Background: Only 50-70% elderly colon cancer patients could complete a six-month postoperative chemotherapy. It is unknown whether a shorter duration of postoperative capecitabine-alone chemotherapy would not compromise the survival. We thus conducted this study to analyze the association between postoperative chemotherapy duration of capecitabine-alone regimen and cancer specific survival (CSS) in the surgery treated elderly colon cancer patients.
Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in surgery treated stage III and high-risk stage II colon cancer patients aged >= 70 from two medical centers. Cox proportional hazard regression models were utilized to calculate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs). The non-linear relationship between postoperative chemotherapy duration and CSS was analyzed through the restricted cubic spline regression analysis, and the threshold effect was calculated by the two-piece-wise Cox proportional hazard model.
Results: A total of 1,217 surgery treated colon cancer patients between August 1, 2013 and September 1, 2019 were reviewed and 257 stage III and high-risk stage II patients aged >= 70 were finally enrolled. Postoperative chemotherapy with capecitabine was delivered in 114 patients and 143 cases only received surgery. The capecitabine duration was generally associated with a 11% risk decrease in death (HR=0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 - 0.96). Non-linearity exploration suggested a threshold effect of capecitabine duration on CSS in stage III disease. The HR for death was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.68 - 0.92) with duration <= 16 (week) while 1.34 (95% CI: 0.91 – 1.97) with duration > 16 (week).
Conclusions: The postoperative capecitabine duration was significantly associated with CSS in elderly colon cancer. However, a threshold effect of capecitabine duration on survival may suggest a short-term chemotherapy could be an alternative for the conventional six-month regimen in the elderly stage III colon cancer.

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Posted 13 Apr, 2021
On 08 May, 2021
Received 30 Apr, 2021
Received 25 Apr, 2021
Received 21 Apr, 2021
Received 20 Apr, 2021
On 13 Apr, 2021
On 12 Apr, 2021
On 11 Apr, 2021
On 10 Apr, 2021
On 10 Apr, 2021
Received 10 Apr, 2021
On 09 Apr, 2021
Received 08 Apr, 2021
Invitations sent on 08 Apr, 2021
On 08 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
Posted 13 Apr, 2021
On 08 May, 2021
Received 30 Apr, 2021
Received 25 Apr, 2021
Received 21 Apr, 2021
Received 20 Apr, 2021
On 13 Apr, 2021
On 12 Apr, 2021
On 11 Apr, 2021
On 10 Apr, 2021
On 10 Apr, 2021
Received 10 Apr, 2021
On 09 Apr, 2021
Received 08 Apr, 2021
Invitations sent on 08 Apr, 2021
On 08 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
On 07 Apr, 2021
Background: Only 50-70% elderly colon cancer patients could complete a six-month postoperative chemotherapy. It is unknown whether a shorter duration of postoperative capecitabine-alone chemotherapy would not compromise the survival. We thus conducted this study to analyze the association between postoperative chemotherapy duration of capecitabine-alone regimen and cancer specific survival (CSS) in the surgery treated elderly colon cancer patients.
Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in surgery treated stage III and high-risk stage II colon cancer patients aged >= 70 from two medical centers. Cox proportional hazard regression models were utilized to calculate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs). The non-linear relationship between postoperative chemotherapy duration and CSS was analyzed through the restricted cubic spline regression analysis, and the threshold effect was calculated by the two-piece-wise Cox proportional hazard model.
Results: A total of 1,217 surgery treated colon cancer patients between August 1, 2013 and September 1, 2019 were reviewed and 257 stage III and high-risk stage II patients aged >= 70 were finally enrolled. Postoperative chemotherapy with capecitabine was delivered in 114 patients and 143 cases only received surgery. The capecitabine duration was generally associated with a 11% risk decrease in death (HR=0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 - 0.96). Non-linearity exploration suggested a threshold effect of capecitabine duration on CSS in stage III disease. The HR for death was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.68 - 0.92) with duration <= 16 (week) while 1.34 (95% CI: 0.91 – 1.97) with duration > 16 (week).
Conclusions: The postoperative capecitabine duration was significantly associated with CSS in elderly colon cancer. However, a threshold effect of capecitabine duration on survival may suggest a short-term chemotherapy could be an alternative for the conventional six-month regimen in the elderly stage III colon cancer.

Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 3
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