4.1. Dust storm event dynamics
Very few studies in the world have utilized DCMD, a parameter from the MERRA-2 gridded reanalysis dataset to study dust characteristics, transport, and the associated feedback (Jing et al., 2017; Gómez-Andújar et al., 2018; Sabetghadam et al., 2018; Yao et al., 2021). To the best of the authors’ knowledge, there exists no study on India that uses this dust dataset (aerosol column burden estimates) to characterize a dust storm event. Therefore, in this paper, we assess both, the total dust density in the air mass column and the fine dust (PM2.5) component, referred to as DCMD total and DCMD PM2.5, respectively. We estimate the changes in daily (average) dust quantity during the dust storm event (shown in Fig. 3a-e) against the background dust levels (shown in Fig. 3f-h). Similarly, Fig. 4a-e and Fig. 4f-h show the daily DCMD PM2.5 average for the dust storm event and the background reference period, respectively. Northern India is found to be considerably dusty during the pre-monsoon season, due to the persistent hot and dry weather (especially in May), along with the significantly lower probability of large-scale convection. Although dust sources are largely local (Thar Desert), strong winds effectively increase the aerosol column burden (or DCMD) over a very large domain (Maharana et al., 2019). From 24–26 May 2018 (i.e., background period), we note that across the entire northern India DCMD total mostly ranges between 0-0.5 g/m2 (Fig. 3f-h). However, some parts of Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh show significantly higher DCMD total (0.5-1 g/m2).The background DCMD PM2.5 remains < 0.2 g/m2over northern India (Fig. 4f-h). Considering the geographical and seasonal characteristics of the region, both total dust and fine dust column density during the considered background reference period remain substantially low. The day of 25 May 2018 is found to be the clearest in terms of dust loading in the air.
On the other hand, during the dust storm event, both DCMD total and DCMD PM2.5 values are observed to be significantly elevated i.e., a high aerosol column burden is present over the region. Total and fine dust column mass density begins to elevate on 13 May 2018 in north-western parts of Rajasthan (Fig. 3b, 4b). A significant increase in dust loading is observed on the next day i.e., 14 May 2018 (Fig. 3c, 4c). During this peak time of the dust storm event, increased dust loading is spread over a significantly large portion of northern India. Compared to its background level (Fig. 3f-h), the DCMD total on 14 May 2018 (Fig. 3c) is noted to be around 3–5 times higher in northern India. Some regions in Rajasthan show DCMD total of close to 3 g/m2, which is significantly high. Similarly, DCMD PM2.5 is found to be at least 2–3 times higher during the dust storm event (Fig. 4c, 4f-h), and the maximum DCMD PM2.5 is noted on 14 May 2018 (0.7 g/m2).Winds carry both the coarse and fine dust particles from the Thar Desert in Rajasthan (primary local source) and spread it over to the adjacent states- Haryana and Delhi, and then toward the farther state of Uttar Pradesh. Over the next two days (15–16 May 2018), the dust particles distribute and spread across the entire northern and central India (Fig. 3d,3e,4d,4e) and then dissipate entirely by 24 May 2018.
In regions of high dust storm activity, frequent atmospheric dust loading is the leading cause of significantly increased AOD (Alizadeh-Choobari et al., 2016; Sabetghadam et al., 2018). Other factors, such as, increased levels of air pollution also significantly contribute to the AOD increase. Typical values of AOD range between 0 (during clear skies) and 1 (during high aerosol loading).However, during dust storm events, AOD can cross its typical range of 0–1, due to an overabundance of coarse and fine dust in the overlying atmosphere. Previous studies suggest that during dust and sandstorm events, AOD is mostly found to exceed 1, but largely remains below 4 (Haywood et al., 2001; Alam et al., 2014; Basha et al., 2015). In the present case study, we observe that the daily average AOD is significantly higher during the dust storm event (Fig. 5a-e),as compared to the background reference period (Fig. 5f-h). A localized increase in AOD is noted over Rajasthan (including Jodhpur city) on 13 May 2018. As the dust laden winds carry the coarse and fine particles over to parts of northern India, an increase in AOD is also noted (Fig. 5c). The air quality over northern India is known to decline during days of high AOD (Dey et al., 2004; Sonwani and Kulshrestha, 2016). In the present study, we note high AOD during 14–16 May 2018 (Fig. 5c-d) over northern India, and an increased AOD over Uttar Pradesh till 24 May 2018 (Fig. 5f). During and after the dust storm event, AOD > 2 is also noted in some regions, implying a high residence time of dust aerosols and/ oran excessive amount of dust lingering in the air(Kumar et al., 2014).By 25 May 2018, the AOD over the state of Uttar Pradeshis noted to rapidly decline (Fig. 5g), showing dissipation of dust and PM. While AOD between the range of 0.2–0.6, is not indicative of very clear skies, it is still significantly low for a region like IGP, that has very high background levels of pollution.
Two important meteorological parameters- 2m temperature (Fig. 6) and accumulated precipitation (Fig. 7) are discussed in the following paragraph. Sarkar et al. (2019) studied three different pre-monsoon dust storm cases of 2018, over northern India, and highlighted a significant drop in surface temperature after each event i.e., a net radiative cooling was observed. Moreover, they noted that a higher residence time of dust in the atmosphere can lead to mid-tropospheric as well a supper-tropospheric heating. In the present study, daily mean 2m air temperature indicates warming (36–38°C) over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, and some parts of Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh (Fig. 6a). Based on the weather reports (IMD, 2018; Outlook, 2018) for12-14 May 2018,the area experienced heat wave conditions in the preceding days, a high dust loading over Rajasthan (Fig. 3a-c), and heavy precipitation (in the form of squall and thunderstorm) due to the occurrence of a western disturbance (Fig. 7a,7b). This precipitation significantly cooled the atmosphere over northern India (Fig. 6b-e). On 14 May 2018, along with the widespread dust over northern India (Fig. 3c), the 2m air temperature (daily mean) is found to mostly remain lower than 34°C (Fig. 6c). In comparison, for the background reference period, the 2m air temperature remains higher(34–38°C), and moreover, some parts of IGP also note 2m air temperature over 42°C (Fig. 6f-h). The state of Rajasthan (including the Thar Desert) receives very less precipitation (IMD, 2011), and dust particles in sufficient quantity act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). Dust CCNs greatly affect cloud microphysics as well as rainfall patterns (Zhang et al., 2009). On 14 May 2018, with ‘high to excessive dust loading in the atmosphere, a greater number of CCNs are available, which could sufficiently aid in the occurrence of localized convection over south-eastern Rajasthan (shown in Fig. 7c). Even so, an overabundance of dust CCNs, over the remaining dust storm affected northern India, can, in turn, reduce the probability of precipitation. The local convective precipitation clouds can also dissipate due to strong winds, that were observed to blow over the region (IMD, 2018; Outlook, 2018) during this dust storm event. However, in the following two days of the dust storm event, scattered showers are observed (Fig. 7d,7e), indicating that a balance in CCN (not overabundance) and wind speed (not too strong) is important.
4.2. Dust storm progression
We plot the progression of the dust storm on 14 May 2018, on the basis ofthe 3-hourly average DCMD total over the region (Fig. 8). The 3-hourly average DCMD total is found to be many times higher (reaching over 3 g/m2) on the dust storm day (14 May 2018; Fig. 8), than on the dust background reference day (25 May 2018; Fig. 9), which mostly remains between 0.2–0.8 g/m2. The dust storm begins to evolve between 0030–0330 UTC in the Thar Desert (Fig. 8a,8b),and an elevated level of total dust loading in the air mass column (1–2 g/m2) is observed mainly over north-western Rajasthan, including Jodhpur city. The dust load is observed to significantly increase with time, and it spreads eastward, following the prevailing wind direction (and with the Himalayas acting as the topographic barrier in the north). At 0930 UTC, a considerable increase in DCMD total over Rajasthan, Haryana and Delhi is observed, indicative of theintensification of the dust storm (Fig. 8d). The dust storm continues to spread over to Uttar Pradesh, and by 2130 UTC the entire northern India shows a 3-hourly average DCMD total of over 1.5 g/m2 (Fig. 8d-h). Between 1530 UTC and 1830 UTC, DCMDtotal reaches a maximum of 3.9 g/m2.
We also show the hourly variation of DCMD total for Jodhpur, Rohtak, Delhi, and Lucknow sites (Fig. 10). The increased dust loading on 14 May 2018 can be clearly noted, against that on 25 May 2018. Prior (i.e., from 0030–0830 UTC)to the peak dust loading, Jodhpur city shows the highest level of DCMD total (Fig. 10a). However, at 0930 UTC, a sharp spike in DCMD total is noted over both- Rohtak and Delhi cities, just as the dust laden air-mass from Jodhpur city is carried over to northern India. In comparison, the dust loading over Lucknow city remains low and increases gradually over time. Interestingly, as DCMD total levels gradually lower over Jodhpur city, they tend to keep increasing over Rohtak, Delhi, and Lucknow cities. This atmospheric dust loading pattern (using DCMD total) depicts the spatiotemporal progression of the regional mass transport of dust particles over northern India. As dust particles in the air column deplete from the dust storm source (i.e., Thar Desert),they go on to accumulate at far away sites across northern India. In contrast, the background level of DCMD total remains fairly constant throughout the reference day over all the four cities (Fig. 10b).
4.3. Distribution of particulate matter and meteorological parameters
We calculated the mean ± standard deviation values (shown in Table 3) of particulate matter (PM10, and PM2.5; Table 2, S. No. 7–8) as well as of the meteorological variables (AT, RH, WS, and AP; Table 2, S. No. 9–12),and plotted the real-time observations for these variables (shown in Fig. 11) to show their distribution during the dust storm event (12–16 May 2018) and the background reference (24–26 May 2018). The ground-based weather station data (used for Table 3 and Fig. 11) is obtained for the four cities- Jodhpur, Rohtak, Delhi, and Lucknow, which are representative of the states of Rajasthan, Haryana, NCT of Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh, respectively, in the larger north Indian region.
Table 3
Mean ± standard deviation calculated for particulate matter- PM10and PM2.5, and meteorological parameters-air temperature (AT), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (WS), and atmospheric pressure (AP) for the four cities- Jodhpur (Rajasthan), Rohtak (Haryana), Delhi (NCT of Delhi), and Lucknow (Uttar Pradesh), during the (a) dust storm event (12–16 May 2018),and (b) background reference period (24–26 May 2018).
(a) Dust storm event
|
|
PM10 (µg/m3)
|
PM2.5 (µg/m3)
|
AT (oC)
|
RH (%)
|
WS (m/s)
|
AP (mmHg)
|
Jodhpur
|
298.8 ± 74.1
|
232.8 ± 34.2
|
38.8 ± 2.9
|
35.7 ± 5.3
|
1.16 ± 0.4
|
755.5 ± 1.9
|
Rohtak
|
NA
|
98.1 ± 66.5
|
27.6 ± 5
|
58.6 ± 4
|
1.22 ± 0.5
|
978.9 ± 1.7
|
Delhi
|
250.9 ± 108.3
|
91.6 ± 45.1
|
32.7 ± 4.7
|
62.1 ± 6.1
|
1.37 ± 0.6
|
874.5 ± 36
|
Lucknow
|
NA
|
102.5 ± 71.9
|
32.1 ± 4.1
|
57.5 ± 10.7
|
0.86 ± 0.3
|
1003 ± 2.7
|
(b) Background reference period
|
Jodhpur
|
227.2 ± 41.1
|
117.5 ± 26.9
|
39.7 ± 3.5
|
28.4 ± 3.3
|
1 ± 0.5
|
760.5 ± 4.7
|
Rohtak
|
NA
|
59.6 ± 40
|
31.8 ± 5.2
|
53.1 ± 1.8
|
0.6 ± 0.3
|
976.1 ± 1.4
|
Delhi
|
341.8 ± 109.8
|
118 ± 52.7
|
34.8 ± 5.4
|
50.5 ± 4.3
|
7.4 ± 0.1
|
737.2 ± 0.3
|
Lucknow
|
NA
|
180.2 ± 77.8
|
36.5 ± 4.5
|
34.1 ± 20.1
|
0.8 ± 0.5
|
998.4 ± 1.8
|
*Note- Data for PM10 concentrations was unavailable for Rohtak and Lucknow cities during both- the dust storm event and the background reference period.
|
Table 4
Daily average DCMD total and AOD over the four cities- Jodhpur (Rajasthan), Rohtak (Haryana), Delhi (NCT of Delhi), and Lucknow (Uttar Pradesh) for the dust storm day (14 May 2018) and the background reference day (25 May 2018).
|
Dust storm day
|
Background reference day
|
|
DCMD (g/m2)
|
AOD
|
DCMD (g/m2)
|
AOD
|
Jodhpur
|
1.85
|
0.69
|
0.44
|
0.29
|
Rohtak
|
2.27
|
1.34
|
0.38
|
0.34
|
Delhi
|
2.26
|
1.20
|
0.41
|
0.43
|
Lucknow
|
1.13
|
0.71
|
0.46
|
0.52
|
During the dust storm event (Table 3a),amongst all cities, Jodhpur (Rajasthan)was observed to have the highest average concentration of PM10 (298.8 ± 74.1 µg/m3) and PM2.5 (232.8 ± 34.2 µg/m3).This is similar to the elevated level of DCMD found at the onset of the dust storm event (Fig. 3, 4, 8, 10) in Rajasthan. The re-suspension of both- coarse and fine dust particles, from the Thar Desert (dust source), is attributed to the observed highest PM concentration in Jodhpur (Rajasthan). Interestingly, unlike the DCMD levels during the background reference day, which remained low for all four cities (Table 4; Fig. 10), the mean concentration of PM10 (341.8 ± 109.8 µg/m3) and PM2.5 (118 ± 52.7 µg/m3) is found to be the highest in Delhi, and is noted to even surpass the highest PM concentrations during the dust storm event (Table 3b). Simultaneously, the daily average DCMD total and daily average AOD, extracted over the four cities- Jodhpur, Rohtak, Delhi, and Lucknow (Table 4), show a multi-fold increase in both DCMD total and AOD on 14 May 2018 (i.e., dust storm day) as compared to the significantly low background values estimated on 25 May 2018. During the dust event, AOD is found to be higher in cities having maximum dust loading i.e., Rohtak and Delhi.
We highlight the role of extremely high local pollution in Delhi, from sources such as, industrial and vehicular emissions (Sonwani et al., 2021), as well as, emissions from urban built-up area construction and road/ rail infrastructure development-based activities (Jain et al., 2016; Jain, 2022b),in causing elevated PM at the ground measurement levels. In Table 3a, significantly higher temperature (38.8 ± 2.9°C) and low relative humidity (35.7 ± 5.3%),noted over Jodhpur (Rajasthan) than the other three cities, create favorable conditions (low-pressure zone and a less probability of local convection) for the lifting of dust from the Thar Desert and the occurrence of the dust storm in the larger north Indian region. The 24-h National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for PM10, and PM2.5 are prescribed as 100 and 60 µg/m3, respectively. Much like the significantly increased DCMD levels during the dust storm event, the PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations for all the four cities were found to exceed the prescribed NAAQS limits. For Jodhpur and Delhi, the PM10 concentrations were found to be ~ 3 times, and ~ 2.5 times, higher than NAAQS limits, and in case of PM2.5 concentrations, they were found to be ~ 4 times, and ~ 1.5 times, higher than NAAQS limits, respectively. Similarly, during the background reference period, all the cities were noted to cross the prescribed NAAQS limits for PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations, indicating high levels of background pollution in the lower levels of the atmosphere in northern India and the IGP. We note high levels of the PM10inthe afternoon and evening hours, as compared to night and early morning hours, in the four cities during the dust storm event (Fig. 11a).A peak in the PM10concentrations was observed during the hours of the dust storm event, followed by a sharp decrease which could be attributed to precipitation led wet deposition. Similar observations were also reported by Sarkar et al. (2019). On the other hand, the PM2.5 concentrations were found to be more during morning hours, coincident with the highest vehicular emissions arising during peak congested traffic hours (0700 to 1000 local time), a major contributor of PM2.5 in cities. Crop residue burning in mid-May (after the rabi crop season harvest), in the northern Indian states of Punjab and Haryana, is another major source of PM2.5 emissions that further degrades the air quality of the region during this time (Saxena et al., 2021). Overall, a significant worsening (DCMD total and AOD and observations over the air column) of the already poor air quality (background PM10 and PM2.5 observations) during the pre-monsoon dust storm event, at the four important cities of northern India (and the IGP) is observed in the present study.
4.4. NOAA HYSPLIT forward trajectories
Since the Thar Desert in India is spread into a large area of the state of Rajasthan, we selected three different locations- 1) Latitude/ Longitude: 27.4695°N, 70.6217°E, 2)Latitude/ Longitude: 26.9093°N, 70.9123°E, and 3)Latitude/ Longitude: 26.2389°N, 73.0243°E, asthe dust sources. The selection of these locations was based on the hotspots of the highest average DCMD total (Fig. 3c, 8) identified in the Thar Desert region, on the day of the dust storm event (14 May 2018). The NOAA HYSPLIT model was run, and we mapped the 72-hour forward propagation trajectories from these three selected dust source locations. For the case of the dust storm event, the 72-hour forward trajectories were set to begin from 14 May 2018 0000 UTC (Fig. 12a), and for the background reference period from 25 May 2018 0000 UTC (Fig. 12b). In Fig. 12, the air-mass trajectories for both events are shown at100m, 500m, and 1000m AGL.
A major difference in the air-mass movements in the case of the dust storm and the background reference period are noted. The 72-hour forward trajectories show that the dust laden air-masses originating from the Thar Desert on 14 May 2018, had the highest probability of reaching the neighbouring north Indian region and the IGP (Fig. 12a), causing a widespread dust storm event in the states of Haryana, Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh (Fig. 2–4). In contrast, most of the trajectories originating from the three dust sources on 25 May 2018 move towards central India, and do not reach over to the north Indian states of Haryana, Delhi or Uttar Pradesh. This is evident from the clear skies witnessed over northern India from the MODIS satellite image (Fig. 2b) and also from the low background dust levels from the DCMD plots (Fig. 3,4). The potential transport distance of dust particles increases with the height of the starting point (Aili et al., 2021).Our study also shows long-range transport of the air masses at 500m AGL and 1000m AGL, as compared to those at 100m AGL. This indicates a long-range, upper-level dust particle transport in northern India during the dust storm event (14 May 2018).These inferences are corroborated by the presence of high (low) air column DCMD total during the dust storm event (background reference period) over Jodhpur, Rohtak, Delhi, and Lucknow cities, as well as, the observed PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations at these monitoring ground level stations discussed in the previous subsection.
4.5. Local spatial correlation
Similar to linear statistical correlation, local spatial correlation values that are closer to 1 (-1) indicate a strong positive (negative) correlation between the considered variables and values closer to 0 are indicative of no relationship of statistical significance. Local spatial correlations need to be backed with proven theoretical causations in order to understand the dust storm dynamics. We note a significantly high local spatial correlation (> 0.5) between DCMD total and AOD for both- the dust storm day (14 May 2018) and the background reference day (25 May 2018). This implies that a high (low) column density of dust is associated with a high (low) AOD in the region (Fig. 13a, 13b). However, AOD is not solely dependent on dust loading, and other factors such as air pollution are also significant. This could be one of the reasons why some regions show a high AOD on the background reference day, despite low dust loading, thus resulting in a negative local spatial correlation over those regions(Fig. 13b).
In general, temperature and precipitation are inversely correlated with each other. The same is noted in Fig. 13 (c, d) for daily mean 2m air temperature and accumulated precipitation, respectively. In the case of accumulated precipitation and DCMD total (Fig. 13e, 13f), we find a significant negative local spatial correlation, especially for the dust storm event (14 May 2018). Simply put, if there is a precipitation event it will lead to significant scavenging of dust particles (i.e., lowering of DCMD total) present in the overlying atmosphere. On 14 May 2018, there was abundant dust availability in the air column and no major precipitation event occurred. It is noted that the algorithm used for computing local spatial correlations able to capture the intricate and complex spatial associations between dust loading and localized precipitation over the south-eastern part of Rajasthan. This positive and high correlation region is shown as the dark red region in Fig. 13e. Furthermore, we estimate the association between fine dust loading (DCMD PM2.5) with wind speed. Fine dust (PM2.5) has a higher residence time in the atmosphere and is there for preferred over DCMD (total dust loading in the air column), while computing the association with wind speeds. We note a high variability in the local spatial correlation of these two variables (Fig. 13g, 13h). Similarly, 2m air temperature and AOD also show a high local variability in the spatial correlation (Fig. 13i, 13j). This could be in part due to differences of local characteristics, air pollution emission differences, multi-factorial feedbacks of land air-interactions, and the other complex atmospheric dynamics at play. In general, local spatial correlation proved to be a very useful tool in assessing the local associations of meteorological parameters and helped to better understand the dust storm event.