Our method can infer slow variances in millistrain over days to fast changes of strain-rate fronts propagating at 2.5 m/hour from low frequency DAS data. This new capability enables landslide monitoring on spatiotemporal scales that are currently poorly understood. We can distinguish kinematic zones which vary over time to support landslide hazard assessments41. For example, the motion characteristics of slower soil-creep events are discerned from more rapid flow-surge events. Importantly, this addresses existing limitations of state-of-the-art remote sensing technologies such as ground-based interferometry and Doppler radar15 which lack temporal resolution and sensitivity to small displacements. Therefore, our DAS-based method can provide crucial information for landslide early-warning applications.
The initial strain change is observed at the northeast corner of the array at the location of the main scarp. This is likely a result of the main scarp providing a direct rainfall-infiltration pathway to the near-surface cable. Similar to the observations described by 42, rainfall-induced saturation of the soil at the depth of the cable is believed to decrease the friction between the cable and surrounding ground, resulting in a small decrease in strain. Although the strain-rate changes show visible activity at the scarp, the overall change in strain in the northeast corner of the array remains negligible in this early period in comparison with the maximum strain changes occurring after sustained rainfall. This highlights a major advantage of using strain-rate data alongside strain to help distinguish the onset of changes. For landslide early-warning applications, DAS strain rates (and the inferred velocities) could become an important tool to enable monitoring over broad temporal and spatial scales 3,15,43.
Following the onset of strain, development of a rupture zone to the south of the scarp becomes apparent. We do not observe a continuous propagation of strain between the location of the scarp and the initial zone of rupture (Fig. 4 at 2021-01-14T10:00). This is likely a result of our interpreted rotational slip-surface geometry, where the greatest observed tensile strains at the near-surface cable are expected to occur where the slip surface intersects with the cable. We observe compressive strains at the toe of the interpreted rotational failure, followed by tensile strain at the scarp, suggesting retrogression of the slope. As the slide retrogresses towards the scarp, the strain between these two locations increases as expected with our conceptual model (Fig. 4 at 2021-01-14T15:00). The tensile and compressive strains at the main rupture zone indicate likely slip surface entry and exit points. Overall, the distribution of positive and negative strains aligns with our interpretation of the main landslide processes.
The complex spatiotemporal patterns represent an important insight into landslide behaviour occurring over shorter timescales, as our results represent activity over a three-day period. The spatiotemporal DAS images and complementary geotechnical data support our interpretation of the sequential occurrence of events and active areas of movement. The DAS data reveal changes in displacement of < 1 mm that correlate with ShapeArray data, further highlighting how DAS data can complement slope monitoring networks. Our observations are consistent with earlier studies34,35 that demonstrate the influence of seasonal precipitation on slope movement. A longer data acquisition period is recommended to understand how the strain-rate patterns evolve over longer time periods (i.e., months to years) (Fig. S3).
Distributed fiber optic sensing (DFOS) technologies are primarily sensitive to changes occurring along the axial direction of the optical fiber. As such, strain changes along a slip surface at depth (where the direction of movement is not aligned with the cable) could be masked. This raises a significant consideration for the cable installation geometry in future experiments. Ideally, the cable should be aligned for maximum sensitivity with changes (parallel to the direction of slope movement). Additional cable geometries, orthogonal to the direction of slope movement, could also be used to support characterization of multi-directional landslide movement patterns. For rotational failure surfaces, the DAS sensitivity to strain changes will vary dependent on the difference in angle between the slip surface and the cable. However, others 40,44 have shown that DFOS can still be used successfully to detect and monitor the development of landslide shear zones over time, even in situations where the shear zone is perpendicular to the cable (e.g., when the cable is installed down a borehole). Future research should investigate the effect of cable geometry on the detectable strain thresholds. Regardless, our experiment demonstrates the valuable insights gleaned from a near-surface trench installation.
We assume the cable is relatively well coupled to the ground for the entirety of the acquisition period, except for the flow-lobe activity where superficial material flows over the cable (Results and Fig. S1). A laboratory-scale failure with a distributed strain sensing technology demonstrates the different phases of strain detection 42. The authors highlight a period of partial coupling followed by full decoupling to illustrate how the strain is no longer representative of the ground strain following decoupling. As the Hollin Hill site does not undergo a major failure (the ~ 1 mm of deformation is relatively minor in comparison with earlier and subsequent movements, Fig. S3), we believe our assumptions of good coupling between the cable and the surrounding ground over the acquisition period are reasonable. Furthermore, the steady strains observed at most channels support our claim of negligible slippage or decoupling. However, pullout experiments could support future experiments and monitoring activities with DAS by providing an estimate of the maximum strain that can be experienced by the cable prior to likely decoupling, as demonstrated in 42. Our comparison with nearby ShapeArray instrumentation provide us with a simplified approach to estimating the strain transfer between the optical fiber and surrounding formation. In general, the displacement magnitudes from the ShapeArray instrumentation are twice the magnitudes of inferred displacement from the nearby DAS channels. This relationship between ground displacement from ShapeArray instrumentation and DAS inferred displacement can be extended to estimate a strain transfer of 0.5, under the assumption of similar coupling throughout the fiber optic cable array.
As the velocity of slow-moving landslides can vary significantly over both time and space, an effective landslide monitoring system should be capable of capturing both longer-term changes in trend and the potential for accelerating conditions leading to a catastrophic failure over the landslide extents 3,15. Our work demonstrates the capabilities of DAS in resolving highly sensitive changes in both time and space to uncover landslide processes not previously known. Landslide forecasting methods commonly rely on displacement monitoring as the primary indicator to inform the time of failure 43,45–47. Although forecasting time to failure was outside the scope of this work, similar methods could also be applied using DAS strain and strain-rate data for landslide monitoring applications.
Over a three-day period encompassing high-intensity rainfall, we quantify the kinematics of the spatiotemporal landslide sequence from DAS strain and strain-rate changes. Our findings reveal landslide processes including strain onset, retrogression, and flow-lobe activity, with less than minute temporal resolution and nanostrain-rate sensitivity. Although this study relies on the low frequencies (< 1Hz) from a DAS dataset, DAS fiber-optic sensing also provides rich information at higher frequencies 22,23,48–50 which may enable further discoveries about landslides. This opens new research avenues to explore for landslide monitoring, by pairing seismic monitoring with the static strain-change monitoring we presented here. Since DAS monitoring of tens of kilometers of fibre is common, the method we presented could effectively complement existing remote sensing techniques and be employed in early warning systems due to its low computational cost and DAS systems’ ability to transmit data in real-time 25–27,51,52. Considering the increasing frequency of landslides driven by climate change 5,53, our DAS method could provide critical information for slope stability monitoring in densely populated areas.