Characteristics and Quality of Selected Studies:
We identified a total of articles from Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases. After duplicate entries were removed using EndNote, articles remained to be screened. The initial screening excluded studies that failed to meet the inclusion criteria. After filtering by availability and reading, consisting of reading the title, abstract, and keywords of each study, five articles were selected [10–14]. The study selection process was visually presented in Fig. 1, which displays the PRISMA flow diagram.
The included reports comprised 359 cases and 245 controls (Table 1). All studies were conducted on Iraqi people. With relation to the types of study all publications were the result of case–control studies and were of high quality according to the Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS). The samples used in the studies varied in terms of age group: two with adults, one with children, and two with mixed‑age groups (children and adults).
Quality assessments of the selected studies are shown in Table 2. According to the NOS, three studies [12–14] had a risk of bias due to differences between the number of cases and the number of case genotypes in hospital controls. However, they were still considered to be of moderate quality, scoring 5 or 6 points.
HWE was detected in the asthmatic patients and controls in all studies [10–14]. All studies suggested that the distribution of genotypes in the controls was consistent with HWE except one study [10], as shown in Table 3.
Meta-Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis Finding:
Due to the evident heterogeneity in study design among the included literature, we utilized the random-effect model to estimate the pooled effect sizes for all statistical analyses in this meta-analysis. Detailed results of the meta-analysis are presented in Table 4.
Five studies [10–14] with available data can be included to estimate the pool effect sizes under allele (C vs. T), homozygous (CC vs. TT), heterozygous (CT vs. TT) and recessive (CC vs. CT + TT) models. For the dominant (CC + CT vs. TT) model, there were five studies [10–14] with available data that can be included to estimate the pool effect sizes. Although all these five genetic models have a higher risk of asthma, the overall analyses were not statistically significant (Table 4). The table presents the odds ratios (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for different genetic models related to the IL-4 rs2243250 polymorphism and asthma risk. The "Total" row indicates the overall analysis, while the "Study design" rows show results for mixed-age and adult-specific studies. In the overall analysis, the heterozygous genetic model (CT vs TT) yielded a statistically significant result with an OR of 0.25 (95% CI: 0.08–0.83, p = 0.02), suggesting a lower risk of asthma associated with this genetic model. However, the other genetic models did not show statistically significant associations. When considering study design, the results for mixed-age and adult-specific studies varied. For mixed-age studies, none of the genetic models showed statistically significant associations. In adult-specific studies, the heterozygote genetic model (CT + TT) approached statistical significance with an OR of 0.38 (95% CI: 0.14, 1.06, p = 0.07).
For the overall meta-analyses, there was moderate to high heterogeneity (I2 between 71%-93%) among the genetic models. Sensitivity analysis conducted by omitting each study and cumulative statistics showed that the pooled ORs of the rs2243250 polymorphism were highly significant difference was noted between the asthmatic patient and control groups in the genetic IL‑4 rs2243250 polymorphism (CC genotype showed OR = 2.37, 95% CI = 1.67–3.37, P < 0.001; CT genotype showed OR = 0.23, 95% CI = 0.16–0.32, P < 0.001; and TT genotype showed OR = 2.74, 95% CI = 1.59–4.71, P = 0.008), as presented in Fig. 2.
Publication bias:
Funnel plot of IL-4 C‑589T CC, CT, and TT genotypes for all studies included in the meta-analysis were presented in Fig. 3. Standard error of the logarithm of the OR (SE (log [OR])) was plotted against the OR for each study. The symmetric, inverted funnel shape implies an absence of publication bias.