The prevalence of urinary calculi and the frequency of different types of stone can change consequently to changes of environmental factors, such as diet and climate, as well as changes of age and gender distribution of the population. Our series confirm some findings commonly observed in epidemiological studies of urolithiasis: struvite and apatite-containing stones are more frequent in females and uric acid containing stones are more frequent in male and older patients.
Only a limited number of studies have assessed the spectrum of the composition of urinary calculi in the same population over different periods of time 1,2,4−8. In South Australia urinary stone composition has remained relatively static over the past 30 years 4. In Japan, from 1953 to 1984, a reduction in the frequency of struvite calculi from 20% before 1960 to 10% after 1961 was observed, although a slight tendency to increase was again detected after 1973, especially in females 5. In Massachusetts from 1990 to 2010, the frequency of struvite stones significantly decreased from 7.8–3.0% in females but remained stable in males ranging from 2.8–3.7% 6, This trend is in accordance with our observations that show a decrease from 24% of our previously reported observations in the period 1981-95 9 to the actual 1.6–6.5% value. The frequency of struvite stones was very low in the 2001-03 series in Milan (1.6%), although it is interesting to note that in the most recent period it tended to increase slightly from 3.3–6.5%. This can be explained by recent immigration in Italy from countries of Eastern Europe and from north and central Africa, which contributed with a relevant number of infection stone cases due to poor health conditions of those countries.
In Canada, an 80.4% rate of calcium oxalate and/or calcium phosphate stones was observed with a 3.9% rate of magnesium ammonium phosphate and 7.6% of uric acid/urate stones 7. In the calcium stone group, stones with prevalent oxalate content accounted for 65% and stones with prevalent phosphate content for 16%, although from 1980-83 to 1995–1998 a relative increase in stones with prevalent oxalate and a decrease in stones with prevalent phosphate was observed. A similar trend was reported in Massachusetts with a significant decrease from 20–11.7% of the frequency of apatite stones in females but an increase from 9.8–12.5% in males 6. In our series we observed only a slight decrease of the frequency of apatite-containing stones from 15.4–14%.
In Texas, uric acid containing stones increased from 7–14% from 1980 to 2015 1. This trend was explained by an increase in age and body mass index (BMI) in the population of stone formers. However, in Minnesota 8, from 1984 to 2012, no change of uric acid stone rate was observed and, in Massachusetts, from 1990 to 2010, the rate of uric acid stones increased in females, from 7.6 to 10.8%, but not in males (11.7 vs 10.8%) 6.
Different climatic conditions could explain the different trends of the epidemiology of uric acid urinary calculi observed (Fig. 1).
Uric acid stones are more easily formed in a warm climate. In South Australia a greater incidence of uric stones during Summer and Autumn was observed 10 and Stuart et al showed that in the warmer months of the year there is a higher level of urinary saturation for uric acid in relation to lower urinary volumes and lower urine pH values 11.
In fact, as a result of global warming, the average annual temperatures increased by about one Celsius degree from the 1981-85 period to the 2011–2015 period in most of United States 12.
According to data collected by the National Climatic Data Center of the United States 12, average annual temperature increased from 5.2–6.4 °C to 3.7–7.3 °C in Minnesota, from 8.4–9.2 °C to 8.7–10.7 °C in Massachusetts and from 17.4–18.3 C° to 18.2–19.9 °C in Texas.
In Texas, the increase of temperature may have had a greater impact on the risk of formation of uric acid stones as it occurred in a higher temperature range than in northern regions of the United States (Fig. 1).
In fact, the number of days in which the risk threshold for crystallization of uric acid was exceeded was higher 13. The threshold value beyond which the risk of precipitation of uric acid in the urine is significantly increased has not been precisely defined, but it can be inferred by values of temperature associated with the risk of the onset of acute gout attacks, that according to Neogi et al could be placed at 26 °C13 .
In southern Italy it was also observed from the period 1983-86 to 2008–2011, a decrease in the frequency of calcium oxalate stones (from 83.9–76.6%) and an increase in the frequency of uric acid stones from 2.2–9.3% 2. The results of our study do not confirm the trend observed in Southern Italy, probably as consequence of different climatic conditions between North and South Italy 3.
Finally, the present study demonstrated an increase of the rate of COM and a decrease of COD stones.
This trend could be explained by the increase of the general prevalence of urolithiasis 14 that mainly depends on an increase in COM stones.