Impact of Perioperative Chemotherapy on Survival Outcomes Among Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer to the Liver

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-410003/v1

Abstract

Introduction

While surgical resection for primary tumor and distant metastases is recommended among individuals with resectable colorectal liver metastases, the role and timing of perioperative systemic therapy is not yet defined.

Materials and Methods

The National Cancer Database was queried for patients diagnosed with metastatic colorectal adenocarcinoma with isolated liver metastases between 2004 and 2016. We evaluated the overall survival (OS) based on the perioperative chemotherapy status using Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable cox regression analyses.

Results

A total of 6,883 patients with metastatic CRC and liver metastases were included, within which 6,042 (87.8%) were treated with surgery and chemotherapy, and 841(12.2%) were treated with surgery only. We found that patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who were treated with surgery only (median OS 42.9 months vs 6.4 months, P<0.001). On multivariable analysis, chemotherapy was associated with better OS (HR 0.30; 95% CI: 0.275 - 0.328; P<0.001).

We also found that patients who received multiagent chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who received single-agent chemotherapy (median OS 43.7 months vs 36.1 months, P<0.001), patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy (median OS 48.6 months vs 38.6 months, P<0.001).

Conclusion

Patients with CRC with isolated liver metastases who were treated with perioperative chemotherapy had significant improvement in OS compared to patients who didn’t receive chemotherapy. Also, neoadjuvant chemotherapy had better OS compared to adjuvant chemotherapy, and multiagent chemotherapy had better OS compared to single-agent chemotherapy.

Article Highlights:

1. Introduction

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most commonly diagnosed malignancy in the United States and the world and the second leading cause of cancer death in both sexes in 2020 in the United states13. Because the majority of the intestinal mesenteric drainage enters the hepatic portal venous system, hepatic metastases develop in approximately half of all colorectal cancer cases with nearly one-fifth to one-quarter of newly diagnosed metastatic colorectal cancer patients present with liver metastases at the time of primary diagnosis2,4. Surgical resection alone is the cornerstone of treatment for patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer in whom there is at least a one in six chance of cure after hepatectomy and apparent clinical cure is achieved in those who survive 10 years57. In the past 15–20 years, Profound improvements in outcomes of metastatic CRC resulted in more than a doubling of the 5-year survival4,8,9. Although new treatment options have doubled overall survival (OS) for advanced disease, survival is still best for those with non-metastatic disease10. While the role of surgical resection is established in metastatic disease to the liver, the potential benefit from peri-operative chemotherapy remains unclear6,11. While some studies have shown that perioperative chemotherapy with surgery reduced the risk of progression-free survival events at 3-years in patients with resectable liver metastases12, others concluded that preoperative chemotherapy did not prolong survival with colorectal cancer and resectable or marginally resectable liver metastasis13. Also, there’s a lack of data in assessing the impact of timing of perioperative chemotherapy on survival (pre- versus post-operative), as well as in comparing the effect of single-agent vs multiagent chemotherapy on survival. We studied the survival outcomes of patients with CRC with liver metastases who underwent surgical management alone vs combined surgery and chemotherapy based on a real-world cohort. In addition to that, we assessed the effect of timing of chemotherapy on survival among patients who received chemotherapy and compared the OS between patients who received single-agent and patients who received multiagent chemotherapy as the first line of chemotherapy

2. Patients And Methods

2.1. Data source

The National Cancer Database (NCDB) is a nationwide database supported by the Commission on Cancer (CoC) of the American College of Surgeons and the American Cancer Society. About 70% of all cancer cases diagnosed in the United States from more than 1,500 cancer centers are included in this database. Details of patients’ demographics, malignancy staging, and histological characteristics in addition to treatment and outcome information are provided in this database14. The CoC's NCDB and the hospitals participating in the CoC’s NCDB are the sources of the de-identified data used herein; they have not verified and are not responsible for the statistical validity of the data analysis or the conclusions derived by the authors of the current study.

After we obtained the approval on our proposed protocol and the letter of support from the cancer committee chair at Cleveland Clinic, the NCDB was queried for patients diagnosed with metastatic colorectal adenocarcinoma between 2004 and 2016. Survival follow-up for the studied cohort is available till December 2016. It’s worth mentioning that the metastatic status provided in the database is related to the status at the time of the diagnosis. NCDB doesn’t provide the details about the possible non-metastatic cases that subsequently developed metastatic disease.

2.2. Patient selection

For our study, we selected the patients who were diagnosed with metastatic colorectal adenocarcinoma with liver metastases at age of 18 or older. We excluded patients with metastases to other sites other than the liver. Patients who didn’t have radical surgical resection to the primary tumor and/or didn’t have surgery to distant metastatic sites were also excluded in addition to patients with unknown chemotherapy status. Also, we excluded patients who lost follow up which are defined by patients with missing details about their last contact status as alive or dead, and those with missing information about their time from diagnosis to the last contact.

2.3. Variables

Using the NCDB, we included the following patient demographic variables: Age, gender, race, median income, education level, insurance status, facility type (which includes community cancer program, comprehensive community cancer program, academic/research program, and integrated network cancer program) in addition to the geographic area which was classified as metropolitan, urban or rural location. Also, we collected the following disease-related variables: clinical tumor and nodal categories based on American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging, microsatellite instability (MSI) status, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score, and chemotherapy status.

2.4. Outcome

The primary outcome of this study was overall survival (OS) in months defined as the time from diagnosis to the time of death for any reason.

2.5. Statistical analysis

We compared the baseline demographics and characteristics between patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy versus patients who were treated with surgery only using the Pearson Chi-square test.

For OS comparisons, we split the cohort into two separate groups according to the type of treatment the patients received, the first group who was treated with surgery and chemotherapy and the second group who was treated with surgery only. Then, we compared the OS between the two groups. Moreover, we conducted additional OS comparisons (limited to patients who received perioperative chemotherapy) between patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy versus neoadjuvant chemotherapy; and between patients who received single-agent versus multiagent chemotherapy.

OS analyses were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier survival method. A log-rank test was used to evaluate survival differences between groups. We used Cox regression analysis to conduct multivariable analyses to evaluate the factors associated with improved OS; hazard ratios (HRs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CI) were accordingly generated, statistical significance was defined as a P value less than 0.05 for all analyses. The following factors were included in the multivariable model: facility type, age, gender, race, median household income, education level, insurance status, area, Charlson score, clinical T stage, clinical N stage, MSI status, and chemotherapy use.

All the above statistical analyses were performed using the SPSS Statistics 27.0

To further reduce any potential biases related to the variation in baseline characteristics between the patient group that received chemotherapy and the one that didn’t receive chemotherapy, we used nearest neighbor, 1:1, propensity score matching using RStudio Version 1.3.1093 (MA, USA).

As a sensitivity analysis, we repeated all the above analyses after excluding patients who died within 90 days of the most definitive primary site surgery (to eliminate the effect of post-surgical complication-related mortality on overall survival).

To further examine the impact of MSI status on the above survival analyses, we repeated the above survival analyses among patients with MSI-H versus those with MSI-L status.

3. Results

3.1. Baseline characteristics

Figure-1 provides a flowchart for patient selection within the current study. We ended up with 6,883 patients with metastatic CRC and liver metastases; 6,042 (87.8%) were treated with surgery and chemotherapy and 841 (12.2%) were treated with surgery only. Compared to the surgery-only group, the perioperative group was likely to be younger (58 vs 70 years old), males (55.5% vs 47.4%), and had more MSI-L status (27.8% vs 16.6%). The baseline characteristics’ comparison between the two groups is summarized in Table 1.

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of metastatic CRC patients with liver metastases according to the treatment modality as found in the National Cancer Database between 2010 and 2016

Characteristics

All cases (N=6,883)

Surgery only (N=841) (12.2%)

Surgery and chemotherapy (N=6,042) (87.8%)

P value and test

Mean age in years

59.54 ± 13.05

70.28 ± 12.92

58.04 ± 12.35

<0.001 T-test

Sex

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

Female

3,130 (45.5%)

442 (52.6%)

2,688 (44.5%)

 

Male

3,753 (54.5%)

399 (47.4%)

3,354 (55.5%)

 

Race

 

 

 

0.062; Chi-square

White

5,682 (82.6%)

672 (79.9%)

5,010 (82.9%)

 

African American

826 (12.0%)

124 (14.7%)

702 (11.6%)

 

Others

329 (4.8%)

38 (4.5%)

291 (4.8%)

 

Unknown

46 (0.7%)

7 (0.8%)

39 (0.6%)

 

Facility type

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

Community cancer program

443 (6.4%)

87 (10.3%)

356 (5.9%)

 

Comprehensive Community Cancer Program

2,015 (29.3%)

361 (42.9%)

1,654 (27.4%)

 

Academic/Research Program

3,158 (45.9%)

244 (29.0%)

2,914 (48.2%)

 

Integrated Network Cancer Program

835 (12.1%)

134 (15.9%)

701 (11.6%)

 

Unknown

432 (6.3%)

15 (1.8%)

417 (6.9%)

 

Median household income 2012-2016

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

Less than $40,227

1,188 (17.3%)

186 (22.1%)

1,002 (16.6%)

 

$40,227 - $50,353

1,501 (21.8%)

199 (23.7%)

1,302 (21.5%)

 

$50,354- $63,332

1,567 (22.8%)

193 (22.9%)

1,374 (22.7%)

 

$63,333+

2,539 (36.9%)

254 (30.2%)

2,285 (37.8%)

 

Unknown

88 (1.3%)

9 (1.1%)

79 (1.3%)

 

Education level 2012-2016 (percentage of not graduated from high school)

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

17.6% or more

1,237 (18.0%)

217 (25.8%)

1,020 (16.9%)

 

10.9% - 17.5%

1,803 (26.2%)

246 (29.3%)

1,557 (25.8%)

 

6.3%-10.8%

2,017 (29.3%)

202 (24.0%)

1,815 (30.0%)

 

Less than 6.3%

1,753 (25.5%)

171 (20.3%)

1,582 (26.2%)

 

Unknown

73 (1.1%)

5 (0.6%)

68 (1.1%)

 

Insurance status

 

 

 

0.384; Chi-square

No

225 (3.3%)

34 (4.0%)

191 (3.2%)

 

Yes

6,567 (95.4%)

795 (94.5%)

5,772 (95.5%)

 

Unknown

91 (1.3%)

12 (1.4%)

79 (1.3%)

 

Area

 

 

 

0.237; Chi-square

Metro counties

 5,545(80.6%)

697 (82.9%)

4,848 (80.2%)

 

Rural counties

137 (2.0%)

17 (2.0%)

120 (2.0%)

 

Urban counties

1,031 (15.0%)

112 (13.3%)

919 (15.2%)

 

Unknown

170 (2.5%)

15 (1.8%)

155 (2.6%)

 

Clinical T stage

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

T0

18 (0.3%)

1 (0.1%)

17 (0.3%)

 

T1

316 (4.6%)

36 (4.3%)

280 (4.6%)

 

T2

208 (3.0%)

17 (2.0%)

191 (3.2%)

 

T3

1,617 (23.5%)

135 (16.1%)

1,482 (24.5%)

 

T4

621 (9.0%)

115 (13.7%)

506 (8.4%)

 

Tis

15 (0.2%)

0 (0.0%)

15 (0.2%)

 

Unknown

4,088 (59.4%)

537 (63.9%)

3,551 (58.8%)

 

Clinical N stage

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

N0

2,732 (39.7%)

329 (39.1%)

2,403 (39.8%)

 

N1

1,694 (24.6%)

166 (19.7%)

1,528 (25.3%)

 

N2

684 (9.9%)

98 (11.7%)

586 (9.7%)

 

Unknown

1,773 (25.8%)

248 (29.5%)

1,525 (25.2%)

 

MSI status

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

MSI-H

208 (3.0%)

30 (3.6%)

178 (2.9%)

 

MSI-L

1,818 (26.4%)

140 (16.6%)

1,678 (27.8%)

 

Unknown

4,857 (70.6%)

671 (79.8%)

4,186 (69.3%)

 

Charlson-Deyo score

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

0

5,325 (77.4%)

523 (62.2%)

4,802 (79.5%)

 

1

1,207 (17.5%)

220 (26.2%)

987 (16.3%)

 

2

258 (3.7%)

71 (8.4%)

187 (3.1%)

 

3

93 (1.4%)

27 (3.2%)

66 (1.1%)

 

 

Next, in our sensitivity analysis, we excluded all patients who died within 90 days of most definitive primary site surgery (N = 550), which left us with 6,333 patients; 5,834 (92.1%) who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy, and 499 (7.9%) who were treated with surgery only. The baseline characteristics’ comparison between the two groups is summarized in Table 2.

Table 2

Baseline characteristics of metastatic CRC patients with liver metastases according to the treatment modality after excluding patients with 90-day mortality of most definitive primary site surgery as found in the National Cancer Database between 2010 and 2016

Characteristics

All cases (N=6,333)

Surgery only (N=499) (7.9%)

Surgery and chemotherapy (N=5,834) (92.1%)

P value and test

Mean age in years

58.90 ± 12.83

69.47 ± 13.34

57.99 ± 12.38

<0.001 T-test

Sex

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

Female

2,882 (45.5%)

274 (54.9%)

2,608 (44.7%)

 

Male

3,451 (54.5%)

225 (45.1%)

3,226 (55.3%)

 

Race

 

 

 

0.256; Chi-square

White

5,242 (82.8%)

401 (80.4%)

4,841 (83.0%)

 

African American

743 (11.7%)

68 (13.6%)

675 (11.6%)

 

Others

304 (4.8%)

24 (4.8%)

280 (4.8%)

 

Unknown

44 (0.7%)

6 (1.2%)

38 (0.7%)

 

Facility type

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

Community cancer program

387 (6.1%)

42 (8.4%)

345 (5.9%)

 

Comprehensive Community Cancer Program

1,798 (28.4%)

200 (40.1%)

1,598 (27.4%)

 

Academic/Research Program

2,987 (47.2 %)

171 (34.3%)

2,816 (48.3%)

 

Integrated Network Cancer Program

742 (11.7%)

73 (14.6%)

669 (11.5%)

 

Unknown

419 (6.6%)

13 (2.6%)

406 (7.0%)

 

Median household income 2012-2016

 

 

 

0.002; Chi-square

Less than $40,227

1,073 (16.9%)

105 (21.0%)

968 (16.6%)

 

$40,227 - $50,353

1,377 (21.7%)

122 (24.4%)

1,255 (21.5%)

 

$50,354- $63,332

1,439 (22.7%)

119 (23.8%)

1,320 (22.6%)

 

$63,333+

2,362 (37.3%)

147 (29.5%)

2,215 (38.0%)

 

Unknown

82 (1.3%)

6 (1.2%)

76 (1.3%)

 

Education level 2012-2016 (percentage of not graduated from high school)

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

17.6% or more

1,116 (17.6%)

128 (25.7%)

988 (16.9%)

 

10.9% - 17.5%

1,646 (26.0%)

145 (29.1%)

1,501 (25.7%)

 

6.3%-10.8%

1,866 (29.5%)

117 (23.4%)

1,749 (30.0%)

 

Less than 6.3%

1,637 (25.8%)

106 (21.2%)

1,531 (26.2%)

 

Unknown

68 (1.1%)

3 (0.6%)

65 (1.1%)

 

Insurance status

 

 

 

0.581; Chi-square

No

200 (3.2%)

19 (3.8%)

181 (3.1%)

 

Yes

6,049 (95.5%)

472 (94.6%)

5,577 (95.6%)

 

Unknown

84 (1.3%)

8 (1.6%)

76 (1.3%)

 

Area

 

 

 

0.470; Chi-square

Metro counties

 5,095(80.5%)

411 (82.4%)

4,684 (80.3%)

 

Rural counties

129 (2.0%)

12 (2.4%)

117 (2.0%)

 

Urban counties

952 (15.0%)

67 (13.4%)

885 (15.2%)

 

Unknown

157 (2.5%)

9 (1.8%)

148 (2.5%)

 

Clinical T stage

 

 

 

0.002; Chi-square

T0

14 (0.2%)

0 (0.0%)

14 (0.2%)

 

T1

298 (4.7%)

25 (5.0%)

273 (4.7%)

 

T2

199 (3.1%)

14 (2.8%)

185 (3.2%)

 

T3

1,516 (23.9%)

86 (17.2%)

1,430 (24.5%)

 

T4

540 (8.5%)

59 (11.8%)

481 (8.2%)

 

Tis

13 (0.2%)

0 (0.0%)

13 (0.2%)

 

Unknown

3,753 (59.3%)

315 (63.1%)

3,438 (58.9%)

 

Clinical N stage

 

 

 

0.008; Chi-square

N0

2,535 (40.0%)

219 (43.9%)

2,316 (39.7%)

 

N1

1,577 (24.9%)

100 (20.0%)

1,477 (25.3%)

 

N2

607 (9.6%)

37 (7.4%)

570 (9.8%)

 

Unknown

1,614 (25.5%)

143 (28.7%)

1,471 (25.2%)

 

MSI status

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

MSI-H

192 (3.0%)

20 (4.0%)

172 (2.9%)

 

MSI-L

1,718 (27.1%)

92 (18.4%)

1,626 (27.9%)

 

Unknown

4,423 (69.8%)

387 (77.6%)

4,036 (69.2%)

 

Charlson-Deyo score

 

 

 

<0.001; Chi-square

0

5,325 (77.4%)

523 (62.2%)

4,802 (79.5%)

 

1

1,207 (17.5%)

220 (26.2%)

987 (16.3%)

 

2

258 (3.7%)

71 (8.4%)

187 (3.1%)

 

3

93 (1.4%)

27 (3.2%)

66 (1.1%)

 

 

 

3.2. Survival outcome

3.2.1. The entire cohort

We compared the OS between patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy versus patients who were treated with surgery only and found that patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who were treated with surgery only (median OS 42.9 months vs 6.4 months, P < 0.001) as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (Fig. 2).

Propensity score matching yielded 1,682 patients for analysis: 841 patients in the no chemotherapy group and 841 patients in the chemotherapy group (supplementary figure A shows the histogram for raw data and matched data). Comparison of baseline characteristics between the groups after propensity score matching is shown in supplementary table A.

We compared the OS between patients who received chemotherapy versus patients who didn’t receive chemotherapy using Kaplan-Meier analysis on the propensity score-matched groups and found that patients who received chemotherapy had better OS than those who didn’t receive chemotherapy as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P < 0.001) (supplementary figure A).

3.2.2. Excluding patients who died within 90 days of most definitive primary site surgery

After excluding patients who died within 90 days of the most definitive primary site surgery, we compared the OS between patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy versus patients who were treated with surgery only. We found that patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who were treated with surgery only (median OS was 43.6 months vs 16.6 months, P < 0.001) as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (Fig. 3).

Propensity score matching yielded 998 patients for analysis: 499 patients in the no chemotherapy group and 499 patients in the chemotherapy group (supplementary figure B shows the histogram for raw data and matched data). Baseline characteristics comparison between the groups after propensity score matching is shown in supplementary table B.

We compared the OS between patients who received chemotherapy versus patients who didn’t receive chemotherapy using Kaplan-Meier analysis on the propensity score-matched groups and found that patients who received chemotherapy had better OS than those who didn’t receive chemotherapy as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P < 0.001) (supplementary figure B).

3.2.3. Subgroup analysis among patients who received chemotherapy

3.2.3.1. Single vs Multiagent chemotherapy

After including only patients who received chemotherapy and excluding patients with the unknown number of chemotherapy agents they received, we compared the OS between patients who received single-agent chemotherapy and patients who received multiagent chemotherapy. We found patients who received multiagent chemotherapy had statistically significant better OS compared to patients who received single-agent chemotherapy (median OS was 43.7 months vs 36.1 months, P < 0.001) as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (Fig. 4).

Propensity score matching yielded 958 patients for analysis: 479 patients received single-agent chemotherapy and 479 patients received multiagent chemotherapy. We compared the OS between patients who received single-agent chemotherapy and patients who received multiagent chemotherapy using Kaplan-Meier analysis on the propensity score-matched groups and found that patients who received multiagent chemotherapy had statistically significant better OS compared to patients who received single-agent chemotherapy as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P < 0.001) (supplementary figure C).

3.2.3.2. Adjuvant vs neoadjuvant chemotherapy

After excluding patients who did not received chemotherapy and with unknown time duration between diagnosis and surgery and time duration between diagnosis and chemotherapy, we compared the OS between patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy versus patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. We found patients were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy had statistically significant better OS compared to patients were treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (median OS was 48.6 months vs 38.6 months, P < 0.001) as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (Fig. 5).

Propensity score matching yielded 4428 patients for analysis: 2214 patients received chemotherapy before surgery and 2214 patients received chemotherapy after surgery. We compared the OS between patients who received chemotherapy before surgery and patients who received chemotherapy after surgery using Kaplan-Meier analysis on the propensity score-matched groups and we found that patients who received chemotherapy before surgery had statistically significant better OS compared to patients who received chemotherapy after surgery as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P < 0.001) (supplementary figure D).

3.2.3.3. Subgroup analysis according to MSI status

3.2.3.3.1. Chemotherapy and surgery vs surgery only

After excluding patients with unknown MSI status, we ended up with 2,026 metastatic CRC patients with liver metastases and known MSI status. We split the patients into two groups according to the MSI status: MIS-H group and MSI-L group, then we compared the OS between patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy versus patients who were treated with surgery only in each MSI group. We found that patients who were treated with surgery and chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who were treated with surgery only in both MSI-H and MSI-L groups as illustrated in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (supplementary figure E).

3.2.3.3.2. Single vs Multiagent chemotherapy

After excluding patients with unknown MSI status, we ended up with 1,789 metastatic CRC patients with liver metastases and known MSI status who received chemotherapy with a known number of chemotherapy agents they received. We split the patients into two groups according to the MSI status: MIS-H group and MSI-L group, then we compared the OS between patients who received single-agent chemotherapy and patients who received multiagent chemotherapy in each MSI group. In the MSI-L group, we found patients who received multiagent chemotherapy had statistically significant better OS compared to patients who received single-agent chemotherapy. Whereas in the MSI-H group, there was no difference in OS between the two treatment groups (supplementary figure F).

3.2.3.3.3. Adjuvant vs neoadjuvant chemotherapy

After excluding patients with unknown MSI status, we ended up with 1,755 metastatic CRC patients with liver metastases and known MSI status who received chemotherapy with known time from diagnosis to surgery and time from diagnosis to chemotherapy. We split the patients into two groups according to the MSI status: MSI-H group and MSI-L group, then we compared the OS between patients who received chemotherapy before surgery and patients who received chemotherapy after surgery in each MSI group. In the MSI-L group, we found patients who received chemotherapy before surgery had statistically significant better OS compared to patients who received chemotherapy after surgery. Whereas in the MSI-H group, there was no difference in OS between the two treatment groups (supplementary figure G).

3.3. Multivariable analysis

Multivariable analysis was done to assess factors affecting OS. In the entire cohort, factors associated with worse OS were older age (HR 1.021; 95% CI 1.018–1.025, P < 0.001), African American race compared to Caucasian race (HR 1.171; 95% CI 1.058–1.296, P = 0.002), not having insurance (HR 1.217; 95% CI 1.027–1.442, P = 0.024), clinical N1 and N2 stage compared to N0 stage (HR 1.224; 95% CI 1.122–1.335, P < 0.001 and HR 1.907; 95% CI 1.699–2.141, P < 0.001, respectively), community cancer program (HR for Academic/Research Program and Integrated Network Cancer Program compared to community cancer program was 0.625; 95% CI 0.549–0.712, P < 0.001 and HR 0.842; 95% CI 0.726–0.978, P = 0.024, respectively), higher Charlson-Deyo scores (HR for Charlson-Deyo scores 0 compared to the Charlson-Deyo score of 3 was 0.768; 95% CI 0.602–0.980, P = 0.034), MSI-high (HR for MSI-stable compared to MSI-high was 0.818; 95% CI 0.677–0.988, P = 0.037) and not receiving chemotherapy (HR for receiving chemotherapy compared to not receiving chemotherapy was 0.300; 95% CI 0.275–0.328, P < 0.001) (Table 3).

Table 3

Multivariate analysis for metastatic CRC patients with liver metasteses   

Variables

HR

95%CI

P value

Facility type

 

 

 

Community cancer program

Reference

 

 

Comprehensive Community Cancer Program

0.973

0.853 - 1.108

0.676

Academic/Research Program

0.625

0.549 - 0.712

 <0.001

Integrated Network Cancer Program

0.842

0.726 - 0.978

0.024

Unknown

1.140

0.931 - 1.395

0.204

Age

1.021

1.018 - 1.025

<0.001

Gender

 

 

 

Female

0.950

0.890 - 1.013

0.118

Male

Reference

 

 

Race

 

 

 

African American

1.171

1.058 - 1.296

0.002

Others

0.868

0.734 - 1.026

0.098

Unknown

0.571

0.363 - 0.898

0.015

White

Reference

 

 

Median household income 2012-2016

 

 

 

Less than $40,227

Reference

 

 

$40,227 - $50,353

1.020

0.917 - 1.136

0.710

$50,354- $63,332

0.972

0.867 - 1.089

0.620

$63,333+

0.892

0.787 - 1.011

0.074

Unknown

0.604

0.298 - 1.226

0.163

Education level 2012-2016 (percentage of not graduated from high school)

 

 

 

17.6% or more

Reference

 

 

10.9% - 17.5%

0.965

0.873 - 1.067

0.483

6.3%-10.8%

0.929

0.832 - 1.038

0.192

Less than 6.3%

0.965

0.850 - 1.095

0.579

Unknown

1.384

0.634 - 3.022

0.415

Insurance status

 

 

 

No

1.217

1.027 - 1.442

0.024

Unknown

0.982

0.740 - 1.303

0.900

Yes

Reference

 

 

Area

 

 

 

Metro counties

Reference

 

 

Rural counties

1.020

0.814 - 1.276

0.866

Urban counties

1.027

0.934 - 1.131

0.580

Unknown

1.089

0.886 - 1.338

0.417

Charlson score

 

 

 

0

0.768

0.602 - 0.980

0.034

1

0.830

0.646 - 1.067

0.145

2

1.109

0.837 - 1.468

0.471

3

Reference

 

 

Clinical T stage

 

 

 

T0

Reference

 

 

T1

0.591

0.311 - 1.122

0.108

T2

0.473

0.246 - 0.911

0.025

T3

0.475

0.253 - 0.889

0.020

T4

0.739

0.393 - 1.390

0.348

Tis

0.667

0.262 - 1.696

0.395

Unknown

0.626

0.335 - 1.170

0.142

Clinical N stage

 

 

 

N0

Reference

 

 

N1

1.224

1.122 - 1.335

<0.001

N2

1.907

1.699 - 2.141

<0.001

Unknown

1.325

1.219 - 1.440

<0.001

MSI status

 

 

 

High

Reference

 

 

stable

0.818

0.677 - 0.988

0.037

Unknown

0.833

0.695 - 0.999

0.49

Chemotherapy

 

 

 

NO

Reference

 

 

Yes

0.300

0.275 - 0.328

<0.001

  

In the sensitivity cohort (after excluding patients who died within 90 days of the most definitive primary site surgery), factors associated with worse OS were age (HR 1.021; 95% CI 1.018–1.025, P < 0.001), African American race compared to white race (HR 1.179; 95% CI 1.057–1.315, P = 0.003), community cancer program (HR for Academic/Research Program and Integrated Network Cancer Program compared to community cancer program was 0.664; 95% CI 0.576–0.766, P < 0.001 and HR 0.830; 95% CI 0.704–0.978, P = 0.026, respectively), clinical N1 and N2 stage compared to N0 stage (HR 1.206; 95% CI 1.100–1.322, P < 0.001 and HR 1.809; 95% CI 1.597–2.050, P < 0.001, respectively), and not receiving chemotherapy (HR for receiving chemotherapy compared to not receiving chemotherapy was 0.472; 95% CI 0.422–0.529, P < 0.001) (Table 4).

Table 4

Multivariate analysis for metastatic CRC patients with liver metastases after excluding patients with 90-day mortality of most definitive primary site surgery                                                                                              

Variables

HR

95%CI

P value

Facility type

 

 

 

Community cancer program

Reference

 

 

Comprehensive Community Cancer Program

1.012

0.877 - 1.169

0.867

Academic/Research Program

0.664

0.576 - 0.766

 <0.001

Integrated Network Cancer Program

0.830

0.704 - 0.978

0.026

Unknown

1.184

0.956 - 1.466

0.121

Age

1.021

1.018 - 1.025

<0.001

Gender

 

 

 

Female

0.974

0.910 - 1.044

0.459

Male

Reference

 

 

Race

 

 

 

African American

1.179

1.057 - 1.315

0.003

Others

0.890

0.746 - 1.061

0.194

Unknown

0.572

0.354 - 0.923

0.022

White

Reference

 

 

Median household income 2012-2016

 

 

 

Less than $40,227

Reference

 

 

$40,227 - $50,353

1.017

0.907 - 1.139

0.778

$50,354- $63,332

0.961

0.851 - 1.085

0.521

$63,333+

0.883

0.773 - 1.009

0.068

Unknown

0.659

0.310 - 1.403

0.280

Education level 2012-2016 (percentage of not graduated from high school)

 

 

 

17.6% or more

Reference

 

 

10.9% - 17.5%

0.967

0.868 - 1.077

0.540

6.3%-10.8%

0.927

0.824 - 1.043

0.207

Less than 6.3%

0.949

0.829 - 1.087

0.453

Unknown

1.225

0.533 - 2.813

0.632

Insurance status

 

 

 

No

1.179

0.981 - 1.418

0.079

Unknown

1.007

0.747 - 1.357

0.965

Yes

Reference

 

 

Area

 

 

 

Metro counties

Reference

 

 

Rural counties

1.037

0.821 - 1.311

0.758

Urban counties

1.028

0.929 - 1.138

0.596

Unknown

1.133

0.913 - 1.407

0.257

Charlson score

 

 

 

0

0.870

0.656 – 1.155

0.335

1

0.928

0.694 - 1.240

0.613

2

1.299

0.940 - 1.796

0.113

3

Reference

 

 

Clinical T stage

 

 

 

T0

Reference

 

 

T1

0.820

0.383 - 1.754

0.609

T2

0.652

0.301 - 1.413

0.279

T3

0.643

0.304 - 1.359

0.247

T4

0.981

0.462 - 2.083

0.960

Tis

0.844

0.295 - 2.416

0.752

Unknown

0.836

0.397 - 1.762

0.638

Clinical N stage

 

 

 

N0

Reference

 

 

N1

1.206

1.100 - 1.322

<0.001

N2

1.809

1.597 - 2.050

<0.001

Unknown

1.305

1.195 - 1.427

<0.001

MSI status

 

 

 

High

Reference

 

 

stable

0.820

0.670 - 1.002

0.053

Unknown

0.835

0.688 - 1.014

0.068

Chemotherapy

 

 

 

NO

Reference

 

 

Yes

0.472

0.422 - 0.529

<0.001

 

 

4. Discussion

To our knowledge, this is the largest real-world study that looked at the chemotherapy effect in metastatic CRC with only liver metastases who were treated with metastasectomy and compared the OS between patients who received perioperative chemotherapy versus patients treated with surgery only in addition to comparing the OS between adjuvant chemotherapy and neoadjuvant chemotherapy and comparing the OS between single-agent and multiagent chemotherapy.

Our study showed that patients with metastatic CRC with liver metastases who were treated with chemotherapy in addition to surgery had statistically significant better OS compared to patients who didn’t receive chemotherapy. Also, in the multivariable analysis, we found that chemotherapy was independently associated with better OS.

There is limited data about the role of perioperative chemotherapy in patients with liver metastases from CRC. Most of the studies had a small number of patients and were designed to evaluate the effect of chemotherapy on recurrence- and progression-free survival rather than overall survival. And the majority of the studies that evaluated the effect of chemotherapy on OS didn’t report a significant difference in the OS between patients who received perioperative chemotherapy and patients who didn’t.

Nordlinger et al. in a European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) trial based on 364 patients with metastatic CRC and up to four liver metastases, who were recruited from 78 hospitals from different European countries, compared the outcomes of 182 patients who received perioperative FOLFOX-4 chemotherapy to those of 182 patients who had surgery only. Initial results showed chemotherapy was associated with better 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) compared to surgical resection alone. After a median follow-up of 8·5 years, it was found that patients who received perioperative chemotherapy had a better median OS and 5-year OS, but it wasn’t statistically significant. There’re multiple factors in that study that could contribute to the lack of difference in the OS between the two groups. In addition to the small number of included patients, the study was designed with PFS being the primary endpoint whereas OS was a secondary endpoint. Also, the perioperative group had a higher number of non-cancer deaths compared to the surgery-only group12,15. Similarly, Portier et al. in the FFCD trial compared the outcomes between patients who had surgery only versus patients who had adjuvant chemotherapy with fluorouracil and folinic acid in 173 patients with liver metastases from CRC. They found that patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy had better 5-year OS, but it wasn’t statistically significant. Several factors could be behind this result, the study wasn’t designed with overall survival as an endpoint, also recurrences in both groups were treated by second-line chemotherapy, or by repeat liver resections, which influenced the natural history of the disease16. Hasegawa et al. in a randomized controlled trial, assigned 180 patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis into two groups; patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy with uracil-tegafur and leucovorin and patients who had had surgery only. They found that patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy had significantly reduced recurrence compared to the patients who had surgery only, but there was no difference in the OS (66.1% vs. 66.8%, P = 0.409). Multiple limitations also may have contributed to this result; the short period of follow-up (median follow-up was less than 5 years), a small number of included patients, and the way the study was designed with recurrence-free survival as the primary endpoint whereas the OS was a secondary endpoint17. Kemeny et al. did a randomized trial of 75 patients with one to three hepatic metastases of CRC where patients were randomized to hepatic resection alone or resection followed by hepatic arterial infusion of floxuridine and systemic 5-FU. The results showed that patients who received chemotherapy had a better 4-year OS and median OS, but the difference wasn’t statistically significant (P = 0.6)18.

While the previously mentioned studies failed to show a significant effect of chemotherapy on OS, another study reported a positive effect of chemotherapy on OS. A pooled analysis of two trials done by Mitry et al. that included 278 patients with metastatic CRC (171 patients with liver metastases from the FFCD trial and 107 patients with liver or lung metastases from the ENG trial) and found that compared to patients who had surgery alone, patients who had adjuvant chemotherapy had better median PFS and median OS, but the differences were not statistically significant. Whereas, in multivariable analysis, they found that adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with better PFS and OS19 which aligns with our findings.

On the other hand, Kanemitsu et al. in a randomized trial of 300 patients with metastatic CRC with an unlimited number of liver metastases, found that patients who had adjuvant modified FOLFOX6 regimen had better disease-free survival, but a numerically worse 3-year OS and worse 5-year OS compared to patients who had hepatectomy alone, but the differences were not statistically significant20.

Among patients who received chemotherapy, we found that patients were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients were treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Also, we found patients who received multiagent chemotherapy had better OS compared to patients who received single-agent chemotherapy.

The vast majority of trials, that was done on metastatic CRC, assessed the effect of perioperative chemotherapy compared to surgical resection only, and while the comparison between adjuvant and neoadjuvant chemotherapy in non-metastatic CRC has been investigated, there are very few prospective studies done in metastatic cases21,22. While some studies suggest neoadjuvant chemotherapy is beneficial in unresectable disease and helps in improving the complete resection success rate23, other studies showed that neoadjuvant chemotherapy was associated with increased liver toxicity and suggest adjuvant chemotherapy was more beneficial in managing micro-metastases with less liver toxicity-related complications2427. In the setting of not having a head-to-head comparison between adjuvant and neoadjuvant chemotherapy in metastatic disease, the NCCN guideline still recommends using peri-operative chemotherapy for a total of 6 months without a preference for adjuvant or neoadjuvant chemotherapy28.

When it comes to the comparison between the single-agent and multiagent chemotherapy, few studies looked at that in the setting of metastatic disease. Seymour et al. evaluated 2135 patients with inoperable metastatic or locoregional CRC and compared the OS in 3 different chemotherapy strategies; the first group received single-agent as a first line and single-agent as a second line, the second group received single-agent as a first line and combination chemotherapy as a second line, the third group received combination chemotherapy as a first line. The study showed that the group treated with combination chemotherapy as a first line had better OS compared to the group that received single-agent chemotherapy in both first and second line. Interestingly, there was no statistically significant difference in the OS between the group that received single-agent chemotherapy as a first and second line and the group that received single-agent chemotherapy as a first line and combination chemotherapy as a second line. These results are similar to our result in one way that patients who received multiagent chemotherapy as a first line had better OS than patients who received single-agent as a first line. Unfortunately, the NCDB doesn’t provide details about the second line chemotherapy to be able to compare patients according to second line chemotherapy like the mentioned study29. The biggest limiting factor in this study is that recruited patients were selected as a poor-prognosis group who were definitely incurable and patients with operable metastases were excluded.

Koopman et al. in phase III randomized controlled trial (CAIRO study), reported no statistically significant difference in the OS between patients with advanced CRC who received combination chemotherapy as a first line and patients who received the same chemotherapy agents but were given sequentially30. Similar to what we mentioned before, the chemotherapy details in NCDB are limited to first line chemotherapy.

Our study has some limiting factors that need to be discussed; first, the type of chemotherapy that patients received was not available. This could have impacted the outcomes of some patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy. Second, the differentiation between single-agent and multiagent chemotherapy is limited to the first line of chemotherapy not total chemotherapy the patient may have received. Third, the distribution and completeness of surgical resection of liver metastases were not specified in the database. This is an important element that could have affected patients’ outcomes if imbalanced between both groups. Fourth, NCDB also doesn’t have details about other oncologic endpoints like disease-free survival and cancer-specific survival (both represent important endpoints to evaluate the effect of chemotherapy). Fifth, the retrospective nature of data collection within the NCDB might have affected the veracity of the analyses as well.

It’s worth mentioning as well that in our study, patients who had surgery only were older compared to patients who received perioperative chemotherapy (mean age in years 70 vs 58) which could be a significant factor that affects the difference in the OS between the two groups as older patients tend to have more comorbidities and as a result more likely not to receive chemotherapy. To account for this potential bias, we did a propensity score matching for age and Charlson comorbidity score as well as multivariable Cox regression analysis incorporating other relevant baseline factors.

5. Conclusion

In conclusion, our study shows that the addition of chemotherapy to surgery improves the OS in metastatic CRC with liver metastases treated with metastasectomy. Also, neoadjuvant and multiagent chemotherapy seem to improve the OS compared to adjuvant and single-agent chemotherapy, respectively. Further large-scale studies are needed to evaluate the effect of chemotherapy role and timing not only on recurrence and PFS but also on OS.

Abbreviations

AJCC: American Joint Committee on Cancer, CI: confidence intervals, CoC: commission on cancer, CRC: colorectal cancer, CRC: colorectal cancer, MSI: microsatellite instability, NCDB: National Cancer Database, OS: overall survival, PFS: progression-free survival, US: United States

Declarations

Disclosures:

The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.

Funding:

This paper was not funded.

Acknowledgment

None.

Author contributions:

Firas Baidoun: data analysis, data interpretation, manuscript writing.

Zahi Merjaneh: manuscript writing.

Rama Nanah: manuscript writing.

Anas M. Saad: manuscript editing, critical revision.

Omar Abdel-Rahman: study concept, manuscript editing, critical revision.

Acknowledgment

None.

Data Availability Statement

The data we used in this study is available from the National Cancer Database.

Consent

Not required.

Conflict of interest

None

 

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