Background: The effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients has been in controversy for a long time. Our study aimed to investigate the ability of several common inflammatory markers to predict the effect of chemotherapy in stage II CRC patients, finding an effective method for clinicians to distinguish chemotherapy-effective population.
Methods: A total of 708 stage II CRC patients who underwent radical resection (R0) were included. The Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot (STEPP) analysis was used to determine the optimal inflammatory marker and cut-off value. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was performed to balance discrepancy of the characteristics between the chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy group. Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test was used to calculate the restricted mean survival time (RMST) and compare survival difference between chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy patients. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to calculate Hazard Ratio (HR). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the interaction between the effect of chemotherapy and the clinicopathological characteristics.
Results: Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) was chosen as the predictive marker with a cut-off value of 130 according to STEPP. For all the 708 patients, chemotherapy patients had a better OS than non-chemotherapy patients (p=0.007). Besides, the results of subgroup analysis interpreted that PLR was strongly associated with the effect of chemotherapy. In the high-PLR subgroup (PLR>130), chemotherapy patients obtained a significantly better survival benefit than non-chemotherapy patients (p<0.001). However, in the low PLR subgroup (PLR≤130), such difference of survival benefit between chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy patients was not found (p=0.956). Multivariate Cox survival analysis also found that PLR was the only characteristic associated with the effect of chemotherapy (p interaction=0.027) among all the 11 clinicopathological characteristics. After PSM, no significant difference in OS was found between the chemotherapy group and the non-chemotherapy group (p=0.058). PLR was still the only characteristic associated with the effect of chemotherapy (p interaction=0.038).
Conclusions: PLR can be used as an effective marker to predict the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II CRC patients.

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On 11 Apr, 2021
Received 17 Mar, 2021
Received 13 Mar, 2021
Received 06 Mar, 2021
On 25 Feb, 2021
On 19 Feb, 2021
On 14 Feb, 2021
Received 29 Jan, 2021
On 25 Jan, 2021
Invitations sent on 24 Jan, 2021
On 30 Oct, 2020
On 29 Oct, 2020
On 29 Oct, 2020
Posted 04 Aug, 2020
On 30 Sep, 2020
Received 31 Aug, 2020
Received 27 Aug, 2020
Received 27 Aug, 2020
On 23 Aug, 2020
Invitations sent on 20 Aug, 2020
On 20 Aug, 2020
On 20 Aug, 2020
On 26 Jul, 2020
On 25 Jul, 2020
On 25 Jul, 2020
On 11 Apr, 2021
Received 17 Mar, 2021
Received 13 Mar, 2021
Received 06 Mar, 2021
On 25 Feb, 2021
On 19 Feb, 2021
On 14 Feb, 2021
Received 29 Jan, 2021
On 25 Jan, 2021
Invitations sent on 24 Jan, 2021
On 30 Oct, 2020
On 29 Oct, 2020
On 29 Oct, 2020
Posted 04 Aug, 2020
On 30 Sep, 2020
Received 31 Aug, 2020
Received 27 Aug, 2020
Received 27 Aug, 2020
On 23 Aug, 2020
Invitations sent on 20 Aug, 2020
On 20 Aug, 2020
On 20 Aug, 2020
On 26 Jul, 2020
On 25 Jul, 2020
On 25 Jul, 2020
Background: The effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients has been in controversy for a long time. Our study aimed to investigate the ability of several common inflammatory markers to predict the effect of chemotherapy in stage II CRC patients, finding an effective method for clinicians to distinguish chemotherapy-effective population.
Methods: A total of 708 stage II CRC patients who underwent radical resection (R0) were included. The Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot (STEPP) analysis was used to determine the optimal inflammatory marker and cut-off value. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was performed to balance discrepancy of the characteristics between the chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy group. Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test was used to calculate the restricted mean survival time (RMST) and compare survival difference between chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy patients. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to calculate Hazard Ratio (HR). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the interaction between the effect of chemotherapy and the clinicopathological characteristics.
Results: Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) was chosen as the predictive marker with a cut-off value of 130 according to STEPP. For all the 708 patients, chemotherapy patients had a better OS than non-chemotherapy patients (p=0.007). Besides, the results of subgroup analysis interpreted that PLR was strongly associated with the effect of chemotherapy. In the high-PLR subgroup (PLR>130), chemotherapy patients obtained a significantly better survival benefit than non-chemotherapy patients (p<0.001). However, in the low PLR subgroup (PLR≤130), such difference of survival benefit between chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy patients was not found (p=0.956). Multivariate Cox survival analysis also found that PLR was the only characteristic associated with the effect of chemotherapy (p interaction=0.027) among all the 11 clinicopathological characteristics. After PSM, no significant difference in OS was found between the chemotherapy group and the non-chemotherapy group (p=0.058). PLR was still the only characteristic associated with the effect of chemotherapy (p interaction=0.038).
Conclusions: PLR can be used as an effective marker to predict the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II CRC patients.

Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 3
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
Loading...