Dara before ASCT, we performed a matched pair analysis (1 to 5 ratio) by matching the following factors between the two groups: the age of ASCT, international staging system (ISS) stage at diagnosis, and cytogenic abnormalities (Table S1 and S2). The PFS and OS of the Dara- group were still significantly superior to those of the Dara + group in this matched pair analysis (p = 0.011 and p = 0.004, significantly; Figure S1A-B). As the disease status before ASCT had an impact on the prognosis after ASCT, we compared the PFS and OS of the Dara- and the Dara + groups according to the disease status before ASCT treatment (Fig. 1C-F). The PFS and OS of the patients who had achieved CR or VGPR before ASCT did not change between the Dara- and Dara + groups (Fig. 1C-D). However, the PFS and OS of the patients who had only achieved a partial response (PR) or stable disease (SD) to progressive disease (PD) before ASCT were significantly superior in the Dara- group to those in the Dara + group (p = 0.050 and p < 0.001, respectively; Fig. 1E-F).
We then divided the patients into two groups according to the interval between the day of diagnosis and the day of ASCT: less than 6 months and 6 months or more. The PFS of the Dara- group was not different from that of the Dara + group with the patients who had received ASCT within 6 months after the diagnosis (Figure S2A). However, the PFS of the Dara- group was significantly superior to that of the Dara + group with the patients who had taken 6 months or longer to receive ASCT after the diagnosis (p = 0.007; Figure S2B). When we compared the pre-ASCT response, CR and VGPR rates in the Dara + group were higher in the patients who had received ASCT within 6 months after the diagnosis compared to the patients who had received ASCT 6 months or later after the diagnosis (71.5% and 58.3%, respectively; Fig. 2A). The CR and VGPR rates in the Dara- group were similar between the patients who had received ASCT within 6 months after the diagnosis and the patients who had received ASCT 6 months or later after the diagnosis (63.1% and 56.9%, respectively; Fig. 2B). Finally, we performed an additional analysis of the OS from the day of diagnosis instead of the day of ASCT and found that the OS of the patients who had only achieved PR or SD to PD was significantly superior in the Dara- group compared to the Dara + group (Figure S3A-B).
Collectively, our results showed that MM patients who obtained CR or VGPR by treatment with Dara before ASCT had significant improvements in both PFS and OS (Figure S4A-B).