Glioma, constituting 45–50% of all intracranial tumors, is a prevalent malignant tumor of the central nervous system. Glioma is characterized by aggressive growth, frequent recurrence, challenges in treatment, and high mortality rates. Despite therapeutic interventions, including surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy, the median survival time for patients with glioma remains at 15 months9,10. The WHO classification of central nervous system tumors integrates molecular markers that are closely related to diagnosis and prognosis11, with TERT being a pivotal marker, thereby highlighting the need for an accurate analysis of its association with pathological features and other molecular changes. While numerous studies have indicated the predictive role of TERT mutations in survival12,13, its correlation with clinicopathological features and its impact on patient prognosis remain unclear14,15. In our retrospective analysis of 161 patients with glioma, TERTmut frequency was observed to be notably higher in patients older than 50 years than in patients younger than 50 years, in oligodendroglioma and glioblastoma than in astrocytoma, and in WHO grade 3 and 4 tumors than in grade 1 and 2 tumors (Table 1). Univariate survival analyses revealed that the prognosis of the TERTmut group was closely associated with the histological type (P = 0.0031, Fig. 2b) and grade (P = 0.0031, Fig. 2c) of glioma but not age (P = 0.1276, Fig. 2a).
As per the WHO 2021 standards11, IDH1/2 wild-type diffuse astrocytic glioma with TERTmut is classified as glioblastoma, highlighting the association of TERTmut with tumor aggressiveness. However, the pathogenesis of glioma is complex, and the molecular changes influencing prognosis have been extensively debated. While most studies suggest that TERTmut is associated with poor prognosis in gliomas, research in mouse tumor transplantation models has shown that RAS, TERT, and p53 mutations or abnormal expression are implicated in glioma occurrence. These genes contribute to a fully malignant and rapid transformation, with mutations and specific combinations of susceptible cell types playing pivotal roles in the development of gliomas16. Fujimoto et al.17 analyzed 46 patients with IDH wild-type/TERTmut low-grade gliomas and 85 patients with IDH wild-type/TERTwt low-grade gliomas, demonstrating that the analysis of TERTmut status is necessary and sufficient to diagnose IDH wild-type diffuse astrocytic gliomas with the molecular features of glioblastoma. Further studies have indicated that mutations near TERT and TERC impact telomere length, increasing the risk of high-grade gliomas17. Similarly, variants near TERT and TERC, influencing telomere length, are associated with the risk of high-grade gliomas18. However, Muench et al.19 proposed that TERTmut cannot serve as a prognostic factor for IDH wild-type gliomas. They provided evidence that TERTmut in diffuse gliomas without further morphological or molecular signs of high-grade glioma should be interpreted in the context of clinicopathological presentation, as well as the epigenetic profile, and TERTmut may not be suitable as a standalone marker for IDH wild-type glioblastoma. Our Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed that OS was shorter in the TERTmut group than in the IDH wild-type and IDH mutant groups (P < 0.0001, Fig. 2d). Additionally, we observed no significant difference between the IDH mutation status and prognosis of patients with TERTwt glioma (P = 0.1010, Fig. 3d). Multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that the IDH mutation was not an independent prognostic factor for TERTmut or TERTwt glioma (Tables 3 and 4). Therefore, we believe that TERTmut cannot be used as an independent prognostic factor for IDH wild-type gliomas, consistent with the results of Muench et al.19
As mentioned earlier, TERTmut, a predictor of highly aggressive gliomas in most studies, typically relies on a histological diagnosis of diffuse astrocytoma or anaplastic astrocytoma with IDH wild-type and without 1p19q co-deletion17. However, the significance of TERTmut with 1p19q co-deletion in the integrative diagnosis of glioma remains unclear. 1p19q serves as a crucial marker for the classification, treatment, and prognosis of glioma3,20,21. 1p19q co-deletion is prevalent in all glioma subtypes, especially in patients with oligodendroglioma. Following an IDH mutation, the tumor progresses to oligodendroglioma in cases where 1p19q combined deletion occurs. This co-deletion holds significance in differentiating oligodendrogliomas from astrocytomas and serves as a basis for differential diagnosis. Killela et al.22 reported that 78% (35/45) of oligodendrogliomas exhibited TERTmut. In our study, 17 of 18 oligodendrogliomas had TERTmut (Table 1). Furthermore, among the 22 patients with glioma harboring a 1p19q co-deletion, 19 cases were accompanied by TERTmut (Table 2). Simultaneously, we observed no correlation between TERTmut and patient survival (Fig. 1a). The OS of patients with 1p19q co-deletion was significantly longer than that of patients without 1p19q co-deletion, consistent with previously reported results6,23,24. However, in the TERTmut group, 1p19q co-deletion was identified as an independent prognostic factor in patients with glioma (Fig. 2 and Table 3). Conversely, in the TERTwt group, 1p19q co-deletion was not an independent prognostic factor for patients with glioma (Fig. 3 and Table 4). Therefore, when TERT is not mutated, the increased survival associated with 1p19 co-deletion disappears. We propose that improved survival in patients with 1p19q co-deletion is dependent on TERT promoter mutations. However, the mechanism by which 1p19 co-deletion affects the prognosis of patients with gliomas is complex. According to Lv et al. 25, the effect of 1p/19q co-deletion on the immune microenvironment in low-grade glioma plays a crucial role in tumor progression and prognosis. Immune cell infiltration of 281 low-grade gliomas from The Cancer Genome Atlas and 543 low-grade gliomas from the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas were analyzed for immune cell infiltration using the ESTIMATE algorithm, TIMER, and xCell. Low-grade gliomas with 1p/19q co-deletion exhibit lesser immune cell infiltration and lower expression of immune checkpoint genes than those in 1p/19q non-co-deletion cases. Similarly, some studies have shown that a higher risk is associated with an increase in various factors in the tumor microenvironment, such as protein acetylation and inflammatory responses26. Furthermore, pathway analysis suggested that prostaglandins, N-terminal acetyltransferases, and responses to copper ions may be involved in 1p/19q glioma progression27–29. Collectively, we propose that better survival of patients with 1p19q co-deletion is dependent on TERT promoter mutations; however, the specific mechanism remains to be further investigated.
We acknowledge that our study has certain limitations. Patients in our cohort were treated using various modalities, and treatment annotations were lacking for a substantial portion of the dataset. In the future, we plan to conduct a confirmatory study that replicates and validates the findings for patients with a consistent treatment strategy, accounting for other prognostic factors, such as tumor size, location, and degree of resection.
In summary, TERT promoter mutations exhibit distinct patterns in patients with glioma, associated with age, histological type, and WHO grade. TERTmut is positively correlated with 1p19q co-deletion and is insufficient as an independent prognostic factor for IDH wild-type gliomas. Notably, the ensemble prognostic signature featuring 1p19q co-deletion could serve as a valuable tool for risk stratification and survival prediction in gliomas with TERT promoter mutations. As our understanding of the optimal classification of adult diffuse gliomas evolves, biomarkers for risk-based classification may enhance clinical strategies. Collectively, our findings present a reliable protocol for neurosurgeons to devise personalized surgical and treatment strategies in patients with glioma.