Performance of RIPASA and AIR Scores in an Egyptian Subset of Patients with Suspected Diagnosis of Acute Appendicitis

Background: Early and denitive acute appendicitis (AA) diagnosis remains a great challenge in clinical practice worldwide. Currently, several risk scores are available for the clinical assessment of AA, although there are differences in their accuracy rates. The aim of the study was to assess and analyze the accuracy of the acute inammatory response (AIR) and Raja Isteri Pengiran Anak Saleha Appendicitis (RIPASA) scores in an Egyptian population. Methods: A series of 310 patients, 61% male with a median age of 18 years, with Rt. Iliac fossa pain were clinically evaluated for suspicion of AA. All patients were assessed using both the AIR and RIPASA scores. Following evaluation, all patients underwent appendectomy. A nal diagnosis of AA was based on histopathology. Two predetermined cutoff values for the AIR score and one cutoff value for the RIPASA score was evaluated for sensitivity, specicity, and accuracy. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version 22. Cross tabulation was performed to assess sensitivity, specicity, positive and negative predictive values along with other tests for parametric and non-parametric variables. Results: The sensitivities of the RIPASA score cutoff value of ≥ 7.5 and AIR score cutoff values of >4 and >8 were 83.8%, 92.2%, and 33.1%, accordingly, while the specicities were 69.2%, 76.7%, and 84.6%, respectively. AIR score of >4 (91%) was more accurate compared to AIR score of >8 (37.4%) and RIPASA score of ≥ 7.5 (82.5%). Conclusion: An AIR score of >4 had better sensitivity, specicity, and accuracy compared to a RIPASA score of ≥ score of an evaluation


Background
Appendicitis is one of the most frequent acute surgical disorders with one in seven life-long prevalence (1). The incidence of acute appendicitis (AA) has been steadily declining since the late 1940s. In developed countries, AA affects approximately 5,750 per 100 000 population per year in developing countries, with the highest incidence between 10 and 30 years of age (2,3).
Geographical differences have been asserted, with a long-life risk for AA of 9,8 and % in the USA, Europe, and Africa, respectively (4). There is also great variation in the presentation, severity, radiological evaluation, and surgical management of patients with AA in relation to the average income in each country (5).
Clinical diagnosis is a craft taking time to understand. It is based on information gleaned from a large number of variables in the patient's history, clinical examination, and laboratory studies. Experience with many patientgs is required to understand the variations in this complex pattern of information. However, even experienced surgeons often err by giving too much credence to pain and tenderness and too little to the in ammatory response (6).
The diagnosis of AA is primarily clinical, and only contrast enhanced computed tomography (CT) has a high enough sensitivity and speci city to establish the correct diagnosis (7,8). However, high cost and limited availability are often factors that hinder its utility especially in developing countries.
A clinical scoring system that has acceptable sensitivity and speci city with a low rate of appendectomy would be especially useful. The Acute In ammatory Response (AIR) and Raja Isteri Pengiran Anak Saleha Appendicitis (RIPASA) scoring systems have been recently developed to aid in the rapid diagnosis of AA especially in developed countries to replace the remote Alvarado score that has been used in Western nations (9,10). We prospectively compared RIPASA with AIR scores in patients presenting with right iliac fossa (RIF) pain with suspected appendicitis in our institution.

Methods
A prospective analysis was performed on 310 patients presenting with signs and symptoms suggestive of AA from September 2017 to April 2018. Written consent was obtained from each patient before enrollment in the study. The current analysis was carried out at Suez Canal University Hospitals, Ismailia, Egypt. All patients were evaluated using RIPASA (9) and AIR scores (10) by a general surgery registrar, and they were monitored by an external observer (one of the authors) who is familiar with the parameters of both scores to avoid bias and under-or overestimation. All patients presented to the emergency room (ER) with right iliac fossa pain, which raise an overall suspicion in AA, both males and females ≥ 16 years of age were included. Patients with the following conditions were excluded: <16 years or ≥ 60 years of age, BMI ≥ 40 kg/m 2 , presence of in ammatory bowel disease, a pathological diagnosis of malignant appendicular lesions, appendicular perforation, pregnancy, and patients with a RIF mass or a history of urolithiasis.
A complete history, including the nature and duration of symptoms, was taken from each patient. All patients received a complete physical examination by the registrar in the ER. Blood work-up included hemoglobin level, white leucocyte count (WBC), and C-reactive protein (CRP). A urine pregnancy test for females in the reproductive age group who presented with amenorrhea was performed. A routine urinalysis with microscopy and pelvi-abdominal ultrasound was the investigation of choice in female patients who have been complaining of a suspicious gynecological disease that could not be excluded by history and clinical examination in order to avoid inclusion of complicated ovarian cysts, polycystic ovary and other pure gynecological lesions in the current study. After the previous parameters for patients' nal enrollment had set, the ineligible patients were excluded from the study (Fig. 1). All patients were subjected to the following: 1. RIPASA and AIR scoring for each clinically diagnosed case of appendicitis. 2. Histopathological con rmation was the gold standard con rmation after appendectomy and assessment was done considering positive or negative specimen.

Statistical analysis
All analyses were performed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM, Armonk, New York, U.S) and GraphPad Prism version 8.0.1 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, California, U.S). A p value < 0.05 was considered signi cant.
Variables were tested for their pattern of distribution using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and visual assessment of histograms. Data with normal distribution were expressed as mean ± standard deviation while non-normally distributed variables were presented as median and interquartile range (IQR).
Following histopathological examination, all patients were classi ed into 2 groups based on the presence of absence of acute appendicitis. To assess possible differences between the groups, for parametric and non-parametric variables we used the unpaired student t and Mann Whitney U tests, respectively. To compare categorical variables, the Chi-square test was used. Cross tabulation was performed to assess sensitivity, speci city, positive, and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), respectively. The diagnostic accuracy of each scoring system was calculated using histopathology as the gold standard for diagnostic con rmation. To detect the area under the curve (AUC) for each score, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to evaluate both scores using SPSS version 22.0 software.

Results
Following the exclusion of 44 patients, 310 were identi ed for nal analysis, with the majority being males (61%) and a male: female ratio of 1.6:1 ( Table 1). The nal diagnosis was based on histopathological ndings following open appendectomy. A total of 92% of patients had histologically proven appendicitis, while 8% had a normal (negative) appendix. The median age among all patients was 18 years with no difference between those with and without appendicitis (Table 1). Most patients had an onset of symptoms less than 48 hours prior to surgery. All patients suffered from pain in the RIF (100%), with nausea and vomiting in 90%, RIF tenderness in 88%, and rebound tenderness in 77%. These were all statistically signi cant in the positive subgroup (Table 1).
Only 47% of the patients presented with fever, Rovsing sign was positive in 88%, WBCs were elevated in 61%, CRP > 50 g/L was present in 8%, and a negative urinalysis was present in 77%. A signi cantly greater proportion of patients presented with these signs and laboratory ndings in the positive compared to the negative group (Table 1).
The RIPASA and AIR scores for all patients had a median of 12.5 (range 5-15) and 8 (range 6-9), respectively. There were higher median scores in the positive compared to the negative group (Table 1).
Although there was a wide range of hospital stay (1-12 days) in the positive group, their mean length of stay was not signi cantly different than the negative group (Table 1).
Based on the histopathological nal diagnosis, a RIPASA score with a cutoff value ≥ 7.5 was capable of detecting 238 out of 284 truly positive cases and correctly excluding 18 of 26 truly negative with a sensitivity and speci city of 83.80% and 69.23%, respectively (Tables 2 and 4). However, an AIR score with a cutoff value > 4 achieved better results, as it could identify 262 out of 284 truly positive cases and correctly exclude 20 of 26 truly negative cases with a sensitivity and speci city of 92.25% and 76.92%, respectively (Tables 3 and 4). An AIR score with a cutoff value > 8 had a higher speci city but lower sensitivity, 84.61% and 33.09% respectively (Table 3).  An AIR score > 4 is more diagnostic than a RIPASA score ≥ 7.5 (PPV, 97.7% vs. 96.7; NPV, 47.6% vs. 28.1%, respectively) and highly accurate (91% vs. 82.5%, respectively) ( Table 4). The AUC was 0.827 and 0.846 for AIR and RIPASA scores, respectively, (Fig. 2).
The rate of postoperative complications was approximately 9%, A total of 9 patients developed chest infection (2.9%) and 2 developed venous thromboembolism (0.6%). Three of the 9 also had infections at the surgical site, and 2 of 9 developed a pelvic abscess. Infections at the surgical site were detected in 11 patients (3.5%), while a pelvic abscess was identi ed in 8 (2.6%). Four patients (1.6%) had isolated urinary tract infections following surgery (Fig. 3).

Discussion
Acute appendicitis is one of the most popular emergencies in surgery around the world. The gold standard treatment is appendectomy. However, a debate now exists regarding the possibility of medically treating AA (11). A delay in diagnosis may lead to complications including perforation, abscess formation, peritonitis, and even death (12). However, an increased rate of surgery for normal appendices has undesirable consequences such as post-operative adhesions and ileus (11). These drawbacks to aggressive surgery have led to the use of ultrasonography and CT to reduce the rate of negative appendectomies and improve diagnostic accuracy. However, these additional diagnostic modalities have led to increased nancial burdens and health care costs particularly in less developed countries with limited resources (13).
Given these ndings and the di culties of over and underestimation in the diagnosis of AA, several scoring systems have been developed. Since its introduction in 1986, the Alvarado scoring system has been the most popular (14). Subsequently, modi ed Alvarado scoring systems have emerged to improve the original Alvarado score's lower speci city and sensitivity when applied in western nations (15). During the past decade, a new scoring system was developed to treat de ciencies in the Alvarado and modi ed Alvarado scoring systems in Asian populations. The RIPASA scoring system was initiated in 2010, and it depends solely on history, clinical examination, and 2 blood tests (9,16). The AIR score was initiated parallel to the RIPASA score to overcome the drawbacks of the previous scores. This score incorporates two simple lab tests (WBC count and CRP) in its scheme. The AIR score assesses the intensity of AA in relation to an elevated WBC count together with the percent of segmented neutrophils and CRP(10). The total negative appendectomy rate in the current study was 8.4%, which is less than the rates documented by Shuaib et al., (13), Chong et al., (17) and Rathod et al., (18) who documented rates of 18.4%, 22.9%, and 20.69%, respectively.
ROC analysis was performed in the present study to ascertain a cut off score for RIPASA with higher sensitivity and speci city by plotting the true positive rate against the false positive rate for different cut points of a RIPASA score. The AUC for the RIPASA system was greater than that of the AIR (Fig. 2). However, when the AIR score was calculated for a score > 8, there was a higher speci city but much lower sensitivity.
To the best of our knowledge, only a few studies have directly compared the RIPASA and AIR scoring systems for the diagnosis of AA. In the present study, the sensitivity of an AIR score > 4 was greater than that of a RIPASA score ≥ 7.5 and signi cantly better than AIR scores > 8. The sensitivities for an AIR score > 4, an AIR score > 8, and a RIPASA score ≥ 7.5 was 92.25%, 33.09%, and 83.8%, respectively. The speci city of an AIR score > 8 was greater than an AIR score > 4 and a RIPASA score ≥ 7.5, 84.6%, 76.9% and 69.2%, respectively.
The present study illustrates that the negative appendectomy rate (Table 2 and 3) was recorded in AIR score > 4 in 2.2% (6 out of 268) patients subjected to the score and in RIPASA ≥ 7.5 score, it was recorded in 2.9% (8 out of 246 ) of cases, while the AIR score > 8 demonstrates a negative appendectomy rate of 4% of cases. The highest rate of suspected patients who proved later to be truly positive by histopathogy was registered in AIR > 4 score with 97.8% (262 out of 268). Table 5 illustrates a comparison between the current study and previous studies (16,19) which evaluated the RIPASA versus the AIR scoring system in the diagnosis of AA. The highest sensitivity and speci city, 93.1% and 91.6%, respectively, were recorded by Karami et al (16). However, Bolívar-Rodríguez et al., in a study performed in Mexico, reported a sensitivity of 97.2% and a speci city of 27.6% (19).These ndings show that a RIPASA score with a cut-off > 7.5 can successfully diagnose AA with a greater than 80% accuracy and higher PPV and positive likelihood ratio than 2 of the 3 previously compared studies. Table 5 Comparison of sensitivity, speci city, PPV, and NPV of the AIR and RIPASA scores Karami 7 Bolívar-Rodríguez We postulate that both a RIPASA score ≥ 7.5 and an AIR > 4 have a very good ability to detect truly sick patients when they are at high risk. The current era of scoring systems aiding in the preoperative diagnosis of appendicitis could help to avoid unnecessary laparotomies. The current study adds more precision to the validity of both AIR and RIPASA as objective tools that can be applied to our population to support decision-making in the management of a patient with suspected AA. Our observed rate of negative appendectomies, 26 out of 310 patients (8.4%), is certainly within an acceptable range.
The RIPASA and AIR scoring systems did not show a signi cant difference in the diagnosis of AA in an Egyptian population. They both contain easily obtained parameters from the history, physical examination, and a few simple blood tests. Both scoring systems are bene cial for making a quick decision in resource limited and low-middle income countries without the need for imaging assistance.
Managing patients with suspected AA remains a challenge and the recommended management approach is indeed unknown, even after ultrasound, CT, and diagnostic laparoscopy were introduced.

Conclusion
An AIR score of >4 had better sensitivity, speci city, and accuracy compared to a RIPASA score of ≥7.5; however, an AIR score of >8 was more speci c for the Egyptian population. Both scoring systems could safely prevent hospitalization and unnecessary investigations in patients with doubtful diagnosis. Additional randomized, controlled trials are needed to validate the best scoring system for acute appendicitis diagnosis.

Consent for publication
We obtained consent from all the patients included in our study with institutional consent forms.  (7):1540-5. Figure 1 Flow chart of the included patients. It shows the excluded patients and the inclusion criteria for the participants. ROC curves obtained by calculating the results of both scores. ROC determines the sensitivity and speci city for both scores along with AUC, which appears to be greater for the RIPASA system than that of the AIR.